Related papers: Nonlinear GARCH model and 1/f noise
Stochastic processes with multiplicative noise have been studied independently in several different contexts over the past decades. We focus on the regime, found for a generic set of control parameters, in which stochastic processes with…
This paper derives the analytic form of the $h$-step ahead prediction density of a GARCH(1,1) process under Gaussian innovations, with a possibly asymmetric news impact curve. The contributions of the paper consists both in the derivation…
The AutoRegressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (ARCH) and its generalized version (GARCH) family of models have grown to encompass a wide range of specifications, each of them is designed to enhance the ability of the model to capture…
Starting from the developed generalized point process model of $1/f$ noise (B. Kaulakys et al, Phys. Rev. E 71 (2005) 051105; cond-mat/0504025) we derive the nonlinear stochastic differential equations for the signal exhibiting 1/f^{\beta}$…
The log returns of financial time series are usually modeled by means of the stationary GARCH(1,1) stochastic process or its generalizations which can not properly describe the nonstationary deterministic components of the original series.…
We consider stochastic model based on the linear stochastic differential equation with the linear relaxation and with the diffusion-like fluctuations of the relaxation rate. The model generates monofractal signals with the non-Gaussian…
We present and analyze stochastic nonlinear differential equations generating signals with the power-law distributions of the signal intensity, 1/f^b noise, power-law autocorrelations and second order structural (height-height correlation)…
We consider a class of nonlinear stochastic differential equations, giving the power-law behavior of the power spectral density in any desirably wide range of frequency. Such equations were obtained starting from the point process models of…
Heteroskedasticity is a common feature of financial time series and is commonly addressed in the model building process through the use of ARCH and GARCH processes. More recently multivariate variants of these processes have been in the…
There are several mathematical models yielding 1/f noise. For example, 1/f spectrum can be obtained from stochastic sequence of pulses having power-law distribution of pulse durations or from nonlinear stochastic differential equations. We…
Nonlinear stochastic differential equations provide one of the mathematical models yielding 1/f noise. However, the drawback of a single equation as a source of 1/f noise is the necessity of power-law steady-state probability density of the…
We propose Neural GARCH, a class of methods to model conditional heteroskedasticity in financial time series. Neural GARCH is a neural network adaptation of the GARCH 1,1 model in the univariate case, and the diagonal BEKK 1,1 model in the…
The $GARCH$ algorithm is the most renowned generalisation of Engle's original proposal for modelising {\it returns}, the $ARCH$ process. Both cases are characterised by presenting a time dependent and correlated variance or {\it…
Nonlinear stochastic differential equations generating signals with 1/f spectrum have been used so far to describe socio-economical systems. In this paper we consider the motion of a Brownian particle in an inhomogeneous environment such…
Probability distributions which emerge from the formalism of nonextensive statistical mechanics have been applied to a variety of problems. In this paper we unite modeling of such distributions with the model of widespread 1/f noise. We…
We provide evidence that for some values of the parameters a simple agent based model, describing herding behavior, yields signals with 1/f power spectral density. We derive a non-linear stochastic differential equation for the ratio of…
Here, we have analysed a GARCH(1,1) model with the aim to fit higher order moments for different companies' stock prices. When we assume a gaussian conditional distribution, we fail to capture any empirical data when fitting the first three…
Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH) models have long been considered as one of the most successful families of approaches for volatility modeling in financial return series. In this paper, we propose an…
This paper considers the statistical inference of the class of asymmetric power-transformed $\operatorname{GARCH}(1,1)$ models in presence of possible explosiveness. We study the explosive behavior of volatility when the strict stationarity…
Starting from the simple point process model of 1/f noise we derive a stochastic nonlinear differential equation for the signal exhibiting 1/f noise in any desirably wide range of frequency. A stochastic differential equation (the general…