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We consider a population with non-overlapping generations, whose size goes to infinity. It is described by a discrete genealogy which may be time non-homogeneous and we pay special attention to branching trees in varying environments. A…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-22 Vincent Bansaye , Chunmao Huang

Our models for detecting the effect of adaptation on population genomic diversity are often predicated on a single newly arisen mutation sweeping rapidly to fixation. However, a population can also adapt to a new situation by multiple…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-07-26 Peter Ralph , Graham Coop

We ask the question "when will natural selection on a gene in a spatially structured population cause a detectable trace in the patterns of genetic variation observed in the contemporary population?". We focus on the situation in which…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-17 Alison Etheridge , Nic Freeman , Sarah Penington , Daniel Straulino

We introduce a population dynamics model, where individual genomes are represented by bit-strings. Selection is described by death probabilities which depend on these genomes, and new individuals continuously replace the ones that die,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 P. M. C. de Oliveira , J. S. Sa' Martins , D. Stauffer , S. Moss de Oliveira

Consider a population evolving as a critical continuous-time Galton-Watson (GW) tree. Conditional on the population surviving until a large time $T$, sample $k$ individuals uniformly at random (without replacement) from amongst those alive…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-07 Simon C. Harris , Samuel G. G. Johnston , Juan Carlos Pardo

Sweepstakes reproduction may be generated by chance matching of reproduction with favorable environmental conditions. Gene genealogies generated by sweepstakes reproduction are in the domain of attraction of multiple-merger coalescents…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-15 Bjarki Eldon

Consider a continuous-time binary branching process conditioned to have population size n at some time t, and with a chance p for recording each extinct individual in the process. Within the family tree of this process, we consider the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Lea Popovic

We consider a general class of branching processes in discrete time, where particles have types belonging to a Polish space and reproduce independently according to their type. If the process is critical and the mean distribution of types…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-23 Félix Foutel-Rodier

In this work we describe a new model for the evolution of a diploid structured population backwards in time that allows for large migrations and uneven offspring distributions. The model generalizes both the mean-field model of Birkner et…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-11 Maximillian Newman

We consider inhomogeneous branching diffusions on an infinite domain of $\mathbb{R}^d$. The first aim of this article is to derive a general criterium under which the size process (number of particles) and the genealogy of the particle…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-08 Félix Foutel-Rodier , Emmanuel Schertzer , Julie Tourniaire

We propose a stochastic model for evolution. Births and deaths of species occur with constant probabilities. Each new species is associated with a fitness sampled from the uniform distribution on [0,1]. Every time there is a death event…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-11-09 Herve Guiol , Fabio P. Machado , Rinaldo B. Schinazi

A well-established model for the genealogy of a large population in equilibrium is Kingman's coalescent. For the population together with its genealogy evolving in time, this gives rise to a time-stationary tree-valued process. We study the…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-05-18 Peter Pfaffelhuber , Anton Wakolbinger , Heinz Weisshaupt

We consider a supercritical branching population, where individuals have i.i.d. lifetime durations (which are not necessarily exponentially distributed) and give birth (singly) at constant rate. We assume that individuals independently…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-11 Nicolas Champagnat , Amaury Lambert

We analyse the statistical properties of genealogical trees in a neutral model of a closed population with sexual reproduction and non-overlapping generations. By reconstructing the genealogy of an individual from the population evolution,…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 Bernard Derrida , Susanna C. Manrubia , Damian H. Zanette

Evolutionary models for populations of constant size are frequently studied using the Moran model, the Wright-Fisher model, or their diffusion limits. When evolution is neutral, a random genealogy given through Kingman's coalescent is used…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-07-31 Peter Pfaffelhuber , Benedikt Vogt

We consider a neutral haploid population whose generations are not overlapping and whose size is large and constantly of $N$ individuals. Any generation is replaced by a new one and any individual has a single parent. We do not choose the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-11 Maurizio Serva

A general multi-type population model is considered, where individuals live and reproduce according to their age and type, but also under the influence of the size and composition of the entire population. We describe the dynamics of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-13 Jie Yen Fan , Kais Hamza , Peter Jagers , Fima C. Klebaner

We consider the dynamics of a population spatially structured in colonies that are vulnerable to catastrophic events occurring at random times, which randomly reduce their population size and compel survivors to disperse to neighboring…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-23 Valdivino V. Junior , Fábio P. Machado , Alejandro Roldán-Correa

This article is concerned with the long time behavior of neutral genetic population models, with fixed population size. We design an explicit, finite, exact, genealogical tree based representation of stationary populations that holds both…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Pierre Del Moral , Laurent Miclo , Frédéric Patras , Sylvain Rubenthaler

We study the following model for a diploid population of constant size $N$: Every individual carries a random number of (genetic) elements. Upon a reproduction event each of the two parents passes each element independently with probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-28 Peter Pfaffelhuber , Anton Wakolbinger