English

Capturing Smile Dynamics with the Quintic Volatility Model: SPX, Skew-Stickiness Ratio and VIX

Mathematical Finance 2026-04-23 v2

Abstract

We introduce the two-factor Quintic Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) model, where volatility is modelled as a degree-five polynomial of the sum of two Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes driven by the same Brownian motion, each mean-reverting at a different speed. We demonstrate that the model effectively captures the volatility surfaces of SPX and VIX while aligning with the skew-stickiness ratio (SSR) across maturities ranging from a few days to over two years. Furthermore, it is consistent with key empirical stylized facts, notably reproducing the Zumbach effect.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2503.14158,
  title  = {Capturing Smile Dynamics with the Quintic Volatility Model: SPX, Skew-Stickiness Ratio and VIX},
  author = {Eduardo Abi Jaber and Shaun and Li},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2503.14158},
  year   = {2026}
}

Comments

14 pages, 11 figures