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We provide a nonparametric method for the computation of instantaneous multivariate volatility for continuous semi-martingales, which is based on Fourier analysis. The co-volatility is reconstructed as a stochastic function of time by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-14 Paul Malliavin , Maria Elvira Mancino

In this paper, we aim at estimating the quarticity of continuous It\^{o} semimartingales. Instead of using some classical estimators, we introduce a more intuitive one and establish a central limit theorem (CLT) for it, with a convergence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-01 Yi Guo

In this paper we propose an estimator of spot covariance matrix which ensure symmetric positive semi-definite estimations. The proposed estimator relies on a suitable modification of the Fourier covariance estimator in Malliavin and Mancino…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-11 Jirô Akahori , Nien-Lin Liu , Maria Elvira Mancino , Tommaso Mariotti , Yukie Yasuda

We propose new nonparametric estimators of the integrated volatility of an It\^{o} semimartingale observed at discrete times on a fixed time interval with mesh of the observation grid shrinking to zero. The proposed estimators achieve the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-30 Jean Jacod , Viktor Todorov

This work is concerned with tests on structural breaks in the spot volatility process of a general It\^o semimartingale based on discrete observations contaminated with i.i.d. microstructure noise. We construct a consistent test building up…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-25 Markus Bibinger , Mehmet Madensoy

We consider a multidimensional Ito semimartingale regularly sampled on [0,t] at high frequency 1/\Delta_n, with \Delta_n going to zero. The goal of this paper is to provide an estimator for the integral over [0,t] of a given function of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-11 Jean Jacod , Mathieu Rosenbaum

We consider a multidimensional Ito semimartingale regularly sampled on [0,t] at high frequency $1/\Delta_n$, with $\Delta_n$ going to zero. The goal of this paper is to provide an estimator for the integral over [0,t] of a given function of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-08-14 Jean Jacod , Mathieu Rosenbaum

In this paper we study the Fourier estimator of Malliavin and Mancino for the spot volatility. We establish the convergence of the trigonometric polynomial to the volatility's path in a setting that includes the following aspects. First,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-15 L. J. Espinosa González , Erick Treviño Aguilar

This work develops change-point methods for statistics of high-frequency data. The main interest is in the volatility of an It\^{o} semi-martingale, the latter being discretely observed over a fixed time horizon. We construct a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-13 Markus Bibinger , Moritz Jirak , Mathias Vetter

We study the asymptotic normality of two feasible estimators of the integrated volatility of volatility based on the Fourier methodology, which does not require the pre-estimation of the spot volatility. We show that the bias-corrected…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-07 Giacomo Toscano , Giulia Livieri , Maria Elvira Mancino , Stefano Marmi

Estimating spot covariance is an important issue to study, especially with the increasing availability of high-frequency financial data. We study the estimation of spot covariance using a kernel method for high-frequency data. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-21 Konul Mustafayeva , Weining Wang

In this paper we introduce a general method for estimating the quadratic covariation of one or more spot parameters processes associated with continuous time semimartingales. This estimator is applicable to a wide range of spot parameter…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-26 Emil A. Stoltenberg , Per A. Mykland , Lan Zhang

We consider estimation of the spot volatility in a stochastic boundary model with one-sided microstructure noise for high-frequency limit order prices. Based on discrete, noisy observations of an It\^o semimartingale with jumps and general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-20 Markus Bibinger

An efficient estimator is constructed for the quadratic covariation or integrated co-volatility matrix of a multivariate continuous martingale based on noisy and nonsynchronous observations under high-frequency asymptotics. Our approach…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-02 Markus Bibinger , Nikolaus Hautsch , Peter Malec , Markus Reiß

We propose a new estimator of high-dimensional spot volatility matrices satisfying a low-rank plus sparse structure from noisy and asynchronous high-frequency data collected for an ultra-large number of assets. The noise processes are…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-03-12 Degui Li , Oliver Linton , Haoxuan Zhang

In order to study the geometry of interest rates market dynamics, Malliavin, Mancino and Recchioni [A non-parametric calibration of the HJM geometry: an application of It\^o calculus to financial statistics, {\it Japanese Journal of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-09-09 Nien-Lin Liu , Hoang-Long Ngo

This article studies the finite sample behaviour of a number of estimators for the integrated power volatility process of a Brownian semistationary process in the non semi-martingale setting. We establish three consistent feasible…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-18 Phillip Murray , Riccardo Passeggeri , Almut E. D. Veraart , Mikko S. Pakkanen

Statistical inference for stochastic processes based on high-frequency observations has been an active research area for more than two decades. One of the most well-known and widely studied problems has been the estimation of the quadratic…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-04-23 B. Cooper Boniece , José E. Figueroa-López , Yuchen Han

We propose a method for constructing sparse high-frequency volatility estimators that are robust against change points in the spot volatility process. The estimators we propose are $\ell_1$-regularized versions of existing volatility…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-02 Greeshma Balabhadra , El Mehdi Ainasse , Pawel Polak

We propose an estimation methodology for a semiparametric quantile factor panel model. We provide tools for inference that are robust to the existence of moments and to the form of weak cross-sectional dependence in the idiosyncratic error…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-01 Shujie Ma , Oliver Linton , Jiti Gao
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