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This paper develops a polynomial normal transformation model, whereby various non-normal probability distributions can be simulated by the standard normal distribution. Two methods are presented to determine the coefficients of polynomial…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-08-27 Qing Xiao

We study the problem of estimating a distribution over a finite alphabet from an i.i.d. sample, with accuracy measured in relative entropy (Kullback-Leibler divergence). While optimal bounds on the expected risk are known, high-probability…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-27 Jaouad Mourtada

We establish asymptotic properties of $M$-estimators, defined in terms of a contrast function and observations from a continuous-time locally stationary process. Using the stationary approximation of the sequence, $\theta$-weak dependence,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-11 Bennet Ströh

We consider the conventional Laplace transform of $f(x)$, denoted by $\mathcal{L}[f(x); p]~\equiv~F(p)=\int_{0}^{\infty} e^{-p x} f(x) dx$ with ${\rm \mathfrak{Re}}(p) > 0$. For $0 < \alpha < 1$ we furnish the closed form expressions for…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2016-01-12 K. A. Penson , K. Górska

Recurrent events are common and important clinical trial endpoints in many disease areas, e.g., cardiovascular hospitalizations in heart failure, relapses in multiple sclerosis, or exacerbations in asthma. During a trial, patients may…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-08 Jiren Sun , Tobias Mutze , Richard Cook , Tianmeng Lyu

The Box-Cox transformation is applied to the linear mixed models for analyzing positive and grouped data. The problem in using Box Cox transformation is that the maximum likelihood estimator of the transformation parameter is generally…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-09-07 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Tatsuya Kubokawa

We consider discrete time Markov chains with Polish state space. The large deviations principle for empirical measures of a Markov chain can equivalently be stated in Laplace principle form, which builds on the convex dual pair of relative…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Stephan Eckstein

This paper focuses on the computational complexity of computing empirical plug-in estimates for causal effect queries. Given a causal graph and observational data, any identifiable causal query can be estimated from an expression over the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-11-18 Rina Dechter , Annie Raichev , Alexander Ihler , Jin Tian

Empirical likelihood is a popular nonparametric or semi-parametric statistical method with many nice statistical properties. Yet when the sample size is small, or the dimension of the accompanying estimating function is high, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-05 Yukun Liu , Jiahua Chen

We solve the problem of estimating the distribution of presumed i.i.d. observations for the total variation loss. Our approach is based on density models and is versatile enough to cope with many different ones, including some density…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-05 Y. Baraud , H. Halconruy , G. Maillard

We study small deviations in Mandelbrot cascades and some related models. Denoting by $Y$ the total mass variable of a Mandelbrot cascade generated by $W$, we show that if $\log \log 1/P(W \leq x) \sim \gamma \log \log 1/x$ as $x \to 0$…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-17 Miika Nikula

Our investigation concerns the estimation of predictive densities and a study of efficiency as measured by the frequentist risk of such predictive densities with integrated $L_2$ and $L_1$ losses. Our findings relate to a $p-$variate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-08-25 Tatsuya Kubokawa , Éric Marchand , William E. Strawderman

We propose a general approach to construct weighted likelihood estimating equations with the aim of obtaining robust parameter estimates. We modify the standard likelihood equations by incorporating a weight that reflects the statistical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-24 Claudio Agostinelli , Ayanendranath Basu , Giulia Bertagnolli , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

In this paper both piecewise linear and piecewise uniform approximation of probability density function are performed. For the probability density function approximated in these ways, a compressor function is formed. On the basis of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-12-11 Lazar Velimirovic , Zoran Peric , Miomir Stankovic , Nikola Simic

Given univariate random variables $Y_1, \ldots, Y_n$ with the $\text{Uniform}(\theta_0 - 1, \theta_0 + 1)$ distribution, the sample midrange $\frac{Y_{(n)}+Y_{(1)}}{2}$ is the MLE for $\theta_0$ and estimates $\theta_0$ with error of order…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-21 Yu-Chun Kao , Min Xu , Cun-Hui Zhang

We consider the problem of estimating states and parameters in a model based on a system of coupled stochastic differential equations, based on noisy discrete-time data. Special attention is given to nonlinear dynamics and state-dependent…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-01 Uffe Høgsbro Thygesen , Kasper Kristensen

The local regularity of functional time series is studied under $L^p-m-$appro\-ximability assumptions. The sample paths are observed with error at possibly random design points. Non-asymptotic concentration bounds of the regularity…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-21 Hassan Maissoro , Valentin Patilea , Myriam Vimond

In this paper, we further develop the approach, originating in [14 (arXiv:1311.6765),20 (arXiv:1604.02576)], to "computation-friendly" hypothesis testing and statistical estimation via Convex Programming. Specifically, we focus on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-16 Anatoli Juditsky , Arkadi Nemirovski

Laplace approximations are a standard tool for computationally efficient inference in latent Gaussian models, but they fail for quantile regression with the asymmetric Laplace likelihood because the observed Hessian vanishes almost…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-21 Andrea Nava , Fabio Sigrist

We begin by introducing a class of conditional density estimators based on local polynomial techniques. The estimators are boundary adaptive and easy to implement. We then study the (pointwise and) uniform statistical properties of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-19 Matias D. Cattaneo , Rajita Chandak , Michael Jansson , Xinwei Ma