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Global hypothesis tests are a useful tool in the context of, e.g, clinical trials, genetic studies or meta analyses, when researchers are not interested in testing individual hypotheses, but in testing whether none of the hypotheses is…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-05 Andreas Futschik , Thomas Taus , Sonja Zehetmayer

Standard probability theory has been extremely successful but there are some conceptually possible scenarios, such as fair infinite lotteries, that it does not model well. For this reason alternative probability theories have been…

Logic · Mathematics 2016-08-10 Hazel Brickhill , Leon Horsten

Recently Liu and Wang derived the likelihood ratio test (LRT) statistic and its asymptotic distribution for testing equality of two multinomial distributions vs. the alternative that the second distribution is larger in terms of increasing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Arthur Cohen , John Kolassa , Harold Sackrowitz

E-variables are a relatively new approach for testing statistical hypotheses that has been experiencing major development during the last several years. In this paper we introduce the method of e-variable-approximability and use it to…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-03-04 Georgii Potapov , Yuri Kalnishkan

Starting with a likelihood or preference order on worlds, we extend it to a likelihood ordering on sets of worlds in a natural way, and examine the resulting logic. Lewis earlier considered such a notion of relative likelihood in the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-08-31 J. Y. Halpern

Recently, Sturma, Drton, and Leung proposed a general-purpose stochastic method for hypothesis testing in models defined by polynomial equality and inequality constraints. Notably, the method remains theoretically valid even near irregular…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-07-21 David Barnhill , Marina Garrote-López , Elizabeth Gross , Max Hill , Bryson Kagy , John A. Rhodes , Joy Z. Zhang

Parametric inference posits a statistical model that is a specified family of probability distributions. Restricted inference, e.g., restricted likelihood ratio testing, attempts to exploit the structure of a statistical submodel that is a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-22 Michael W. Trosset , Carey E. Priebe

In this article the idea of random variables over the set theoretic universe is investigated. We explore what it can mean for a random set to have a specific probability of belonging to an antecedently given class of sets.

Logic · Mathematics 2019-03-21 Hazel Brickhill , Leon Horsten

We study generalizations of Demuth's Theorem, which states that the image of a Martin-L\"of random real under a tt-reduction is either computable or Turing equivalent to a Martin-L\"of random real. We show that Demuth's Theorem holds for…

Logic · Mathematics 2011-10-27 Laurent Bienvenu , Christopher Porter

Algorithmic theories of randomness can be related to theories of probabilistic sequence prediction through the notion of a predictor, defined as a function which supplies lower bounds on initial-segment probabilities of infinite sequences.…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-01-25 Lenhart K. Schubert

We give an algorithm A which assigns probabilities to logical sentences. For any simple infinite sequence of sentences whose truth-values appear indistinguishable from a biased coin that outputs "true" with probability p, we have that the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-10-13 Scott Garrabrant , Siddharth Bhaskar , Abram Demski , Joanna Garrabrant , George Koleszarik , Evan Lloyd

In the paper I study properties of random polynomials with respect to a general system of functions. Some lower bounds for the mathematical expectation of the uniform and recently introduced integral-uniform norms of random polynomials are…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Pavel Grigoriev

Motivated by applications to goodness of fit testing, the empirical likelihood approach is generalized to allow for the number of constraints to grow with the sample size and for the constraints to use estimated criteria functions. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-07-24 Hanxiang Peng , Anton Schick

This paper proposes an alternative language for expressing results of the algorithmic theory of randomness. The language is more precise in that it does not involve unspecified additive or multiplicative constants, making mathematical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-09 Vladimir Vovk

We introduce a novel notion of probability within quantum history theories and give a Gleasonesque proof for these assignments. This involves introducing a tentative novel axiom of probability. We also discuss how we are to interpret these…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-06-26 Thomas Marlow

There exists no consensus on the meaning of the term "randomization test". Contradicting uses of the term are leading to confusion, misunderstandings and indeed invalid data analyses. As we point out, a main source of the confusion is that…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-25 Jesse Hemerik

We illustrate the use of probability theory in existential proofs, focusing on the Lov\'asz Local Lemma. This result gives a lower bound for the probability of avoiding a suitable finite collection of events. We describe some applications…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2019-09-25 Irfan Alam

We apply a common measure of randomness, the entropy, in the context of iterated functions on a finite set with n elements. For a permutation, it turns out that this entropy is asymptotically (for a growing number of iterations) close to…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-20 Joachim von zur Gathen

Probabilistic models require the notion of event space for defining a probability measure. An event space has a probability measure which ensues the Kolmogorov axioms. However, the probabilities observed from distinct sources, such as that…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2012-03-13 Massimo Melucci

The well-known Leibniz theorem (Leibniz Criterion or alternating series test) of convergence of alternating series is generalized for the case when the absolute value of terms of series are "not absolutely monotonously" convergent to zero.…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2017-05-02 Galina A. Zverkina
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