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The paper deals with the regression model $X_t = \theta t + B_t$, $t\in[0, T ]$, where $B=\{B_t, t\geq 0\}$ is a centered Gaussian process with stationary increments. We study the estimation of the unknown parameter $\theta$ and establish…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-18 Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko , Sergiy Shklyar

We consider a one-dimensional stationary stochastic process $x(\tau)$ of duration $T$. We study the probability density function (PDF) $P(t_{\rm m}|T)$ of the time $t_{\rm m}$ at which $x(\tau)$ reaches its global maximum. By using a path…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-10-15 Francesco Mori , Satya N. Majumdar , Gregory Schehr

We introduce a general method, based on a mapping onto quantum mechanics, for investigating the large-T limit of the distribution P(r,T) of the nonlinear functional r[V] = (1/T)\int_0^T dT' V[X(T')], where V(X) is an arbitrary function of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Satya N. Majumdar , Alan J. Bray

The paper deals with the expected maxima of continuous Gaussian processes $X = (X_t)_{t\ge 0}$ that are H\"older continuous in $L_2$-norm and/or satisfy the opposite inequality for the $L_2$-norms of their increments. Examples of such…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-04 Konstantin Borovkov , Yuliya Mishura , Alexander Novikov , Mikhail Zhitlukhin

Let $\{X_i(t),t\ge0\}, 1\le i\le n$ be mutually independent centered Gaussian processes with almost surely continuous sample paths. We derive the exact asymptotics of $$ P\left(\exists_{t \in [0,T]} \forall_{i=1 ... n} X_i(t)> u \right) $$…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-26 Krzysztof Dȩbicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Lanpeng Ji , Kamil Tabiś

We study the ergodic behaviour of a discrete-time process $X$ which is a Markov chain in a stationary random environment. The laws of $X_t$ are shown to converge to a limiting law in (weighted) total variation distance as $t\to\infty$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-29 Balazs Gerencser , Miklos Rasonyi

One of the main problem in prediction theory of discrete-time second-order stationary processes $X(t)$ is to describe the asymptotic behavior of the best linear mean squared prediction error in predicting $X(0)$ given $ X(t),$ $-n\le…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-02 Nikolay M. Babayan , Mamikon S. Ginovyan , Murad S. Taqqu

We revisit a result of Mittal--Ylvisaker that states that the rescaled maximum of a stationary sequence of Gaussian random variables has a Gaussian limit if correlations decay sufficiently slowly. Taking a new approach we relax the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-21 Jason Li , Stephen Muirhead

For a given centered Gaussian process with stationary increments $\{X(t), t\geq 0\}$ and $c>0$, let $$ W_\gamma(t)=X(t)-ct-\gamma\inf_{0\leq s\leq t}\left(X(s)-cs\right), \quad t\geq 0$$ denote the $\gamma$-reflected process, where…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-08 Krzysztof Debicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Peng Liu

The purpose of the article is twofold. Firstly, we review some recent results on the maximum likelihood estimation in the regression model of the form $X_t = \theta G(t) + B_t$, where $B$ is a Gaussian process, $G(t)$ is a known function,…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-27 Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko , Sergiy Shklyar

We study the largest gaps between successive zeros of a smooth stationary Gaussian process. Our main result is that, if correlations decay at least polynomially, then after suitable rescaling of the locations and sizes of the largest gaps…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-22 Renjie Feng , Stephen Muirhead

An approximate maximum likelihood method of estimation of diffusion parameters $(\vartheta,\sigma)$ based on discrete observations of a diffusion $X$ along fixed time-interval $[0,T]$ and Euler approximation of integrals is analyzed. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-21 Miljenko Huzak

We consider maximum likelihood estimation with data from a bivariate Gaussian process with a separable exponential covariance model under fixed domain asymptotic. We first characterize the equivalence of Gaussian measures under this model.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-25 Daira Velandia , François Bachoc , Moreno Bevilacqua , Xavier Gendre , Jean-Michel Loubes

We establish a Brownian extension to Selberg's central limit theorem for the Riemann zeta function. This implies various limiting distributions for $\zeta$, including an analogue of the reflection principle for the maximum of the Brownian…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-13 Louis Vassaux

We introduce the concept of `discrete-time persistence', which deals with zero-crossings of a continuous stochastic process, X(T), measured at discrete times, T = n \Delta T. For a Gaussian Markov process with relaxation rate \mu, we show…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Satya N. Majumdar , Alan J. Bray , George C. M. A. Ehrhardt

This paper considers extreme values attained by a centered, multidimensional Gaussian process $X(t)= (X_1(t),\ldots,X_n(t))$ minus drift $d(t)=(d_1(t),\ldots,d_n(t))$, on an arbitrary set $T$. Under mild regularity conditions, we establish…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-22 Krzysztof Dębicki , Kamil Marcin Kosiński , Michel Mandjes , Tomasz Rolski

In this contribution we are concerned with the asymptotic behaviour as $u\to \infty$ of $\mathbb{P}\{\sup_{t\in [0,T]} X_u(t)> u\}$, where $X_u(t),t\in [0,T],u>0$ is a family of centered Gaussian processes with continuous trajectories. A…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-20 L. Bai , K. Debicki , E. Hashorva , L. Ji

Let $\{B_H(t):t\ge 0\}$ be a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H\in(\frac{1}{2},1)$. For the storage process $Q_{B_H}(t)=\sup_{-\infty\le s\le t} \left(B_H(t)-B_H(s)-c(t-s)\right)$ we show that, for any $T(u)>0$ such that…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-09 Krzysztof Dębicki , Kamil Marcin Kosiński

We prove a sequence of limiting results about weakly dependent stationary and regularly varying stochastic processes in discrete time. After deducing the limiting distribution for individual clusters of extremes, we present a new type of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-05 Bojan Basrak , Hrvoje Planinic , Philippe Soulier

The position $x(t)$ of a particle diffusing in a one-dimensional uncorrelated and time dependent random medium is simply Gaussian distributed in the typical direction, i.e. along the ray $x=v_0 t$, where $v_0$ is the average drift. However,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-08-05 Guillaume Barraquand , Pierre Le Doussal