Related papers: On a Poissonian Change-Point Model with Variable J…
We study the problem of estimating the covariance parameters of a one-dimensional Gaussian process with exponential covariance function under fixed-domain asymptotics. We show that the weighted pairwise maximum likelihood estimator of the…
This analysis derives the maximum likelihood estimator and applies Bayesian inference to model geometric Brownian motion, incorporating jump diffusion to account for sudden market shifts. The Bayesian approach is implemented using Markov…
We study the convergence of $N-$particle systems described by SDEs driven by Brownian motion and Poisson random measure, where the coefficients depend on the empirical measure of the system. Every particle jumps with a jump rate depending…
In this paper, we focus on the statistical filtering problem in dynamical models with jumps. When a particular application relies on physical properties which are modeled by linear and Gaussian probability density functions with jumps, an…
It has been noticed that when the waiting time distribution exhibits a transition from an intermediate time power law decay to a long-time exponential decay in the continuous time random walk model, a transition from anomalous diffusion to…
We investigate the significance of change-points within fully nonparametric regression contexts, with a particular focus on panel data where data generation processes vary across units, and error terms may display complex dependency…
High-dimensional count data poses significant challenges for statistical analysis, necessitating effective methods that also preserve explainability. We focus on a low rank constrained variant of the Poisson log-normal model, which relates…
Modelling the first-order intensity function is one of the main aims in point process theory, and it has been approached so far from different perspectives. One appealing model describes the intensity as a function of a spatial covariate.…
A validated simulation model primarily requires performing an appropriate input analysis mainly by determining the behavior of real-world processes using probability distributions. In many practical cases, probability distributions of the…
It is well known that there is no direct one-to-one relation between $p$-values and likelihood ratios or Bayes factors, since their relation crucially involves the sample size $n$. We investigate their (asymptotic) relation in a…
We study the nonparametric estimation for the intensity of Poisson random measure in jump-diffusion CIR model based on the low frequency observations. This is given in terms of the minimization of norms on a nonempty, closed and convex…
We study the properties of several likelihood-based statistics commonly used in testing for the presence of a known signal under a mixture model with known background, but unknown signal fraction. Under the null hypothesis of no signal, all…
A model is proposed for the statistical analysis of arbitrary-strength quantum measurements, based on a picture of "sampling weak values" from different configurations of the system. The model is comprised of two elements: a "local weak…
In this paper, we study the maximum likelihood estimate of the probability mass function (pmf) of $n$ independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) random variables, in the non-asymptotic regime. We are interested in characterizing the…
Suppose that a compound Poisson process is observed discretely in time and assume that its jump distribution is supported on the set of natural numbers. In this paper we propose a non-parametric Bayesian approach to estimate the intensity…
Given a sample from a discretely observed compound Poisson process, we consider non-parametric estimation of the density $f_0$ of its jump sizes, as well as of its intensity $\lambda_0.$ We take a Bayesian approach to the problem and…
This paper focuses on hypothesis testing for the input of a L\'evy-driven storage system by sampling of the storage level. As the likelihood is not explicit we propose two tests that rely on transformation of the data. The first approach…
A $U$-statistic of a Poisson point process is defined as the sum $\sum f(x_1,\ldots,x_k)$ over all (possibly infinitely many) $k$-tuples of distinct points of the point process. Using the Malliavin calculus, the Wiener-It\^{o} chaos…
We describe a set of new estimators for the N-point correlation functions of point processes. The variance of these estimators is calculated for the Poisson and binomial cases. It is shown that the variance of the unbiased estimator…
The paper deals with disorders detection in the multivariate stochastic process. We consider the multidimensional Poisson process or the multivariate renewal process. This class of processes can be used as a description of the distributed…