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We design efficient approximation algorithms for maximizing the expectation of the supremum of families of Gaussian random variables. In particular, let $\mathrm{OPT}:=\max_{\sigma_1,\cdots,\sigma_n}\mathbb{E}\left[\sum_{j=1}^{m}\max_{i\in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-26 Renato Purita Paes Leme , Cliff Stein , Yifeng Teng , Pratik Worah

This paper develops upper and lower bounds for the probability of Boolean expressions by treating multiple occurrences of variables as independent and assigning them new individual probabilities. Our technique generalizes and extends the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-03-19 Wolfgang Gatterbauer , Dan Suciu

\cite{HillMotegi2017} present a new general asymptotic theory for the maximum of a random array $\{\mathcal{X}_{n}(i)$ $:$ $1$ $\leq $ $i$ $\leq $ $\mathcal{L}\}_{n\geq 1}$, where each $\mathcal{X}_{n}(i)$ is assumed to converge in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-02-27 Jonathan B. Hill

We analyze the extreme value dependence of independent, not necessarily identically distributed multivariate regularly varying random vectors. More specifically, we propose estimators of the spectral measure locally at some time point and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-05 Holger Drees

We show that in a sample of size $n$ from a GEM$(0,\theta)$ random discrete distribution, the gaps $G_{i:n}:= X_{n-i+1:n} - X_{n-i:n}$ between order statistics $X_{1:n} \le \cdots \le X_{n:n}$ of the sample, with the convention $G_{n:n} :=…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-24 Jim Pitman , Yuri Yakubovich

We study extremal statistics and return intervals in stationary long-range correlated sequences for which the underlying probability density function is bounded and uniform. The extremal statistics we consider e.g., maximum relative to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-13 N. R. Moloney , J. Davidsen

We establish a lower bound on the entropy of weighted sums of (possibly dependent) random variables $(X_1, X_2, \dots, X_n)$ possessing a symmetric joint distribution. Our lower bound is in terms of the joint entropy of $(X_1, X_2, \dots,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-01-16 Jing Hao , Varun Jog

Let $\{X_i\}_{i\geq1}$ be an i.i.d. sequence of random variables and define, for $n\geq2$, \[T_n=\cases{n^{-1/2}\hat{\sigma}_n^{-1}S_n,\quad \hat{\sigma}_n>0,\cr 0,\quad \hat{\sigma}_n=0,}with S_n=\sum_{i=1}^nX_i,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-02-11 Fredrik Jonsson

Extreme value theory provides an asymptotically justified framework for estimation of exceedance probabilities in regions where few or no observations are available. For multivariate tail estimation, the strength of extremal dependence is…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-06 Sebastian Engelke , Jevgenijs Ivanovs

We consider a sequence $(\xi_n)_{n\ge1}$ of $i.i.d.$ random values living in the domain of attraction of an extreme value distribution. For such sequence, there exists $(a_n)$ and $(b_n)$, with $a_n>0$ and $b_n\in\ER$ for every $n\ge 1$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-05-31 Fabien Panloup

We develop a maximum-likelihood based method for regression in a setting where the dependent variable is a random graph and covariates are available on a graph-level. The model generalizes the well-known $\beta$-model for random graphs by…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-24 Johan Wahlström , Isaac Skog , Patricio S. La Rosa , Peter Händel , Arye Nehorai

For each $n\ge 1$, let $X_{n,1},\ldots,X_{n,N_n}$ be real random variables and $S_n=\sum_{i=1}^{N_n}X_{n,i}$. Let $m_n\ge 1$ be an integer. Suppose $(X_{n,1},\ldots,X_{n,N_n})$ is $m_n$-dependent, $E(X_{ni})=0$, $E(X_{ni}^2)<\infty$ and…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-15 Svante Janson , Luca Pratelli , Pietro Rigo

Let $X_1,..., X_N\in\R^n$ be independent centered random vectors with log-concave distribution and with the identity as covariance matrix. We show that with overwhelming probability at least $1 - 3 \exp(-c\sqrt{n}\r)$ one has $ \sup_{x\in…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-01 Radosław Adamczak , Alexander E. Litvak , Alain Pajor , Nicole Tomczak-Jaegermann

In this work, we consider a recently proposed entropy S (called varentropy) defined by a variational relationship dI=beta*(d<x>-<dx>) as a measure of uncertainty of random variable x. By definition, varentropy underlies a generalized…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-10-28 C. J. Ou , A. El Kaabouchi , L. Nivanen , F. Tsobnang , A. Le Méhauté , Qiuping A. Wang

We build optimal exponential bounds for the probabilities of large deviations of sums \sum_{k=1}^nf(X_k) where (X_k) is a finite reversible Markov chain and f is an arbitrary bounded function. These bounds depend only on the stationary mean…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Carlos A. Leon , Francois Perron

Let $X^1, ..., X^k$ and $Y^1, ..., Y^m$ be jointly independent copies of random variables $X$ and $Y$, respectively. For a fixed total number $n$ of random variables, we aim at maximising $M(k,m):= E \max \{X^1, ..., X^k, Y^1, >..., Y^{m}…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-15 D. V. Tokarev , K. A. Borovkov

In this paper, explicit error bounds are derived in the approximation of rank $k$ projections of certain $n$-dimensional random vectors by standard $k$-dimensional Gaussian random vectors. The bounds are given in terms of $k$, $n$, and a…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-07 Elizabeth Meckes

Extreme values modeling has attracting the attention of researchers in diverse areas such as the environment, engineering, or finance. Multivariate extreme value distributions are particularly suitable to model the tails of multidimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-16 Helena Ferreira , Marta Ferreira

Multivariate extreme-value analysis is concerned with the extremes in a multivariate random sample, that is, points of which at least some components have exceptionally large values. Mathematical theory suggests the use of max-stable models…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-03 Johan Segers

We construct an estimator $\widehat{\Sigma}$ for covariance matrices of unknown, centred random vectors X, with the given data consisting of N independent measurements $X_1,...,X_N$ of X and the wanted confidence level. We show under…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-14 Pedro Abdalla , Shahar Mendelson
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