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Anecdotally, using an estimated propensity score is superior to the true propensity score in estimating the average treatment effect based on observational data. However, this claim comes with several qualifications: it holds only if…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-03 Fangzhou Su , Wenlong Mou , Peng Ding , Martin J. Wainwright

We are interested in the problem of robust parametric estimation of a density from $n$ i.i.d. observations. By using a practice-oriented procedure based on robust tests, we build an estimator for which we establish non-asymptotic risk…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-31 Mathieu Sart

Integral expressions for positive-part moments E X_+^p (p>0) of random variables X are presented, in terms of the Fourier-Laplace or Fourier transforms of the distribution of X. A necessary and sufficient condition for the validity of such…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-17 Iosif Pinelis

A new class of dependent random measures which we call {\it compound random measures} are proposed and the use of normalized versions of these random measures as priors in Bayesian nonparametric mixture models is considered. Their…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-03 Jim E. Griffin , Fabrizio Leisen

With the ubiquitous availability of unstructured data, growing attention is paid as how to adjust for selection bias in such non-probability samples. The majority of the robust estimators proposed by prior literature are either fully or…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-08 Ali Rafei , Michael R. Elliott , Carol A. C. Flannagan

We study the empirical likelihood approach to construct confidence intervals for the optimal value and the optimality gap of a given solution, henceforth quantify the statistical uncertainty of sample average approximation, for optimization…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-25 Henry Lam , Enlu Zhou

Given a L\'evy process $L$, we consider the so-called statistical Skorohod embedding problem of recovering the distribution of an independent random time $T$ based on i.i.d. sample from $L_{T}.$ Our approach is based on the genuine use of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-04 Denis Belomestny , John Schoenmakers

Non-linear statistical inverse problems pose major challenges both for statistical analysis and computation. Likelihood-based estimators typically lead to non-convex and possibly multimodal optimization landscapes, and Markov chain Monte…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-15 Sven Wang

If the log likelihood is approximately quadratic with constant Hessian, then the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) is approximately normally distributed. No other assumptions are required. We do not need independent and identically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-06 Charles J. Geyer

Building upon the continuous record asymptotic framework recently introduced by Casini and Perron (2018a) for inference in structural change models, we propose a Laplace-based (Quasi-Bayes) procedure for the construction of the estimate and…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-05-13 Alessandro Casini , Pierre Perron

Given any domain $X\subseteq \mathbb{R}^d$ and a probability measure $\rho$ on $X$, we study the problem of approximating in $L^2(X,\rho)$ a given function $u:X\to\mathbb{R}$, using its noiseless pointwise evaluations at random samples. For…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-07-11 Giovanni Migliorati

We consider inference procedures, conditional on an observed ancillary statistic, for regression coefficients under a linear regression setup where the unknown error distribution is specified nonparametrically. We establish conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2007-10-31 Yvonne Ho , Stephen Lee

Functions satisfying a defective renewal equation arise commonly in applied probability models. Usually these functions don't admit a explicit expression. In this work we consider to approximate them by means of a gamma-type operator given…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-09 C. Sangüesa

In this paper, I study the nonparametric identification and estimation of the marginal effect of an endogenous variable $X$ on the outcome variable $Y$, given a potentially mismeasured instrument variable $W^*$, without assuming linearity…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-04-23 Shaomin Wu

We consider the class of inverse probability weight (IPW) estimators, including the popular Horvitz-Thompson and Hajek estimators used routinely in survey sampling, causal inference and evidence estimation for Bayesian computation. We focus…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-15 Jyotishka Datta , Nicholas Polson

When extending the Ehrhart lattice point enumerator $L_P(t)$ to allow real dilation parameters $t$, we lose the invariance under integer translations that exists when $t$ is restricted to be an integer. This paper studies this phenomenon;…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2017-12-07 Tiago Royer

In this paper, we examine the distribution and convergence properties of the estimation error $W = X - \hat{X}(Y)$, where $\hat{X}(Y)$ is the Bayesian estimator of a random variable $X$ from a noisy observation $Y = X +\sigma Z$ where…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-07-11 Luca Barletta , Alex Dytso , Shlomo Shamai

The likelihood function plays a pivotal role in statistical inference; it is adaptable to a wide range of models and the resultant estimators are known to have good properties. However, these results hinge on correct specification of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-15 Adam Jaeger , Nicole Lazar

We construct in the small-time setting the upper and lower estimates for the transition probability density of a L\'evy process in $\rn$. Our approach relies on the complex analysis technique and the asymptotic analysis of the inverse…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-29 V. Knopova

We consider the problem of estimating the joint distribution function of the event time and a continuous mark variable when the event time is subject to interval censoring case 1 and the continuous mark variable is only observed in case the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-02-10 Piet Groeneboom , Geurt Jongbloed , Birgit Witte
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