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Quantifying the attack ratio of disease is key to epidemiological inference and Public Health planning. For multi-serotype pathogens, however, different levels of serotype-specific immunity make it difficult to assess the population at…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-02-05 Flavio Coelho , Luiz Max Carvalho

It is estimated that around 80\% of the world's population live in areas susceptible to at-least one major vector borne disease, and approximately 20% of global communicable diseases are spread by mosquitoes. Furthermore, the outbreaks of…

Wolbachia is a genus of endosymbiotic bacteria that can infect mosquitoes and reduce their ability to transmit dengue virus. Although the bacterium is transmitted vertically from infected mothers to their offspring, it can be difficult to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-10-06 Ling Xue , Carrie A. Manore , Panpim Thongsripong , James M. Hyman

Traditional epidemic models consider that individual processes occur at constant rates. That is, an infected individual has a constant probability per unit time of recovering from infection after contagion. This assumption certainly fails…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-03-18 Guillermo Abramson , Sebastian Gonçalves , Marcelo F. C. Gomes

In the fight against vector-borne arboviruses, an important strategy of control of epidemic consists in controlling the population of vector, \textit{Aedes} mosquitoes in this case. Among possible actions, two techniques consist in…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-01-18 Luís Almeida , Michel Duprez , Yannick Privat , Nicolas Vauchelet

Dengue virus (DENV) is a mosquito-borne virus with a significant human health concern. With 390 million infections annually and 96 million showing clinical symptoms, severe dengue can lead to life-threatening conditions like dengue…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2024-09-18 Xiaoyang Liu , Daniel Salmon

Infectious diseases spread via pathogens such as viruses and bacteria. Airborne pathogen transmission via droplets is an important mode for infectious diseases. In this paper, the spreading mechanism of infectious diseases by airborne…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-07-16 Fatih Gulec , Baris Atakan

We develop and analyze an ordinary differential equation model to assess the potential effectiveness of infecting mosquitoes with the Wolbachia bacteria to control the ongoing mosquito-borne epidemics, such as dengue fever, chikungunya, and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-14 Zhuolin Qu , Ling Xue , James M. Hyman

We propose an epidemic model for the spread of vector-borne diseases. The model, which is built extending the classical susceptible-infected-susceptible model, accounts for two populations -- humans and vectors -- and for cross-contagion…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-21 Lorenzo Zino , Alessandro Casu , Alessandro Rizzo

Infectious diseases often spread faster near their peak than would be predicted given early data on transmission. Despite the commonality of this phenomena, there are no known general mechanisms able to cause an exponentially spreading dis-…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2017-07-06 Samuel V. Scarpino , Antoine Allard , Laurent Hebert-Dufresne

Spatially constrained clustering is an important field of research, particularly when it involves changes over time. Partitioning a map is not simple since there is a vast number of possible partitions within the search space. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-14 Jessica Pavani , Rosangela Helena Loschi , Fernando Andres Quintana

We investigate a time-dependent spatial vector-host epidemic model with non-coincident domains for the vector and host populations. The host population resides in small non-overlapping sub-regions, while the vector population resides…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2018-09-12 W. E. Fitzgibbon , J. J. Morgan , Glenn F. Webb , Yixiang Wu

More than half of the world's population is exposed to the risk of mosquito-borne diseases, which leads to millions of cases and hundreds of thousands of deaths every year. Analyzing this type of data is often complex and poses several…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-14 Jessica Pavani , Fernando Andrés Quintana

This paper introduces a novel approach for dengue fever classification based on online learning paradigms. The proposed approach is suitable for practical implementation as it enables learning using only a few training samples. With time,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-18 Siddharth Srivastava , Sumit Soman , Astha Rai

Many malaria-endemic areas experience seasonal fluctuations in case incidence as Anopheles mosquito and Plasmodium parasite life cycles respond to changing environmental conditions. While most existing maps of malaria seasonality use fixed…

Background: Early forecasts of dengue are an important tool for disease mitigation. Neural networks are powerful predictive models that have made contributions to many areas of public health. In this study, we reviewed the application of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-19 Luiza Lober , Francisco A. Rodrigues , Kirstin Roster

Insect-borne diseases are diseases carried by insects affecting humans, animals or plants. They have the potential to generate massive outbreaks such as the Zika epidemic in 2015-2016 mostly distributed in the Americas, the Pacific and…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-02-19 Olivier Martin , Yasmil Fernandez-Diclo , Jerome Coville , Samuel Soubeyrand

This work is devoted to the mathematical study of an optimization problem regarding control strategies of mosquito population in a heterogeneous environment. Mosquitoes are well-known vectors of diseases. For some diseases, such as dengue,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-11 Luis Almeida , Jesús Bellver Arnau , Gwenaël Peltier , Nicolas Vauchelet

The resurgence of vector-borne diseases is an increasing public health concern, and there is a need for a better understanding of their dynamics. For a number of diseases, e.g. dengue and chikungunya, this resurgence occurs mostly in urban…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-04-14 Abderrahman Iggidr , Gauthier Sallet , Max O. Souza

Predicting an infectious disease can help reduce its impact by advising public health interventions and personal preventive measures. Novel data streams, such as Internet and social media data, have recently been reported to benefit…