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Like all natural hazards, space weather exhibits occasional extreme events over timescales of decades to centuries. Historical events provoked much interest but had little economic impact. However, the widespread adoption of advanced…

Space Physics · Physics 2009-09-01 Mike Hapgood

The polar field reversal is a crucial process in the cyclic evolution of the large-scale magnetic field of the Sun.Various important characteristics of a solar cycle, such as its duration and strength, and also the cycle predictability, are…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-08-02 Elena M. Golubeva , Akash Biswas , Anna I. Khlystova , Pawan Kumar , Bidya Binay Karak

Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) are the major drivers of Space Weather (SWx), so predicting their arrival at Earth is a major aspect of SWx forecasting. Despite increasingly complex models proposed over the past decades, the mean absolute…

Space Physics · Physics 2025-08-18 Syed Raza , Talwinder Singh , Nikolai Pogorelov

A storm is a type of extreme weather. Therefore, forecasting the path of a storm is extremely important for protecting human life and property. However, storm forecasting is very challenging because storm trajectories frequently change. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-02 Nguyen Van Thanh , Nguyen Dang Huynh , Nguyen Ngoc Tan , Nguyen Thai Minh , Nguyen Nam Hoang

Improving irradiance forecasting is critical to further increase the share of solar in the energy mix. On a short time scale, fish-eye cameras on the ground are used to capture cloud displacements causing the local variability of the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-10-26 Quentin Paletta , Joan Lasenby

The solar cycle and its associated magnetic activity are the main drivers behind changes in the interplanetary environment and the Earth's upper atmosphere (commonly referred to as space weather). These changes have a direct impact on the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2013-04-12 Andrés Muñoz-Jaramillo , María Dasi-Espuig , Laura A. Balmaceda , Edward E. DeLuca

A workshop was recently held at Nagoya University (31 October - 02 November 2017), sponsored by the Center for International Collaborative Research, at the Institute for Space-Earth Environmental Research, Nagoya University, Japan, to…

The launches of Parker Solar Probe (Parker) and Solar Orbiter (SolO) are enabling a new era of solar wind studies that track the solar wind from its origin at the photosphere, through the corona, to multiple vantage points in the inner…

Satellite-based solar irradiation forecasting is useful for short-term intra-day time horizons, outperforming numerical weather predictions up to 3-4 hours ahead. The main techniques for solar satellite forecast are based on sophisticated…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-09-02 Franco Marchesoni-Acland , Rodrigo Alonso Suárez

High-precision pulsar timing is highly dependent on precise and accurate modeling of any effects that impact the data. It was shown that commonly used Solar Wind models do not accurately account for variability in the amplitude of the Solar…

The Subtractive Optimally Localized Averages (SOLA) method, developed and extensively used in helioseismology, is applied to artificial data to obtain measures of the sound speed inside a solar-type star. In contrast to inversion methods…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 Sarbani Basu , J. Christensen-Dalsgaard , M. J. Thompson

Using a refined setup process, we simulated the propagation of six observed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) with the 2012 Block-Adaptive-Tree-Solarwind-Roe-Upwind-Scheme (BATS-R-US) code from the Sun to the Earth or STEREO A and compared the…

Space Physics · Physics 2019-05-23 J. M. Schmidt , Iver H. Cairns

We present a new model for the probability that the Disturbance storm time (Dst) index exceeds -100 nT, with a lead time between 1 and 3 days. $Dst$ provides essential information about the strength of the ring current around the Earth…

Space Physics · Physics 2022-09-07 A. Hu , C. Shneider , A. Tiwari , E. Camporeale

The efficiency of the management of top-class ground-based astronomical facilities supported by Adaptive Optics (AO) relies on our ability to forecast the optical turbulence (OT) and a set of relevant atmospheric parameters. Indeed, in…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2020-06-14 E. Masciadri , G. Martelloni , A. Turchi

The disturbance storm time (Dst) index is an important and useful measurement in space weather research. It has been used to characterize the size and intensity of a geomagnetic storm. A negative Dst value means that the Earth's magnetic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-06 Yasser Abduallah , Jason T. L. Wang , Prianka Bose , Genwei Zhang , Firas Gerges , Haimin Wang

Recent studies have shown that satellite communication (SatCom) will have a fundamental role in the next generation non-terrestrial networks (NTN). In SatCom, radio-frequency (RF) or free-space optical (FSO) communications can be used…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-12-01 Olfa Ben Yahia , Eylem Erdogan , Gunes Karabulut Kurt , Ibrahim Altunbas , Halim Yanikomeroglu

The possibilities of organizing an observation service for solar activity in order to provide space weather forecasting are considered. The most promising at this stage is the creation of a ground-based observation network. Such a network…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-03-06 A. G. Tlatov , A. A. Pevtsov

Aims: We compare the apparent difference in timing of transiting planets (or eclipsing binaries) that are observed from widely separated locations (parallactic delay). Methods: A simple geometrical argument allow us to show that the…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-17 Aviv Ofir

Inspired by the concept of relativity of simultaneity used in the theory of special relativity, a new approach is proposed to simulate future solar wind conditions at any point in the inner solar system. An important distinctive feature of…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-01-22 Igor V. Sokolov , Tamas I. Gombosi

Frequency metrology outperforms any other branch of metrology in accuracy (parts in $10^{-16}$) and small fluctuations ($<10^{-17}$). In turn, among celestial bodies, the rotation speed of millisecond pulsars (MSP) is by far the most stable…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-02-04 Siyuan Chen , Francois Vernotte , Enrico Rubiola