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This research considers the ranking and selection (R&S) problem of selecting the optimal subset from a finite set of alternative designs. Given the total simulation budget constraint, we aim to maximize the probability of correctly…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-04-25 Fei Gao , Zhongshun Shi , Siyang Gao , Hui Xiao

In this report we review memory-based meta-learning as a tool for building sample-efficient strategies that learn from past experience to adapt to any task within a target class. Our goal is to equip the reader with the conceptual…

We want to select the best systems out of a given set of systems (or rank them) with respect to their expected performance. The systems allow random observations only and we assume that the joint observation of the systems has a…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-23 Björn Görder , Michael Kolonko

Most classical scheduling formulations assume a fixed and known duration for each activity. In this paper, we weaken this assumption, requiring instead that each duration can be represented by an independent random variable with a known…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-10-13 J. C. Beck , N. Wilson

Policy inference plays an essential role in the contextual bandit problem. In this paper, we use empirical likelihood to develop a Bayesian inference method for the joint analysis of multiple contextual bandit policies in finite sample…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-12 Jiangrong Ouyang , Mingming Gong , Howard Bondell

The note studies the problem of selecting a good enough subset out of a finite number of alternatives under a fixed simulation budget. Our work aims to maximize the posterior probability of correctly selecting a good subset. We formulate…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-05-09 Gongbo Zhang , Bin Chen , Qing-shan Jia , Yijie Peng

Much current research in AI and games is being devoted to Monte Carlo search (MCS) algorithms. While the quest for a single unified MCS algorithm that would perform well on all problems is of major interest for AI, practitioners often know…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-03-20 Francis Maes , David Lupien St-Pierre , Damien Ernst

In supervised learning, we fit a single statistical model to a given data set, assuming that the data is associated with a singular task, which yields well-tuned models for specific use, but does not adapt well to new contexts. By contrast,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-11 Bingjia Wang , Alec Koppel , Vikram Krishnamurthy

Real-world autonomous systems operate under uncertainty about both their pose and dynamics. Autonomous control systems must simultaneously perform estimation and control tasks to maintain robustness to changing dynamics or modeling errors.…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-08-03 Patrick Slade , Zachary N. Sunberg , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

Bayesian optimization methods allocate limited sampling budgets to maximize expensive-to-evaluate functions. One-step-lookahead policies are often used, but computing optimal multi-step-lookahead policies remains a challenge. We consider a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-07-13 J. Massey Cashore , Lemuel Kumarga , Peter I. Frazier

\textit{Reasoning} may be viewed as an algorithm $P$ that makes a choice of an action $a^* \in \mathcal{A}$, aiming to optimize some outcome. However, executing $P$ itself bears costs (time, energy, limited capacity, etc.) and needs to be…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-12 Prakhar Godara , Tilman Diego Alemán

The ability to accelerate the design of biological sequences can have a substantial impact on the progress of the medical field. The problem can be framed as a global optimization problem where the objective is an expensive black-box…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-15 Leo Feng , Padideh Nouri , Aneri Muni , Yoshua Bengio , Pierre-Luc Bacon

We study contextual bandits in the stochastic i.i.d.\ setting, where a learner observes contexts drawn from an unknown distribution, selects actions from a finite set $A$, and aims to identify an approximately optimal policy from a given…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Liad Erez , Fan Chen , Alon Cohen , Tomer Koren , Yishay Mansour , Shay Moran , Alexander Rakhlin

The ability of a robot to plan complex behaviors with real-time computation, rather than adhering to predesigned or offline-learned routines, alleviates the need for specialized algorithms or training for each problem instance. Monte Carlo…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-12-17 Benjamin Riviere , John Lathrop , Soon-Jo Chung

Making inferences with a deep neural network on a batch of states is much faster with a GPU than making inferences on one state after another. We build on this property to propose Monte Carlo Tree Search algorithms using batched inferences.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-04-12 Tristan Cazenave

The aim of this work is to address the question of whether we can in principle design rational decision-making agents or artificial intelligences embedded in computable physics such that their decisions are optimal in reasonable…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2010-01-19 Anthony Di Franco

This thesis aims to study some of the mathematical challenges that arise in the analysis of statistical sequential decision-making algorithms for postoperative patients follow-up. Stochastic bandits (multiarmed, contextual) model the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-06 Patrick Saux

We present a new Subset Simulation approach using Hamiltonian neural network-based Monte Carlo sampling for reliability analysis. The proposed strategy combines the superior sampling of the Hamiltonian Monte Carlo method with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-11 Denny Thaler , Somayajulu L. N. Dhulipala , Franz Bamer , Bernd Markert , Michael D. Shields

The exponential growth of volume, variety and velocity of data is raising the need for investigations of automated or semi-automated ways to extract useful patterns from the data. It requires deep expert knowledge and extensive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-22 Abbas Raza Ali , Marcin Budka , Bogdan Gabrys

Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs) are used as statistical models in many disciplines. However, intractable likelihood functions for SDEs make inference challenging, and we need to resort to simulation-based techniques to estimate and…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-08-12 Grant Schneider , Peter F. Craigmile , Radu Herbei