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We consider an estimator for the location of a shift in the mean of long-range dependent sequences. The estimation is based on the two-sample Wilcoxon statistic. Consistency and the rate of convergence for the estimated change point are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-28 Annika Betken

We take a new look at the problem of disentangling the volatility and jumps processes of daily stock returns. We first provide a computational framework for the univariate stochastic volatility model with Poisson-driven jumps that offers a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-30 Angelos Alexopoulos , Petros Dellaportas , Omiros Papaspiliopoulos

We study existence of probability measure valued jump-diffusions described by martingale problems. We develop a simple device that allows us to embed Wasserstein spaces and other similar spaces of probability measures into locally compact…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-03 Martin Larsson , Sara Svaluto-Ferro

We consider linear transformation models applied to right censored survival data with a change-point based on a covariate threshold. We establish consistency and weak convergence of the nonparametric maximum lieklihood estimators. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Michael R. Kosorok , Rui Song

We consider the stochastic ranking process with the jump times of the particles determined by Poisson random measures. We prove that the joint empirical distribution of scaled position and intensity measure converges almost surely in the…

The purpose of this paper is to extend the investigation of Poisson-type deviation inequalities started by Joulin (Bernoulli 13 (2007) 782--798) to the empirical mean of positively curved Markov jump processes. In particular, our main…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-06-15 Aldéric Joulin

A number of discrete time, finite population size models in genetics describing the dynamics of allele frequencies are known to converge (subject to suitable scaling) to a diffusion process in the infinite population limit, termed the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-14 Jaromir Sant , Paul A. Jenkins , Jere Koskela , Dario Spano

The filtering equations associated to a partially observed jump diffusion model $(Z_t)_{t\in [0,T]}=(X_t,Y_t)_{t\in [0,T]}$, driven by Wiener processes and Poisson martingale measures are considered. Building on results from two preceding…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-15 Fabian Germ , István Gyöngy

This paper studies multivariate nonparametric change point localization and inference problems. The data consists of a multivariate time series with potentially short range dependence. The distribution of this data is assumed to be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-30 Carlos Misael Madrid Padilla , Haotian Xu , Daren Wang , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , Yi Yu

In this paper, we consider Bayesian point estimation and predictive density estimation in the binomial case. After presenting preliminary results on these problems, we compare the risk functions of the Bayes estimators based on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-13 Yasuyuki Hamura

We present a detection problem where several spatially distributed sensors observe Poisson signals emitted from a single source of unknown position. The measurements at each sensor are modeled by independent inhomogeneous Poisson processes.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-19 Christian Farinetto , Yury A. Kutoyants , Alioune Top

We study a stochastic differential equation driven by a Poisson point process, which models continuous changes in a population's environment, as well as the stochastic fixation of beneficial mutations that might compensate for this change.…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-21 Elma Nassar , Etienne Pardoux

We consider a jump-type Cox--Ingersoll--Ross (CIR) process driven by a standard Wiener process and a subordinator, and we study asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) for its growth rate. We distinguish three cases:…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-08 Matyas Barczy , Mohamed Ben Alaya , Ahmed Kebaier , Gyula Pap

The problem of disorder seeks to determine a stopping time which is as close as possible to the unknown time of ``disorder'' when the observed process changes its probability characteristics. We give a partial answer to this question for…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-11-23 Pavel V. Gapeev

We study the statistical limits of testing and estimation for a rank one deformation of a Gaussian random tensor. We compute the sharp thresholds for hypothesis testing and estimation by maximum likelihood and show that they are the same.…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-23 Aukosh Jagannath , Patrick Lopatto , Leo Miolane

This paper is devoted to the multivariate estimation of a vector of Poisson means. A novel loss function that penalises bad estimates of each of the parameters and the sum (or equivalently the mean) of the parameters is introduced. Under…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-25 Emil Aas Stoltenberg , Nils Lid Hjort

In this paper we consider the problem of detecting a change in the parameters of an autoregressive process, where the moments of the innovation process do not necessarily exist. An empirical likelihood ratio test for the existence of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-07 Fumiya Akashi , Holger Dette , Yan Liu

We consider here point processes $N^f(t)$, $t>0$, with independent increments and integer-valued jumps whose distribution is expressed in terms of Bern\v{s}tein functions $f$ with L\'evy measure $\nu$. We obtain the general expression of…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-31 Enzo Orsingher , Bruno Toaldo

A new Bayesian significance test is adjusted for jump detection in a diffusion process. This is an advantageous procedure for temporal data having extreme valued outliers, like financial data, pluvial or tectonic forces records and others.

Methodology · Statistics 2009-11-13 Laura L. R. Rifo , Soledad Torres

We study parameter estimation in linear Gaussian covariance models, which are $p$-dimensional Gaussian models with linear constraints on the covariance matrix. Maximum likelihood estimation for this class of models leads to a non-convex…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-04-19 Piotr Zwiernik , Caroline Uhler , Donald Richards