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This paper considers approximate smoothing for discretely observed non-linear stochastic differential equations. The problem is tackled by developing methods for linearising stochastic differential equations with respect to an arbitrary…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-21 Filip Tronarp , Simo Särkkä

Accurate representation of non-Gaussian distributions of quantities of interest in nonlinear dynamical systems is critical for estimation, control, and decision-making, but can be challenging when forward propagations are expensive to carry…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-13 Aaron R. Liao , Kenshiro Oguri , Michele D. Carpenter

While diffusion models can successfully generate data and make predictions, they are predominantly designed for static images. We propose an approach for efficiently training diffusion models for probabilistic spatiotemporal forecasting,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-12 Salva Rühling Cachay , Bo Zhao , Hailey Joren , Rose Yu

The dynamics of systems of many degrees of freedom evolving on multiple scales are often modeled in terms of stochastic differential equations. Usually the structural form of these equations is unknown and the only manifestation of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-05 Dimitra Maoutsa

We focus on the numerical analysis of a polygonal discontinuous Galerkin scheme for the simulation of the exchange of fluid between a deformable saturated poroelastic structure and an adjacent free-flow channel. We specifically address wave…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-02-03 Michele Botti , Ivan Fumagalli , Ilario Mazzieri

We develop a general theory dealing with stochastic models for dynamical systems that are governed by various nonlinear, ordinary or partial differential, equations. In particular, we address the problem how flows in the random medium…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 Piotr Garbaczewski

This work is concerned with the dynamics of a class of slow-fast stochastic dynamical systems with non-Gaussian stable L\'evy noise with a scale parameter. Slow manifolds with exponentially tracking property are constructed, eliminating the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-07-18 Shenglan Yuan , Jianyu Hu , Xianming Liu , Jinqiao Duan

We study stochastically perturbed non-holonomic systems from a geometric point of view. In this setting, it turns out that the probabilistic properties of the perturbed system are intimately linked to the geometry of the constraint…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2019-11-14 Simon Hochgerner , Tudor S. Ratiu

We develop a methodology to construct low-dimensional predictive models from data sets representing essentially nonlinear (or non-linearizable) dynamical systems with a hyperbolic linear part that are subject to external forcing with…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-04-06 Mattia Cenedese , Joar Axås , Bastian Bäuerlein , Kerstin Avila , George Haller

This paper is a continuation of the work presented in [Chertock et al., Math. Cli. Weather Forecast. 5, 1 (2019), 65--106]. We study uncertainty propagation in warm cloud dynamics of weakly compressible fluids. The mathematical model is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-03-22 A. Chertock , A. Kurganov , M. Lukáčová-Medviďová , P. Spichtinger , B. Wiebe

We investigate a numerical behaviour of robust deterministic optimal control problem subject to a convection diffusion equation containing uncertain inputs. Stochastic Galerkin approach, turning the original optimization problem containing…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-03-01 Pelin Çiloğlu , Hamdullah Yücel

Mathematically modelling diffusive and advective transport of particles in heterogeneous layered media is important to many applications in computational, biological and medical physics. While deterministic continuum models of such…

Computational Physics · Physics 2024-09-16 Elliot J. Carr

We develop generalized polynomial chaos (gPC) based stochastic Galerkin (SG) methods for a class of highly oscillatory transport equations that arise in semiclassical modeling of non-adiabatic quantum dynamics. These models contain…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-04-05 Nicolas Crouseilles , Shi Jin , Mohammed Lemou , Liu Liu

In the study of gas dynamics, theoretical modeling and numerical simulation are mostly set up with deterministic settings. Given the coarse-grained modeling in theories of fluids, considerable uncertainties may exist between flow-field…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-08-07 Tianbai Xiao

We investigate numerical behaviour of a convection diffusion equation with random coefficients by approximating statistical moments of the solution. Stochastic Galerkin approach, turning the original stochastic problem to a system of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-10-19 Pelin Çiloğlu , Hamdullah Yücel

A novel data-driven method for formal verification is proposed to study complex systems operating in safety-critical domains. The proposed approach is able to formally verify discrete-time stochastic dynamical systems against temporal logic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-11 Zhi Zhang , Chenyu Ma , Saleh Soudijani , Sadegh Soudjani

We present and analyze a structure-preserving method for the approximation of solutions to nonlinear cross-diffusion systems, which combines a Local Discontinuous Galerkin spatial discretization with the backward Euler time-stepping scheme.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-11-18 Sergio Gómez , Ansgar Jüngel , Ilaria Perugia

Stochastic differential equations are an important modeling class in many disciplines. Consequently, there exist many methods relying on various discretization and numerical integration schemes. In this paper, we propose a novel,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-29 Gabriele Abbati , Philippe Wenk , Michael A Osborne , Andreas Krause , Bernhard Schölkopf , Stefan Bauer

We examine characteristic properties of deterministic and stochastic diffusion in low-dimensional chaotic dynamical systems. As an example, we consider a periodic array of scatterers defined by a simple chaotic map on the line. Adding…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-07 R. Klages

The present works is focused on studying bifurcating solutions in compressible fluid dynamics. On one side, the physics of the problem is thoroughly investigated using high-fidelity simulations of the compressible Navier-Stokes equations…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-12-21 Niccolò Tonicello , Andrea Lario , Gianluigi Rozza , Gianmarco Mengaldo