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We consider the robust adaptive nonparametric estimation problem for a periodic function observed in the framework of a continuous time regression model with semimartingale noises.

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-26 Evgeny A. Pchelintsev , Serguei M. Pergamenshchikov , Maria A. Povzun

Many estimators of dynamic discrete choice models with persistent unobserved heterogeneity have desirable statistical properties but are computationally intensive. In this paper we propose a method to quicken estimation for a broad class of…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-04-09 Jackson Bunting , Takuya Ura

We propose model-free (nonparametric) estimators of the volatility of volatility and leverage effect using high-frequency observations of short-dated options. At each point in time, we integrate available options into estimates of the…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-01-24 Carsten H. Chong , Viktor Todorov

The general method is proposed for constructing a family of martingale measures for a wide class of evolution of risky assets. The sufficient conditions are formulated for the evolution of risky assets under which the family of equivalent…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-27 N. S. Gonchar

This paper presents a Hayashi-Yoshida type estimator for the covariation matrix of continuous It\^o semimartingales observed with noise. The coordinates of the multivariate process are assumed to be observed at highly frequent…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-24 Kim Christensen , Mark Podolskij , Mathias Vetter

We present an elementary treatment of the Optional Decomposition Theorem for continuous semimartingales and general filtrations. This treatment does not assume the existence of equivalent local martingale measure(s), only that of strictly…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-05 Ioannis Karatzas , Constantinos Kardaras

We consider noisy non-synchronous discrete observations of a continuous semimartingale with random volatility. Functional stable central limit theorems are established under high-frequency asymptotics in three setups: one-dimensional for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-28 Randolf Altmeyer , Markus Bibinger

We provide a simple explicit estimator for discretely observed Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard models, prove rigorously consistency and asymptotic normality based on the single assumption that all moments of the stationary distribution of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Friedrich Hubalek , Petra Posedel

This paper presents the Fourier-Malliavin Volatility (FMVol) estimation library for MATLAB. This library includes functions that implement Fourier- Malliavin estimators (see Malliavin and Mancino (2002, 2009)) of the volatility and…

Computation · Statistics 2024-02-02 Simona Sanfelici , Giacomo Toscano

The problem of decomposing a given covariance matrix as the sum of a positive semi-definite matrix of given rank and a positive semi-definite diagonal matrix, is considered. We present a projection-type algorithm to address this problem.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-06-13 Valentina Ciccone , Augusto Ferrante , Mattia Zorzi

We derive a forward partial integro-differential equation for prices of call options in a model where the dynamics of the underlying asset under the pricing measure is described by a -possibly discontinuous- semimartingale. A uniqueness…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-09-04 Rama Cont , Amel Bentata

We provide a comprehensive analysis of spot volatility inference in pure-jump semimartingales under two asymptotic settings: fixed-$k$, where each local window uses a fixed number of observations, and large-$k$, where this number grows with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-27 Chengxin Yan , Dachuan Chen , Jia Li

Marginal model is a popular instrument for studying longitudinal data and cluster data. This paper investigates the estimator of marginal model with subgroup auxiliary information. To marginal model, we propose a new type of auxiliary…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-11 Jie He , Xiaogang Duan , Shumei Zhang , Hui Li

The main contribution of the paper is proving that the Fourier spot volatility estimator introduced in [Malliavin and Mancino, 2002] is consistent and asymptotically efficient if the price process is contaminated by microstructure noise.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-20 Maria Elvira Mancino , Tommaso Mariotti , Giacomo Toscano

We first revisit the problem of estimating the spot volatility of an It\^o semimartingale using a kernel estimator. We prove a Central Limit Theorem with optimal convergence rate for a general two-sided kernel. Next, we introduce a new…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-02-08 José E. Figueroa-López , Bei Wu

In this paper, we consider estimating spot/instantaneous volatility matrices of high-frequency data collected for a large number of assets. We first combine classic nonparametric kernel-based smoothing with a generalised shrinkage technique…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-22 Ruijun Bu , Degui Li , Oliver Linton , Hanchao Wang

We introduce a simple and tractable methodology for estimating semiparametric conditional latent factor models. Our approach disentangles the roles of characteristics in capturing factor betas of asset returns from ``alpha.'' We construct…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-04-29 Qihui Chen , Nikolai Roussanov , Xiaoliang Wang

We consider a stochastic volatility model where the dynamics of the volatility are given by a possibly infinite linear combination of the elements of the time extended signature of a Brownian motion. First, we show that the model is…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-03 Eduardo Abi Jaber , Louis-Amand Gérard

A technique for on-line estimation of spot volatility for high-frequency data is developed. The algorithm works directly on the transaction data and updates the volatility estimate immediately after the occurrence of a new transaction.…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-01-15 Rainer Dahlhaus , Jan C. Neddermeyer

We propose a new pivot selection technique for symmetric indefinite factorization of sparse matrices. Such factorization should maintain both sparsity and numerical stability of the factors, both of which depend solely on the choices of the…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2016-01-27 Duangpen Jetpipattanapong , Gun Srijuntongsiri