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We consider a multidimensional Ito semimartingale regularly sampled on [0,t] at high frequency 1/\Delta_n, with \Delta_n going to zero. The goal of this paper is to provide an estimator for the integral over [0,t] of a given function of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-11 Jean Jacod , Mathieu Rosenbaum

We consider estimation of the spot volatility in a stochastic boundary model with one-sided microstructure noise for high-frequency limit order prices. Based on discrete, noisy observations of an It\^o semimartingale with jumps and general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-20 Markus Bibinger

In this paper, we focus on the estimation of historical volatility of asset prices from high-frequency data. Stochastic volatility models pose a major statistical challenge: since in reality historical volatility is not observable, its…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-27 Camilla Damian , Rüdiger Frey

We propose new nonparametric estimators of the integrated volatility of an It\^{o} semimartingale observed at discrete times on a fixed time interval with mesh of the observation grid shrinking to zero. The proposed estimators achieve the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-30 Jean Jacod , Viktor Todorov

Statistical inference for stochastic processes based on high-frequency observations has been an active research area for more than two decades. One of the most well-known and widely studied problems has been the estimation of the quadratic…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-04-23 B. Cooper Boniece , José E. Figueroa-López , Yuchen Han

Recent empirical studies suggest that the volatility of an underlying price process may have correlations that decay slowly under certain market conditions. In this paper, the volatility is modeled as a stationary process with long-range…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-17 Josselin Garnier , Knut Solna

This work develops change-point methods for statistics of high-frequency data. The main interest is in the volatility of an It\^{o} semi-martingale, the latter being discretely observed over a fixed time horizon. We construct a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-13 Markus Bibinger , Moritz Jirak , Mathias Vetter

In recent years, there has been a substantive interest in rough volatility models. In this class of models, the local behavior of stochastic volatility is much more irregular than semimartingales and resembles that of a fractional Brownian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-17 Carsten Chong , Marc Hoffmann , Yanghui Liu , Mathieu Rosenbaum , Grégoire Szymanski

Stochastic processes are often used to model complex scientific problems in fields ranging from biology and finance to engineering and physical science. This paper investigates rate-optimal estimation of the volatility matrix of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-01-30 Minjing Tao , Yazhen Wang , Harrison H. Zhou

In this paper we introduce a general method for estimating the quadratic covariation of one or more spot parameters processes associated with continuous time semimartingales. This estimator is applicable to a wide range of spot parameter…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-26 Emil A. Stoltenberg , Per A. Mykland , Lan Zhang

We study the asymptotic normality of two feasible estimators of the integrated volatility of volatility based on the Fourier methodology, which does not require the pre-estimation of the spot volatility. We show that the bias-corrected…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-07 Giacomo Toscano , Giulia Livieri , Maria Elvira Mancino , Stefano Marmi

We consider a multidimensional Ito semimartingale regularly sampled on [0,t] at high frequency $1/\Delta_n$, with $\Delta_n$ going to zero. The goal of this paper is to provide an estimator for the integral over [0,t] of a given function of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-08-14 Jean Jacod , Mathieu Rosenbaum

We consider the problem of estimating the roughness of the volatility process in a stochastic volatility model that arises as a nonlinear function of fractional Brownian motion with drift. To this end, we introduce a new estimator that…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-17 Xiyue Han , Alexander Schied

This article studies the finite sample behaviour of a number of estimators for the integrated power volatility process of a Brownian semistationary process in the non semi-martingale setting. We establish three consistent feasible…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-18 Phillip Murray , Riccardo Passeggeri , Almut E. D. Veraart , Mikko S. Pakkanen

Volatility estimation is a central problem in financial econometrics, but becomes particularly challenging when jump activity is high, a phenomenon observed empirically in highly traded financial securities. In this paper, we revisit the…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-13 B. Cooper Boniece , José E. Figueroa-López , Tianwei Zhou

Consider the sum $Y=B+B(H)$ of a Brownian motion $B$ and an independent fractional Brownian motion $B(H)$ with Hurst parameter $H\in(0,1)$. Even though $B(H)$ is not a semimartingale, it was shown in [\textit{Bernoulli} \textbf{7} (2001)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-28 Carsten H. Chong , Thomas Delerue , Fabian Mies

Statistical inference for stochastic processes based on high-frequency observations has been an active research area for more than a decade. One of the most well-known and widely studied problems is that of estimation of the quadratic…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-02-03 B. Cooper Boniece , José E. Figueroa-López , Yuchen Han

The first half of the paper is devoted to description and implementation of statistical tests arguing for the presence of a Brownian component in the inventories and wealth processes of individual traders. We use intra-day data from the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-03 Rene Carmona , Laura Leal

We introduce the notion of relative volatility/intermittency and demonstrate how relative volatility statistics can be used to estimate consistently the temporal variation of volatility/intermittency when the data of interest are generated…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-16 Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen , Mikko S. Pakkanen , Jürgen Schmiegel

In a financial market model, we consider the variance-optimal semi-static hedging of a given contingent claim, a generalization of the classic variance-optimal hedging. To obtain a tractable formula for the expected squared hedging error…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-19 Paolo Di Tella , Martin Haubold , Martin Keller-Ressel
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