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Empirical studies indicate the existence of long range dependence in the volatility of the underlying asset. This feature can be captured by modeling its return and volatility using functions of a stationary fractional Ornstein--Uhlenbeck…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-02-12 Jean-Pierre Fouque , Ruimeng Hu

This paper deals with the optimal stopping problem under partial observation for piecewise-deterministic Markov processes. We first obtain a recursive formulation of the optimal filter process and derive the dynamic programming equation of…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-28 Adrien Brandejsky , Benoîte de Saporta , François Dufour

Stochastic differential equations and stochastic dynamics are good models to describe stochastic phenomena in real world. In this paper, we study N independent stochastic processes Xi(t) with real entries and the processes are determined by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-07 Min Dai , Jinqiao Duan , Junjun Liao , Xiangjun Wang

We show that "full-bang" control is optimal in a problem that combines features of (i) sequential least-squares {\it estimation} with Bayesian updating, for a random quantity observed in a bath of white noise; (ii) bounded {\it control} of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-10 Erik Ekström , Ioannis Karatzas

We show that, for the purpose of pricing Swaptions, the Swap rate and the corresponding Forward rates can be considered lognormal under a single martingale measure. Swaptions can then be priced as options on a basket of lognormal assets and…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Alexandre d'Aspremont

Mounting empirical evidence suggests that the observed extreme prices within a trading period can provide valuable information about the volatility of the process within that period. In this paper we define a class of stochastic volatility…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-01-12 Abel Rodriguez , Henryk Gzyl , German Molina , Enrique ter Horst

We develop theory leading to testing procedures for the presence of a change point in the intraday volatility pattern. The new theory is developed in the framework of Functional Data Analysis. It is based on a model akin to the stochastic…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-19 Piotr Kokoszka , Tim Kutta , Neda Mohammadi , Haonan Wang , Shixuan Wang

In this paper, we consider an infinite horizon, continuous-review, stochastic inventory system in which cumulative customers' demand is price-dependent and is modeled as a Brownian motion. Excess demand is backlogged. The revenue is earned…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-07-12 Dacheng Yao

This paper deals with an extension of the so-called Black-Scholes model in which the volatility is modeled by a linear combination of the components of the solution of a differential equation driven by a fractional Brownian motion of Hurst…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-30 Nicolas Marie

We use the martingale method to discuss the relationship between mean-variance (MV) and monotone mean-variance (MMV) portfolio selections. We propose a unified framework to discuss the relationship in general financial markets without any…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-12 Yuchen Li , Zongxia Liang , Shunzhi Pang

In a fixed time horizon, appropriately executing a large amount of a particular asset -- meaning a considerable portion of the volume traded within this frame -- is challenging. Especially for illiquid or even highly liquid but also highly…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-15 David Evangelista , Yuri Thamsten

Market participants regularly send bid and ask quotes to exchange-operated limit order books. This creates an optimization challenge where their potential profit is determined by their quoted price and how often their orders are…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-16 Chutian Ma , Giacinto Paolo Saggese , Paul Smith

In this article we discuss the problem of calculating optimal model-independent (robust) bounds for the price of Asian options with discrete and continuous averaging. We will give geometric characterisations of the maximising and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-04 Florian Stebegg

We consider discrete time models for asset prices with a stationary volatility process. We aim at estimating the multivariate density of this process at a set of consecutive time instants. A Fourier type deconvolution kernel density…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-15 Bert van Es , Peter Spreij , Harry van Zanten

In this paper we estimate the rest of the approximation of a stationary process by a martingale in terms of the projections of partial sums. Then, based on this estimate, we obtain almost sure approximation of partial sums by a martingale…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-05-05 Florence Merlevède , Costel Peligrad , Magda Peligrad

This paper presents a method for forecasting limit order book durations using a self-exciting flexible residual point process. High-frequency events in modern exchanges exhibit heavy-tailed interarrival times, posing a significant challenge…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-02 Kyungsub Lee

Trade prices of about 1000 New York Stock Exchange-listed stocks are studied at one-minute time resolution over the continuous five year period 2018--2022. For each stock, in dollar-volume-weighted transaction time, the discrepancy from a…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-16 William H. Press

This paper is devoted to the pricing of Barrier options by optimal quadratic quantization method. From a known useful representation of the premium of barrier options one deduces an algorithm similar to one used to estimate nonlinear filter…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-09 Abass Sagna

This paper presents a new prediction model for time series data by integrating a time-varying Geometric Brownian Motion model with a pricing mechanism used in financial engineering. Typical time series models such as Auto-Regressive…

Applications · Statistics 2020-01-01 Abdullah AlShelahi , Jingxing Wang , Mingdi You , Eunshin Byon , Romesh Saigal

We consider a class of stochastic processes with rough stochastic volatility, examples of which include the rough Bergomi and rough Stein-Stein model, that have gained considerable importance in quantitative finance. A basic question for…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-17 Peter K. Friz , William Salkeld , Thomas Wagenhofer
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