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The term noncentral moderate deviations is used in the literature to mean a class of large deviation principles that, in some sense, fills the gap between the convergence in probability to a constant (governed by a reference large deviation…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-29 Neha Gupta , Claudio Macci

We consider different limit theorems for additive and multiplicative free L\'evy processes. The main results are concerned with positive and unitary multiplicative free L\'evy processes at small time, showing convergence to log free stable…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-05 Octavio Arizmendi , Takahiro Hasebe

We derive the moderate deviation principles for the fluctuation fields of the facilitated exclusion process (FEP) in one dimension when the process starts from its stationary measure, both in the symmetric and asymmetric cases. The main…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-05 Linjie Zhao

Consider a population of individuals belonging to an infinity number of types, and assume that type proportions follow the two-parameter Poisson-Dirichlet distribution. A sample of size n is selected from the population. The total number of…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-12 Stefano Favaro , Shui Feng , Fuqing Gao

Moderate deviation principles for empirical measure processes associated with weakly interacting Markov processes are established. Two families of models are considered: the first corresponds to a system of interacting diffusions whereas…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-09 Amarjit Budhiraja , Ruoyu Wu

In this paper, we establish a moderate deviations principle for the Langevin dynamics with strong damping. The weak convergence approach plays an important role in the proof.

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-05 Lingyan Cheng , Ruinan Li , Wei Liu

When a Brownian motion is scaled according to the law of the iterated logarithm, its supremum converges to one as time tends to zero. Upper large deviations of the supremum process can be quantified by writing the problem in terms of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-05 Stefan Gerhold , Christoph Gerstenecker

Functionals in geometric probability are often expressed as sums of bounded functions exhibiting exponential stabilization. Methods based on cumulant techniques and exponential modifications of measures show that such functionals satisfy…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Yu Baryshnikov , P. Eichelsbacher , T. Schreiber , J. E. Yukich

We propose certain conditions which are sufficient for the functional law of the iterated logarithm (the Strassen invariance principle) for some general class of non-stationary Markov-Feller chains. This class may be briefly specified by…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-07 Dawid Czapla , Katarzyna Horbacz , Hanna Wojewódka-Ściążko

We study the long-time behaviour of matrix-valued stochastic exponentials of L\'evy processes, i.e. of multiplicative L\'evy processes in the general linear group. In particular, we prove laws of large numbers as well as central limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-25 Anita Behme , Sebastian Mentemeier

We obtain sample-path large deviations for a class of one-dimensional stochastic differential equations with bounded drifts and heavy-tailed L\'evy processes. These heavy-tailed L\'evy processes do not satisfy the exponential integrability…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-15 Wei Wei , Qiao Huang , Jinqiao Duan

We prove that the norm of a $d$-dimensional L\'evy process possesses a finite second moment if and only if the convex distance between an appropriately rescaled process at time $t$ and a standard Gaussian vector is integrable in time with…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-09 Jorge González Cázares , David Kramer-Bang , Aleksandar Mijatović

Strassen's theorem asserts that for given marginal probabilities $\mu,\nu$ there exists a martingale starting in $\mu$ and terminating in $\nu$ if and only if $\mu,\nu$ are in convex order. From a financial perspective, it guarantees the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-17 Beatrice Acciaio , Mathias Beiglböck , Evgeny Kolosov , Gudmund Pammer

We establish a moderate deviation principle for the maximum likelihood estimator of the four parameters of a geometrically ergodic Heston process. We also obtain moderate deviations for the maximum likelihood estimator of the couple of…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-26 Marie du Roy de Chaumaray

In this paper we present some extensions of recent noncentral moderate deviation results in the literature. In the first part we generalize the results in \cite{BeghinMacciSPL2022} by considering a general L\'evy process $\{S(t):t\geq 0\}$…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-03 Antonella Iuliano , Claudio Macci , Alessandra Meoli

Consider the state space model (X_t,Y_t), where (X_t) is a Markov chain, and (Y_t) are the observations. In order to solve the so-called filtering problem, one has to compute L(X_t|Y_1,...,Y_t), the law of X_t given the observations…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 R. Douc , A. Guillin , J. Najim

In this paper, we establish the law of the iterated logarithm for a wide class of non-stationary, continuous-time Markov processes evolving on Polish spaces. Specifically, our result applies to certain additive functionals of processes…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-16 Dawid Czapla , Sander C. Hille , Katarzyna Horbacz , Hanna Wojewódka-Ściążko

In this paper we derive the moderate deviation principle for stationary sequences of bounded random variables under martingale-type conditions. Applications to functions of $\phi$-mixing sequences, contracting Markov chains, expanding maps…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-11-27 Jérôme Dedecker , Florence Merlevède , Magda Peligrad , Sergey Utev

We prove that moderate deviations for empirical measures for countable nonhomogeneous Markov chains hold under the assumption of uniform convergence of transition probability matrices for countable nonhomogeneous Markov chains in Ces\`aro…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-16 Mingzhou Xu , Kun Cheng

In this paper, we proved moderate deviation principles for a fully coupled two-time-scale stochastic systems, where the slow process is given by stochastic differential equations with small noise, while the fast process is a rapidly…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-02 Hongjiang Qian