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To quantify the dependence between two random vectors of possibly different dimensions, we propose to rely on the properties of the 2-Wasserstein distance. We first propose two coefficients that are based on the Wasserstein distance between…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-19 Gilles Mordant , Johan Segers

Let $\Omega$ be a countable infinite product $\Omega^\N$ of copies of the same probability space $\Omega_1$, and let ${\Xi_n}$ be the sequence of the coordinate projection functions from $\Omega$ to $\Omega_1$. Let $\Psi$ be a possibly…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-22 Alexander R. Pruss

Let $(X_i)_{1 \le i \le n}$ be independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) standard Gaussian random variables, and denote by $X_{(n)} = \max_{1 \le i \le n} X_i$ the maximum order statistic. It is well-known in extreme value theory…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-15 Yutao Ma , Bingjie Tian

While useful probability bounds for $n$ pairwise independent Bernoulli random variables adding up to at least an integer $k$ have been proposed in the literature, none of these bounds are tight in general. In this paper, we provide several…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-11-24 Arjun Ramachandra , Karthik Natarajan

Let $X_{i,n},n\in \mathbb{N},1\leq i\leq n$, be a triangular array of independent $\mathbb{R}^d$-valued Gaussian random vectors with correlation matrices $\Sigma_{i,n}$. We give necessary conditions under which the row-wise maxima converge…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-08 Sebastian Engelke , Zakhar Kabluchko , Martin Schlather

For a sequence $\{X_{n}, \, n \geqslant 1 \}$ of nonnegative random variables where $\max[\min(X_{n} - s,t),0]$, $t > s \geqslant 0$, satisfy a moment inequality, sufficient conditions are given under which $\sum_{k=1}^n (X_k - \mathbb{E}…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-23 João Lita da Silva

We give the proof of a tight lower bound on the probability that a binomial random variable exceeds its expected value. The inequality plays an important role in a variety of contexts, including the analysis of relative deviation bounds in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-11-12 Spencer Greenberg , Mehryar Mohri

Worst-case bounds on the expected shortfall risk given only limited information on the distribution of the random variables has been studied extensively in the literature. In this paper, we develop a new worst-case bound on the expected…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-12 Anulekha Dhara , Bikramjit Das , Karthik Natarajan

We derive novel anti-concentration bounds for the difference between the maximal values of two Gaussian random vectors across various settings. Our bounds are dimension-free, scaling with the dimension of the Gaussian vectors only through…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-27 Alexandre Belloni , Ethan X. Fang , Shuting Shen

Many inference problems involving questions of optimality ask for the maximum or the minimum of a finite set of unknown quantities. This technical report derives the first two posterior moments of the maximum of two correlated Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2009-10-02 Philipp Hennig

Let $X_1,..., X_n \in \mathbb{R}^d$ be independent Gaussian random vectors with independent entries and variance profile $(b_{ij})_{i \in [d],j \in [n]}$. A major question in the study of covariance estimation is to give precise control on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-19 Patrick Oliveira Santos

For an m-dimensional multivariate extreme value distribution there exist 2^{m}-1 exponent measures which are linked and completely characterise the dependence of the distribution and all of its lower dimensional margins. In this paper we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-01 Ioannis Papastathopoulos , Jonathan A. Tawn

Consider the problem of drawing random variates $(X_1,\ldots,X_n)$ from a distribution where the marginal of each $X_i$ is specified, as well as the correlation between every pair $X_i$ and $X_j$. For given marginals, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-30 Mark Huber , Nevena Maric

The main approach to inference for multivariate extremes consists in approximating the joint upper tail of the observations by a parametric family arising in the limit for extreme events. The latter may be expressed in terms of…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-17 Raphaël Huser , Anthony C. Davison , Marc G. Genton

Although there is an extensive literature on the maxima of Gaussian processes, there are relatively few non-asymptotic bounds on their lower-tail probabilities. The aim of this paper is to develop such a bound, while also allowing for many…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-02 Miles E. Lopes , Junwen Yao

Extreme value analysis in the presence of censoring is receiving much attention as it has applications in many disciplines, including survival and reliability studies. Estimation of extreme value index (EVI) is of primary importance as it…

Computation · Statistics 2017-10-03 Richard Minkah , Tertius de Wet , Kwabena Doku-Amponsah

We study the sharp bounds of $\mathbb{E}[X_1\cdots X_d]$ when the univariate marginal distributions are known, but the dependence structure between them is unspecified. Maximizing products over non-negative variables is straightforward via…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-27 Christopher Blier-Wong , Jinghui Chen

In this brief note, we consider estimation of the bitwise combination $x_1 \lor \dots \lor x_n = \max_i x_i$ observing a set of noisy bits $\tilde x_i \in \{0, 1\}$ that represent the true, unobserved bits $x_i \in \{0, 1\}$ under…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-19 Jonathan Hehir

We present novel bounds for estimating discrete probability distributions under the $\ell_\infty$ norm. These are nearly optimal in various precise senses, including a kind of instance-optimality. Our data-dependent convergence guarantees…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-14 Aryeh Kontorovich , Amichai Painsky

For a fixed unit vector a=(a_1,a_2,...,a_n) in S^{n-1}, i.e. sum_{i=1}^n a_i^2=1, we consider the 2^n sign vectors epsilon=(epsilon_1,epsilon_2,...,epsilon_n) in {-1,1}^n and the corresponding scalar products a.epsilon=sum_{i=1}^n a_i…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-04 Harrie Hendriks , Martien C. A. van Zuijlen