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We compute the exponential decay of the probability that a given multi-dimensional random walk stays in a convex cone up to time $n$, as $n$ goes to infinity. We show that the latter equals the minimum, on the dual cone, of the Laplace…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-11 Rodolphe Garbit , Kilian Raschel

This article investigates the behavior of the continuous-time simple random walk on $\mathbb{Z}^d$, $d \geq 3$. We derive an asymptotic lower bound on the principal exponential rate of decay for the probability that the average value over a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-24 Alberto Chiarini , Maximilian Nitzschner

We consider multidimensional random walks in pyramids, which by definition are cones formed by finite intersections of half-spaces. The main object of interest is the survival probability $\mathbb{P}(\tau>n)$, $\tau$ denoting the first exit…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-29 Rodolphe Garbit , Kilian Raschel

We consider a centered random walk with finite variance and investigate the asymptotic behaviour of the probability that the area under this walk remains positive up to a large time $n$. Assuming that the moment of order $2+\delta$ is…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-11 Denis Denisov , Vitali Wachtel

A natural extension of a right-continuous integer-valued random walk is one which can jump to the right by one or two units. First passage times above a given fixed level then admit a tractable Laplace transform (probability generating…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-13 Matija Vidmar

We derive a functional central limit theorem for the excursion of a random walk conditioned on sweeping a prescribed geometric area. We assume that the increments of the random walk are integer-valued, centered, with a third moment equal to…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-30 Philippe Carmona , Nicolas Pétrélis

Consider a random walk whose (light-tailed) increments have positive mean. Lower and upper bounds are provided for the expected maximal value of the random walk until it experiences a given drawdown d. These bounds, related to the Calmar…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-07-23 Isaac Meilijson

We study the critical centered branching random walk with offspring and displacement distributions having finite variance, under minimal assumptions on its structure. We show that the probability that the position of the right-most particle…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-15 Thomas Lehéricy

We study a $d$-dimensional random walk with exponentially distributed increments conditioned so that the components stay ordered (in the sense of Doob). We find explicitly a positive harmonic function $h$ for the killed process and then…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-06 Denis Denisov , Will FitzGerald

This paper provides a detailed description for the asymptotics of exponential functionals of random walks with light/heavy tails. We give the convergence rate based on the key observation that the asymptotics depends on the sample paths…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-29 Wei Xu

We consider a random walk in random environment in the low disorder regime on $\mathbb Z^d$. That is, the probability that the random walk jumps from a site $x$ to a nearest neighboring site $x+e$ is given by $p(e)+\epsilon \xi(x,e)$, where…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-11 David Campos , Alejandro F. Ramirez

We consider two dimensional random walks conditioned to stay in the positive quadrant. Assuming that the increments of the walk have finite second moments and that the drift vector is co-oriented with one of two axes, we construct positive…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-10 Tuan Anh Nguyen , Vitali Wachtel

We consider a one dimensional random walk in random environment that is uniformly biased to one direction. In addition to the transition probability, the jump rate of the random walk is assumed to be spatially inhomogeneous and random. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-27 Amir Dembo , Ryoki Fukushima , Naoki Kubota

We consider a nearest neighbor random walk on the one-dimensional integer lattice with drift towards the origin determined by an asymptotically vanishing function of the number of visits to zero. We show the existence of distinct regimes…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-12-03 Iddo Ben-Ari , Mathieu Merle , Alexander Roitershtein

Consider a discrete-time one-dimensional supercritical branching random walk. We study the probability that there exists an infinite ray in the branching random walk that always lies above the line of slope $\gamma-\epsilon$, where $\gamma$…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-02-16 Nina Gantert , Yueyun Hu , Zhan Shi

We consider simple random walk on the incipient infinite cluster for the spread-out model of oriented percolation on $Z^d \times Z_+$. In dimensions $d>6$, we obtain bounds on exit times, transition probabilities, and the range of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-09-01 Martin T. Barlow , Antal A. Jarai , Takashi Kumagai , Gordon Slade

In this note we first consider local times of random walks killed at leaving positive half-axis. We prove that the distribution of the properly rescaled local time at point $N$ conditioned on being positive converges towards an exponential…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-22 Denis Denisov , Vitali Wachtel

We consider random walks with finite second moment which drifts to $-\infty$ and have heavy tail. We focus on the events when the minimum and the final value of this walk belong to some compact set. We first specify the associated…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-12 Vincent Bansaye , Vladimir Vatutin

Consider a supercritical branching random walk on the real line. The consistent maximal displacement is the smallest of the distances between the trajectories followed by individuals at the $n$th generation and the boundary of the process.…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-21 Bastien Mallein

We consider a random walk in $\mathbb Z^d$ which jumps from a site $x$ to a nearest neighboring site $x+e$ (where $e\in V:=\{x\in\mathbb Z^d: |x|_1=1\}$) with probability $p_0(e)+\epsilon\xi(x,e)$. Here $\sum_e p_0(e)=1$, $p_0(e)> 0$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-31 Alejandro F. Ramirez
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