Related papers: Nonparametric forecasting of low-dimensional dynam…
A new theoretical approach to non-equilibrium statistical systems has recently been proposed by the author, a co-author and others. It is based on a variational principle which is associated with the discrepancy of a path through…
Near-optimal computational complexity of an adaptive stochastic Galerkin method with independently refined spatial meshes for elliptic partial differential equations is shown. The method takes advantage of multilevel structure in expansions…
The diffusion forecasting is a nonparametric approach that provably solves the Fokker-Planck PDE corresponding to It\^o diffusion without knowing the underlying equation. The key idea of this method is to approximate the solution of the…
This paper introduces a novel method for the automatic detection and handling of nonlinearities in a generic transformation. A nonlinearity index that exploits second order Taylor expansions and polynomial bounding techniques is first…
An hyperelastic biphasic model is presented. For slow-draining problems (permeability less than 1\times10-2 mm4 N-1 s-1), numerical instabilities in the form of non-physical oscillations in the pressure field are observed in 3D problems…
A finite dimensional abstract approximation and convergence theory is developed for estimation of the distribution of random parameters in infinite dimensional discrete time linear systems with dynamics described by regularly dissipative…
A multivariate distribution can be described by a triangular transport map from the target distribution to a simple reference distribution. We propose Bayesian nonparametric inference on the transport map by modeling its components using…
We study a class of stochastic semilinear damped wave equations driven by additive Wiener noise. Owing to the damping term, under appropriate conditions on the nonlinearity, the solution admits a unique invariant distribution. We apply…
We develop a non-empirical scheme to search for the minimum-energy escape paths from the minima of the potential surface to unknown saddle points nearby. A stochastic algorithm is constructed to move the walkers up the surface through the…
Over the past few decades, there has been substantial interest in evolution equations that involving a fractional-order derivative of order $\alpha\in(0,1)$ in time, due to their many successful applications in engineering, physics, biology…
This article deals with invariant manifolds for infinite dimensional random dynamical systems with different time scales. Such a random system is generated by a coupled system of fast-slow stochastic evolutionary equations. Under suitable…
Dynamical systems theory provides powerful methods to extract effective macroscopic dynamics from complex systems with slow modes and fast modes. Here we derive and theoretically support a macroscopic, spatially discrete, model for a class…
The theory of slow manifolds is an important tool in the study of deterministic dynamical systems, giving a practical method by which to reduce the number of relevant degrees of freedom in a model, thereby often resulting in a considerable…
In this paper we develop a nonparametric maximum likelihood estimate of the mixing distribution of the parameters of a linear stochastic dynamical system. This includes, for example, pharmacokinetic population models with process and…
In this paper we present a non-local numerical scheme based on the Local Discontinuous Galerkin method for a non-local diffusive partial differential equation with application to traffic flow. In this model, the velocity is determined by…
We propose a nonparametric approach for probabilistic prediction of the AL index trained with AL and solar wind ($v B_z$) data. Our framework relies on the diffusion forecasting technique, which views AL and $ v B_z $ data as observables of…
Dynamical modelling lies at the heart of our understanding of physical systems. Its role in science is deeper than mere operational forecasting, in that it allows us to evaluate the adequacy of the mathematical structure of our models.…
We consider a nonparametric Bayesian approach to estimate the diffusion coefficient of a stochastic differential equation given discrete time observations over a fixed time interval. As a prior on the diffusion coefficient, we employ a…
In this paper we propose a new methodology for solving a discrete time stochastic Markovian control problem under model uncertainty. By utilizing the Dirichlet process, we model the unknown distribution of the underlying stochastic process…
We consider a 1-dimensional diffusion process X with jumps. The particularity of this model relies in the jumps which are driven by a multidimensional Hawkes process denoted N. This article is dedicated to the study of a nonparametric…