Related papers: Nonlinear GARCH model and 1/f noise
This paper intends to meet recent claims for the attainment of more rigorous statistical methodology within the econophysics literature. To this end, we consider an econometric approach to investigate the outcomes of the log-periodic model…
We compare our results on empirical analysis of financial data with simulations of two stochastic models of the dynamics of stock market prices. The two models are (i) the truncated L\'evy flight recently introduced by us and (ii) the…
The ARCH process (R. F. Engle, 1982) constitutes a paradigmatic generator of stochastic time series with time-dependent variance like it appears on a wide broad of systems besides economics in which ARCH was born. Although the ARCH process…
Matrix-variate time series data are largely available in applications. However, no attempt has been made to study their conditional heteroskedasticity that is often observed in economic and financial data. To address this gap, we propose a…
During the last decades there has been increasing interest in modeling the volatility of financial data. Several parametric models have been proposed to this aim, starting from ARCH, GARCH and their variants, but often it is hard to…
We analyze the statistical properties of a temporal point process driven by a confined fractional Brownian motion. The event count distribution and power spectral density of this non--Markovian point process exhibit power--law scaling. We…
Power-law noises abound in nature and have been observed extensively in both time series and spatially varying environmental parameters. Although, recent years have seen the extension of traditional stochastic partial differential equations…
Security of oscillatory true random number generators remains not fully understood due to insufficient understanding of complex $1/f^\alpha$ phase noise. To bridge this gap, we introduce fractional Brownian motion as a comprehensive…
Engle's ARCH algorithm is a generator of stochastic time series for financial returns (and similar quantities) characterized by a time-dependent variance. It involves a memory parameter $b$ ($b=0$ corresponds to {\it no memory}), and the…
This work is devoted to the study of modeling geophysical and financial time series. A class of volatility models with time-varying parameters is presented to forecast the volatility of time series in a stationary environment. The modeling…
The origin of the low-frequency noise with power spectrum $1/f^\beta$ (also known as $1/f$ fluctuations or flicker noise) remains a challenge. Recently, the nonlinear stochastic differential equations for modeling $1/f^\beta$ noise have…
In this paper, we derive some asymptotic theory for the extremogram and cross-extremogram of a bivariate GARCH(1,1) process. We show that the tails of the components of a bivariate GARCH(1,1) process may exhibit power law behavior but,…
The discrete-time GARCH methodology which has had such a profound influence on the modelling of heteroscedasticity in time series is intuitively well motivated in capturing many `stylized facts' concerning financial series, and is now…
$1/f^\alpha$ noises are ubiquitous and affect many measurements. These noises are both a nuisance and a peculiarity of several physical systems; in dielectrics, glasses and networked liquids it is very common to study this noise to gather…
We propose a new class of financial volatility models, called the REcurrent Conditional Heteroskedastic (RECH) models, to improve both in-sample analysis and out-ofsample forecasting of the traditional conditional heteroskedastic models. In…
Quantum chaotic and integrable systems are known to exhibit a characteristic $1/f$ and $1/f^{2}$ noise, respectively, in the power spectrum associated to their spectral fluctuations. A recent work [R. Riser, V. A. Osipov, and E. Kanzieper,…
ARCH and GARCH models assume either i.i.d. or (what economists lable as) white noise as is usual in regression analysis while assuming memory in a conditional mean square fluctuation with stationary increments. We will show that ARCH/GARCH…
In this paper, we analyze the time-series of minute price returns on the Bitcoin market through the statistical models of generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) family. Several mathematical models have been…
Earlier we proposed the stochastic point process model, which reproduces a variety of self-affine time series exhibiting power spectral density S(f) scaling as power of the frequency f and derived a stochastic differential equation with the…
The main goal of this paper is an application of Bayesian model comparison, based on the posterior probabilities and posterior odds ratios, in testing the explanatory power of the set of competing GARCH (ang. Generalised Autoregressive…