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Related papers: Discrete time ruin probability with Parisian delay

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This paper considers a variant of the classical Cram\'er-Lundberg model that is particularly appropriate in the credit context, with the distinguishing feature that it corresponds to a finite number of obligors. The focus is on computing…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-07 Guusje Delsing , Michel Mandjes

This paper presents an axiomatic scheme for interest rate models in discrete time. We take a pricing kernel approach, which builds in the arbitrage-free property and provides a link to equilibrium economics. We require that the pricing…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-05 Lane P. Hughston , Andrea Macrina

Through a straightforward Bayesian approach we show that under some general conditions a maximum running time, namely the number of discrete steps performed by a computer program during its execution, can be defined such that the…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Germano D'Abramo

The effect of space inhomogeneities on a diffusing particle is studied in the framework of the 1D random walk. The typical time needed by a particle to cross a one--dimensional finite lane, the so--called residence time, is computed…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-06-26 A. Ciallella , E. N. M. Cirillo

This paper considers a Cram\'er-Lundberg risk setting, where the components of the underlying model change over time. These components could be thought of as the claim arrival rate, the claim-size distribution, and the premium rate, but we…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-10 Corina Constantinescu , Guusje Delsing , Michel Mandjes , Leonardo Rojas Nandayapa

We consider a particle moving in a one dimensional potential which has a symmetric deterministic part and a quenched random part. We study analytically the probability distributions of the local time (spent by the particle around its mean…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Satya N. Majumdar , Alain Comtet

The authors propose a new variation of random walks called ladder chains $L(r,s,p)$. We extend concepts such as ruin probability, hitting time, transience and recurrence of random walks to ladder chain. Take $L(2,2,p)$ for instance, we find…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-10 Chenhe Zhang , Xiang Fang

We study small random perturbations by additive white-noise of a spatial discretization of a reaction-diffusion equation with a stable equilibrium and solutions that blow up in finite time. We prove that the perturbed system blows up with…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-12 Pablo Groisman , Santiago Saglietti

We study a class of infinite-horizon impulse control problems with execution delay in discrete time. Using probabilistic methods, particularly the notion of the Snell envelope of processes, we construct an optimal strategy among all…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-22 Said Hamadène , Boualem Djehiche

Following an article by Muller and Pflug, we study the adjustment coefficient of ruin theory in a context of temporal dependency. We provide a consistent estimator of this coefficient, and perform some simulations.

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-01-05 H. Cossette , E. Marceau , V. Maume-Deschamps

In this work we set up the distribution function of $\mathcal{M}:=\sup_{n\geqslant1}\sum_{i=1}^{n}{(Z_i-1)}$, where the random walk $\sum_{i=1}^{n}Z_i, n\in\mathbb{N},$ is generated by $N$ periodically occurring distributions and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-08 Andrius Grigutis , Jonas Jankauskas , Jonas Šiaulys

We show a methodology for the computation of the probability of deadline miss for a periodic real-time task scheduled by a resource reservation algorithm. We propose a modelling technique for the system that reduces the computation of such…

Performance · Computer Science 2016-04-28 Luigi Palopoli , Daniele Fontanelli , Luca Abeni , Bernardo Villalba Frías

In the infinite-horizon and discrete-time framework we establish maximum principles of Pontryagin under assumptions which weaker than these ones of existing results. We avoid several assumptions of continuity and of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-02-03 Joël Blot , Thoi-Nhan Ngo

Given a hierarchical plan (or schedule) with uncertain task times, we propose a deterministic polynomial (time and memory) algorithm for estimating the probability that its meets a deadline, or, alternately, that its {\em makespan} is less…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-12-27 Liat Cohen , Solomon Eyal Shimony , Gera Weiss

In this work the ruin probability of the Lundberg risk process is used as a criterion for determining the optimal security loading of premia in the presence of price-sensitive demand for insurance. Both single and aggregated claim processes…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-24 Ragnar Levy Gudmundarson , Manuel Guerra , Alexandra Bugalho de Moura

The classical Cram\'er-Lundberg risk process models the ruin probability of an insurance company experiencing an incoming cash flow - the premium income, and an outgoing cash flow - the claims. From a system's viewpoint, the web of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-13 Rukuang Huang

In this paper we develop a symbolic technique to obtain asymptotic expressions for ruin probabilities and discounted penalty functions in renewal insurance risk models when the premium income depends on the present surplus of the insurance…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-08-15 Hansjörg Albrecher , Corina Constantinescu , Zbigniew Palmowski , Georg Regensburger , Markus Rosenkranz

We consider a diffusion risk model where proportional reinsurance can be bought. In order to stabilise the surplus process, one tries to keep the drawdown, that is the difference of the surplus to its historical maximum, in an interval…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-07 Kira Dudziak , Hanspeter Schmidli

In this text, we establish the risk model based on AR(1) series and propose the basic model which has a dependent structure under intensity of claim number. Considering some properties of the risk model, we take advantage of newton…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-10-31 Wenhao Li , Bolong Wang , Tianxiang Shen , Ronghua Zhu , Dehui Wang

In this paper we discuss the example of one rapidity gap process: the inclusive cross sections of the leading neutrons in deep inelastic scattering with protons (DIS). The equations for this process are proposed and solved, giving the…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2015-06-04 Eugene Levin , Sebastian Tapia
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