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Multivariate density estimation is a popular technique in statistics with wide applications including regression models allowing for heteroskedasticity in conditional variances. The estimation problems become more challenging when…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-15 Zhen Li , Lili Wu , Weilian Zhou , Sujit Ghosh

In this paper we introduce a method for nonparametric density estimation on geometric networks. We define fused density estimators as solutions to a total variation regularized maximum-likelihood density estimation problem. We provide…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-06 Robert Bassett , James Sharpnack

A mixture density, $f_p,$ is estimable in $R^d, \ d \ge 1,$ but an estimate for the mixing density, $p,$ is usually obtained only when $d$ is unity; $h$ is the mixture's kernel. When $f_p$'s estimate has form $f_{\hat p_n}$ and $p$ is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-28 Yannis G. Yatracos

Mixture of experts (MoE) has recently emerged as an effective framework to advance the efficiency and scalability of machine learning models by softly dividing complex tasks among multiple specialized sub-models termed experts. Central to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-06 Huy Nguyen , Nhat Ho , Alessandro Rinaldo

Federated learning has attracted increasing attention with the emergence of distributed data. While extensive federated learning algorithms have been proposed for the non-convex distributed problem, federated learning in practice still…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-10 Xidong Wu , Feihu Huang , Zhengmian Hu , Heng Huang

We study the problem of estimating the joint probability mass function (pmf) over two random variables. In particular, the estimation is based on the observation of $m$ samples containing both variables and $n$ samples missing one fixed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-16 Hasan Sabri Melihcan Erol , Lizhong Zheng

Some limit theorems of the type $\int_{\Omega}f_n dm_n -- --> \int_{\Omega}f dm$ are presented for scalar, (vector), (multi)-valued sequences of m_n-integrable functions f_n. The convergences obtained, in the vector and multivalued…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2025-01-14 Luisa Di Piazza , Valeria Marraffa , Kazimierz Musial , Anna Rita Sambucini

The goal of this paper is to provide theorems on convergence rates of posterior distributions that can be applied to obtain good convergence rates in the context of density estimation as well as regression. We show how to choose priors so…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Tzee-Ming Huang

Although Large Language Models (LLMs) perform well in general fields, they exhibit a confidence distortion problem on multi-choice question-answering (MCQA), particularly as the number of answer choices increases. Specifically, on MCQA with…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Zicheng Xu , Guanchu Wang , Guangyao Zheng , Yu-Neng Chuang , Alexander Szalay , Xia Hu , Vladimir Braverman

Model ensembling is a well-established technique for improving the performance of machine learning models. Conventionally, this involves averaging the output distributions of multiple models and selecting the most probable label. This idea…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Jiale Fu , Yuchu Jiang , Peijun Wu , Chonghan Liu , Joey Tianyi Zhou , Xu Yang

Logistic regression is a widely used method in several fields. When applying logistic regression to imbalanced data, for which majority classes dominate over minority classes, all class labels are estimated as `majority class.' In this…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-20 Masaaki Okabe , Jun Tsuchida , Hiroshi Yadohisa

We consider the statistical analysis of heterogeneous data for prediction in situations where the observations include functions, typically time series. We extend the modeling with Mixtures-of-Experts (ME), as a framework of choice in…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-21 Faïcel Chamroukhi , Nhat Thien Pham , Van Hà Hoang , Geoffrey J. McLachlan

In Compressed Sensing, a real-valued sparse vector has to be estimated from an underdetermined system of linear equations. In many applications, however, the elements of the sparse vector are drawn from a finite set. For the estimation of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-08-24 Susanne Sparrer , Robert F. H. Fischer

Due to concerns about parametric model misspecification, there is interest in using machine learning to adjust for confounding when evaluating the causal effect of an exposure on an outcome. Unfortunately, exposure effect estimators that…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-08 Oliver Dukes , Stijn Vansteelandt , David Whitney

An important issue in medical image processing is to be able to estimate not only the performances of algorithms but also the precision of the estimation of these performances. Reporting precision typically amounts to reporting…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-05-25 Rosana El Jurdi , Olivier Colliot

We give a highly efficient "semi-agnostic" algorithm for learning univariate probability distributions that are well approximated by piecewise polynomial density functions. Let $p$ be an arbitrary distribution over an interval $I$ which is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-05-15 Siu-On Chan , Ilias Diakonikolas , Rocco A. Servedio , Xiaorui Sun

We propose a framework for constructing and analyzing multiclass and multioutput classification metrics, i.e., involving multiple, possibly correlated multiclass labels. Our analysis reveals novel insights on the geometry of feasible…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-08-27 Xiaoyan Wang , Ran Li , Bowei Yan , Oluwasanmi Koyejo

Uncertainty estimation is important for ensuring safety and robustness of AI systems. While most research in the area has focused on un-structured prediction tasks, limited work has investigated general uncertainty estimation approaches for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-12 Andrey Malinin , Mark Gales

We design a new, fast algorithm for agnostically learning univariate probability distributions whose densities are well approximated by piecewise polynomial functions. Let $f$ be the density function of an arbitrary univariate distribution,…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2015-06-03 Jayadev Acharya , Ilias Diakonikolas , Jerry Li , Ludwig Schmidt

While efficient distribution learning is no doubt behind the groundbreaking success of diffusion modeling, its theoretical guarantees are quite limited. In this paper, we provide the first rigorous analysis on approximation and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-06 Kazusato Oko , Shunta Akiyama , Taiji Suzuki