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This work aims at making a comprehensive contribution in the general area of parametric inference for discretely observed diffusion processes. Established approaches for likelihood-based estimation invoke a time-discretisation scheme for…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-30 Yuga Iguchi , Alexandros Beskos , Matthew M. Graham

A numerical method is proposed to compute a low-rank Galerkin approximation to the solution of a parametric or stochastic equation in a non-intrusive fashion. The considered nonlinear problems are associated with the minimization of a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-05-11 Loïc Giraldi , Dishi Liu , Hermann G. Matthies , Anthony Nouy

The problem of determining the mathematical model of the dynamics of multi-dimensional control systems in the presence of noise under the condition that the correlation functions cannot be found. Known statistical dynamics of linear systems…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2013-01-29 V. N. Tibabishev

Intrusive Uncertainty Quantification methods such as stochastic Galerkin are gaining popularity, whereas the classical stochastic Galerkin approach is not ensured to preserve hyperbolicity of the underlying hyperbolic system. We apply a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-12-20 Jakob Dürrwächter , Thomas Kuhn , Fabian Meyer , Louisa Schlachter , Florian Schneider

Conditional diffusion models provide a natural framework for probabilistic prediction of dynamical systems and have been successfully applied to fluid dynamics and weather prediction. However, in many settings, the available information at…

Polynomial chaos methods have been extensively used to analyze systems in uncertainty quantification. Furthermore, several approaches exist to determine a low-dimensional approximation (or sparse approximation) for some quantity of interest…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-05-04 John D. Jakeman , Roland Pulch

We study the problem of estimating the coefficients of a diffusion (X_t,t\geq 0); the estimation is based on discrete data X_{n\Delta},n=0,1,...,N. The sampling frequency \Delta^{-1} is constant, and asymptotics are taken as the number N of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Emmanuel Gobet , Marc Hoffmann , Markus Reiss

In this paper we study model reduction of linear and bilinear quadratic stochastic control problems with parameter uncertainties. Specifically, we consider slow-fast systems with unknown diffusion coefficient and study the convergence of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-02-10 Hafida Bouanani , Carsten Hartmann , Omar Kebiri

A new method is proposed to numerically extract the diffusivity of a (typically nonlinear) diffusion equation from underlying stochastic particle systems. The proposed strategy requires the system to be in local equilibrium and have…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-05-09 Peter Embacher , Nicolas Dirr , Johannes Zimmer , Celia Reina

Estimating the state of a dynamical system from a series of noise-corrupted observations is fundamental in many areas of science and engineering. The most well-known method, the Kalman smoother (and the related Kalman filter), relies on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-04-24 Luca Ambrogioni , Umut Güçlü , Eric Maris , Marcel van Gerven

The Fokker-Planck equations for stochastic dynamical systems, with non-Gaussian $\alpha-$stable symmetric L\'evy motions, have a nonlocal or fractional Laplacian term. This nonlocality is the manifestation of the effect of non-Gaussian…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2013-10-30 Ting Gao , Jinqiao Duan , Xiaofan Li

Nonlinear systems with model uncertainty are often described by stochastic differential equations. Some techniques from random dynamical systems are discussed. They are relevant to better understanding of solution processes of stochastic…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2008-11-25 Jinqiao Duan

This paper presents an algorithm to apply nonlinear control design approaches in the case of stochastic systems with partial state observation. Deterministic nonlinear control approaches are formulated under the assumption of full state…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-19 Mohammad S. Ramadan , Mohammad Alsuwaidan , Ahmed Atallah , Sylvia Herbert

We propose a family of high-order local discontinuous Galerkin (LDG) methods, built on a parametric representation and coupled with a semi-implicit backward Euler time discretization, for isotropic and anisotropic curve-shortening flows.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-04-06 Xiuhui Guo , Wei Jiang , Chunmei Su

We develop a stochastic Galerkin method for a coupled Navier-Stokes-cloud system that models dynamics of warm clouds. Our goal is to explicitly describe the evolution of uncertainties that arise due to unknown input data, such as model…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-04-20 A. Chertock , A. Kurganov , M. Lukáčová-Medviďová , P. Spichtinger , B. Wiebe

By building upon the recent theory that established the connection between implicit generative modeling (IGM) and optimal transport, in this study, we propose a novel parameter-free algorithm for learning the underlying distributions of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-12 Antoine Liutkus , Umut Şimşekli , Szymon Majewski , Alain Durmus , Fabian-Robert Stöter

We present a numerical method to model dynamical systems from data. We use the recently introduced method Scalable Probabilistic Approximation (SPA) to project points from a Euclidean space to convex polytopes and represent these projected…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-02-17 Niklas Wulkow , Péter Koltai , Vikram Sunkara , Christof Schütte

Complex chaotic dynamics, seen in natural and industrial systems like turbulent flows and weather patterns, often span vast spatial domains with interactions across scales. Accurately capturing these features requires a high-dimensional…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2024-10-03 C. Ricardo Constante-Amores , Alec J. Linot , Michael D. Graham

This paper presents the open-source stochastic model predictive control framework GRAMPC-S for nonlinear uncertain systems with chance constraints. It provides several uncertainty propagation methods to predict stochastic moments of the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-25 Daniel Landgraf , Andreas Völz , Knut Graichen

Traditional nonparametric estimation methods often lead to a slow convergence rate in large dimensions and require unrealistically enormous sizes of datasets for reliable conclusions. We develop an approach based on partial derivatives,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-20 Xiaowu Dai