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We construct realistic spot and equity option market simulators for a single underlying on the basis of normalizing flows. We address the high-dimensionality of market observed call prices through an arbitrage-free autoencoder that…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-14 Magnus Wiese , Ben Wood , Alexandre Pachoud , Ralf Korn , Hans Buehler , Phillip Murray , Lianjun Bai

This paper considers a simulation-based estimator for a general class of Markovian processes and explores some strong consistency properties of the estimator. The estimation problem is defined over a continuum of invariant distributions…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-01-14 Manuel S. Santos

This paper deals with a projection least squares estimator of the function $J_0$ computed from multiple independent observations on $[0,T]$ of the process $Z$ defined by $dZ_t = J_0(t)d\langle M\rangle_t + dM_t$, where $M$ is a continuous…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-18 Nicolas Marie

We consider the solution $u(x,t)$ to a stochastic heat equation. For fixed $x$, the process $F(t)=u(x,t)$ has a nontrivial quartic variation. It follows that $F$ is not a semimartingale, so a stochastic integral with respect to $F$ cannot…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-11-08 Krzysztof Burdzy , Jason Swanson

In this paper we propose a novel algorithm, factored value iteration (FVI), for the approximate solution of factored Markov decision processes (fMDPs). The traditional approximate value iteration algorithm is modified in two ways. For one,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2008-08-13 Istvan Szita , Andras Lorincz

We consider the estimation problem in a regression setting where the outcome variable is subject to nonignorable missingness and identifiability is ensured by the shadow variable approach. We propose a versatile estimation procedure where…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-09 Jiwei Zhao , Yanyuan Ma

We present a new simple method of estimating stochastic volatility and its volatility. This method is applicable to both cross-sectional and time-series data. Moreover, this method does not require volatility data series.

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-12-04 Moawia Alghalith

Fourier-based methods are central to option pricing and hedging when the Fourier-Laplace transform of the log-price and integrated variance is available semi-explicitly. This is the case for the Volterra Stein-Stein stochastic volatility…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-18 Eduardo Abi Jaber , Maxime Guellil

We study a well-known estimator of the fractal index of a stochastic process. Our framework is very general and encompasses many models of interest; we show how to extend the theory of the estimator to a large class of non-Gaussian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-02 Mikkel Bennedsen

High frequency based estimation methods for a semiparametric pure-jump subordinated Brownian motion exposed to a small additive microstructure noise are developed building on the two-scales realized variations approach originally developed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-07 Jose E. Figueroa-Lopez , K. Lee

Our main result is the martingale representations for Markov additive processes where the modulator is a Levy process. These processes have three parts: the modulator, the jumps of the ordinate triggered by the modulator, and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-09 Celal Umut Yaran , Mine Çağlar

We provide a characterization of continuous semimartingales whose law is invariant with respect to predictable random rotations. In particular we prove that all such semimartingales are obtained by integrating a predictable process with…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-25 Francesco C. De Vecchi

Consider discrete time observations (X_{\ell\delta})_{1\leq \ell \leq n+1}$ of the process $X$ satisfying $dX_t= \sqrt{V_t} dB_t$, with $V_t$ a one-dimensional positive diffusion process independent of the Brownian motion $B$. For both the…

Methodology · Statistics 2007-12-25 Fabienne Comte , Valentine Genon-Catalot , Yves Rozenholc

Extending It\^o's formula to non-smooth functions is important both in theory and applications. One of the fairly general extensions of the formula, known as Meyer-It\^o, applies to one dimensional semimartingales and convex functions.…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-07-02 Ramin Okhrati , Uwe Schmock

Time-varying stochastic optimization problems frequently arise in machine learning practice (e.g. gradual domain shift, object tracking, strategic classification). Although most problems are solved in discrete time, the underlying process…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-24 Subha Maity , Debarghya Mukherjee , Moulinath Banerjee , Yuekai Sun

Predicting scalar outcomes using functional predictors is a classic problem in functional data analysis. In many applications, however, only specific locations or time-points of the functional predictors have an impact on the outcome. Such…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-14 Dominik Poß , Dominik Liebl , Alois Kneip , Hedwig Eisenbarth , Tor D. Wager , Lisa Feldman Barrett

Covariance matrix estimates are an essential part of many signal processing algorithms, and are often used to determine a low-dimensional principal subspace via their spectral decomposition. However, exact eigenanalysis is computationally…

Applications · Statistics 2011-12-01 Nicholas Arcolano , Patrick J. Wolfe

This paper introduces a novel process for both factor and idiosyncratic volatility matrices whose eigenvalues follow the vector auto-regressive (VAR) model. We call it the factor and idiosyncratic VAR (FIVAR) model. The FIVAR model accounts…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-25 Minseok Shin , Donggyu Kim , Yazhen Wang , Jianqing Fan

We consider discrete time models for asset prices with a stationary volatility process. We aim at estimating the multivariate density of this process at a set of consecutive time instants. A Fourier type deconvolution kernel density…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-15 Bert van Es , Peter Spreij , Harry van Zanten

We investigate a modified split-step Fourier method (SSFM) by including low-pass filters in the linear steps. This method can simultaneously achieve a higher simulation accuracy and a slightly reduced complexity.

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-01-25 Shen Li , Magnus Karlsson , Erik Agrell
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