English

Estimation Error: Distribution and Pointwise Limits

Information Theory 2025-07-11 v2 math.IT

Abstract

In this paper, we examine the distribution and convergence properties of the estimation error W=XX^(Y)W = X - \hat{X}(Y), where X^(Y)\hat{X}(Y) is the Bayesian estimator of a random variable XX from a noisy observation Y=X+σZY = X +\sigma Z where σ\sigma is the parameter indicating the strength of noise ZZ. Using the conditional expectation framework (that is, X^(Y)\hat{X}(Y) is the conditional mean), we define the normalized error Eσ=Wσ\mathcal{E}_\sigma = \frac{W}{\sigma} and explore its properties. Specifically, in the first part of the paper, we characterize the probability density function of WW and Eσ\mathcal{E}_\sigma. Along the way, we also find conditions for the existence of the inverse functions for the conditional expectations. In the second part, we study pointwise (i.e., almost sure) convergence of Eσ\mathcal{E}_\sigma as σ0\sigma \to 0 under various assumptions about the noise and the underlying distributions. Our results extend some of the previous limits of Eσ\mathcal{E}_\sigma as σ0\sigma \to 0 studied under the L2L^2 convergence, known as the \emph{mmse dimension}, to the pointwise case.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2501.11109,
  title  = {Estimation Error: Distribution and Pointwise Limits},
  author = {Luca Barletta and Alex Dytso and Shlomo Shamai},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2501.11109},
  year   = {2025}
}

Comments

9 pages. Extended version of a paper presented to IEEE ITW 2025. 2nd version: corrected a typo in Proposition 1 and in Theorem 1