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We prove here a general closed-form expansion formula for forward-start options and the forward implied volatility smile in a large class of models, including the Heston stochastic volatility and time-changed exponential L\'evy models. This…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-02-05 Antoine Jacquier , Patrick Roome

We propose a randomised version of the Heston model-a widely used stochastic volatility model in mathematical finance-assuming that the starting point of the variance process is a random variable. In such a system, we study the small-and…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-12-07 Antoine Jacquier , Fangwei Shi

We provide explicit conditions on the distribution of risk-neutral log-returns which yield sharp asymptotic estimates on the implied volatility smile. We allow for a variety of asymptotic regimes, including both small maturity (with…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2016-07-08 Francesco Caravenna , Jacopo Corbetta

We present small-time implied volatility asymptotics for Realised Variance (RV) and VIX options for a number of (rough) stochastic volatility models via large deviations principle. We provide numerical results along with efficient and…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-03 Chloe Lacombe , Aitor Muguruza , Henry Stone

We investigate the asymptotic behaviour of the implied volatility in the Bachelier setting, extending the large-strike results established for the Black-Scholes framework. Exploiting the theory of regular variation, we derive explicit…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-24 Roberto Baviera , Michele Domenico Massaria

In [Precise Asymptotics for Robust Stochastic Volatility Models; Ann. Appl. Probab. 2021] we introduce a new methodology to analyze large classes of (classical and rough) stochastic volatility models, with special regard to short-time and…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-30 Peter K. Friz , Paul Gassiat , Paolo Pigato

The quintic Ornstein-Uhlenbeck volatility model is a stochastic volatility model where the volatility process is a polynomial function of degree five of a single Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with fast mean reversion and large vol-of-vol. The…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-10 Eduardo Abi Jaber , Camille Illand , Shaun , Li

The purpose of this work is to explore the role that random arbitrage opportunities play in pricing financial derivatives. We use a non-equilibrium model to set up a stochastic portfolio, and for the random arbitrage return, we choose a…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-10 Sergei Fedotov , Stephanos Panayides

We study here the large-time behaviour of all continuous affine stochastic volatility models (in the sense of Keller-Ressel) and deduce a closed-form formula for the large-maturity implied volatility smile. Based on refinements of the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-03-23 Antoine Jacquier , Aleksandar Mijatovic

In this paper, we study the asymptotic behaviors of implied volatility of an affine jump-diffusion model. Let log stock price under risk-neutral measure follow an affine jump-diffusion model, we show that an explicit form of moment…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-11 Nian Yao , Zhiqiu Li , Zhichao Ling , Junfeng Lin

Using the large deviation principle (LDP) for a re-scaled fractional Brownian motion $B^H_t$ where the rate function is defined via the reproducing kernel Hilbert space, we compute small-time asymptotics for a correlated fractional…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-17 Martin Forde , Hongzhong Zhang

We extend upon the saddle-point equation presented in [1] to derive large-time model-implied volatility smiles, providing its theoretical foundation and studying its applications in classical models. As long as characteristic function…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-12-13 Chun Yat Yeung , Ali Hirsa

We provide a full characterisation of the large-maturity forward implied volatility smile in the Heston model. Although the leading decay is provided by a fairly classical large deviations behaviour, the algebraic expansion providing the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-08-31 Antoine Jacquier , Patrick Roome

We consider risk-neutral returns and show how their tail asymptotics translate directly to asymptotics of the implied volatility smile, thereby sharpening Roger Lee's celebrated moment formula. The theory of regular variation provides the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Shalom Benaim , Peter Friz

We study the shapes of the implied volatility when the underlying distribution has an atom at zero and analyse the impact of a mass at zero on at-the-money implied volatility and the overall level of the smile. We further show that the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2017-05-04 Stefano De Marco , Caroline Hillairet , Antoine Jacquier

We introduce the two-factor Quintic Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) model, where volatility is modelled as a degree-five polynomial of the sum of two Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes driven by the same Brownian motion, each mean-reverting at a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-23 Eduardo Abi Jaber , Shaun , Li

The main purpose of this work is to examine the behavior of the implied volatility smiles around jumps, contributing to the literature with a high-frequency analysis of the smile dynamics based on intra-day option data. From our…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-14 Martin Magris , Perttu Barholm , Juho Kanniainen

In this paper we investigate the asymptotics of forward-start options and the forward implied volatility smile in the Heston model as the maturity approaches zero. We prove that the forward smile for out-of-the-money options explodes and…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-08-28 Antoine Jacquier , Patrick Roome

The Heston model stands out from the class of stochastic volatility (SV) models mainly for two reasons. Firstly, the process for the volatility is non-negative and mean-reverting, which is what we observe in the markets. Secondly, there…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-10-11 Agnieszka Janek , Tino Kluge , Rafal Weron , Uwe Wystup

Empirical studies have emphasized that the equity implied volatility is characterized by a negative skew inversely proportional to the square root of the time-to-maturity. We examine the short-time-to-maturity behavior of the implied…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-10 Michele Azzone , Roberto Baviera
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