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Extreme events gain the attention of researchers due to their utmost importance in various contexts ranging from finance to climatology. This brings such recurrent events to the limelight of attention in interdisciplinary research. A…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-05-18 Sayantan Nag Chowdhury , Arnob Ray , Syamal K. Dana , Dibakar Ghosh

We consider a model of Brownian motion on a bounded open interval with instantaneous jumps. The jumps occur at a spatially dependent rate given by a positive parameter times a continuous function positive on the interval and vanishing on…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-04 Iddo Ben-Ari

Process Monitoring involves tracking a system's behaviors, evaluating the current state of the system, and discovering interesting events that require immediate actions. In this paper, we consider monitoring temporal system state sequences…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-11 Yihuang Kang , Vladimir Zadorozhny

We study the counting of level crossings for inertial random processes exposed to stochastic resetting events. We develop the general approach of stochastic resetting for inertial processes with sudden changes in the state characterized by…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-12-22 Miquel Montero , Matteo Palassini , Jaume Masoliver

During a random search, resetting the searcher's position from time to time to the starting point often reduces the mean completion time of the process. Although many different resetting models have been studied over the past ten years,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-09-15 Gabriel Mercado-Vásquez , Denis Boyer , Satya N. Majumdar

We consider a general class of dynamic resource allocation problems within a stochastic optimal control framework. This class of problems arises in a wide variety of applications, each of which intrinsically involves resources of different…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-01-08 Xuefeng Gao , Yingdong Lu , Mayank Sharma , Mark S. Squillante , Joost W. Bosman

Contraction properties of the Riccati operator are studied within the context of non-stationary linear-quadratic optimal control. A lifting approach is used to obtain a bound on the rate of strict contraction, with respect to the Riemannian…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-06 Jintao Sun , Michael Cantoni

Contraction analysis considers the distance between two adjacent trajectories. If this distance is contracting, then trajectories have the same long-term behavior. The main advantage of this analysis is that it is independent of the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-03-04 Peter Giesl , Sigurdur Hafstein , Christoph Kawan

We study a generalized geometric Brownian motion framework that incorporates both entries of new units and exit mechanisms for the current population, extending earlier stochastic resetting models where these rates are treated as identical.…

General Economics · Economics 2026-05-20 Suvam Pal , Viktor Stojkoski , Arnab Pal , Trifce Sandev

The renewal process is a key statistical model for describing a wide range of stochastic systems in Physics. This work investigates the behavior of the probability distribution of the number of renewals in renewal processes in the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-10-02 Wanli Wang , Stanislav Burov

A regime-switching geometric Brownian motion is used to model a geometric Brownian motion with its coefficients changing randomly according to a Markov chain. In this work, we give a complete characterization of the recurrent property of…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-15 Jinghai Shao

The conditional expectation and conditional variance of Brownian motion is considered given the argmax, B(t|argmax), as well as those with additional information: B(t|close, argmax), B(t|max, argmax), B(t|close, max, argmax) where the close…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-03 Kurt S. Riedel

This paper presents some new results on Parisian ruin under Levy insurance risk process, where ruin occurs when the process has gone below a fixed level from the last record maximum, also known as the high-water mark or drawdown, for a…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-07 B. A. Surya

This study provides a summary of the theory which enables the analysis of extreme values, i.e., of measurements acquired from the observation of extraordinary/rare physical phenomena. The formalism is developed in a transparent way,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-07-02 Evangelos Matsinos

In the context of countable groups of polynomial volume growth, we consider a large class of random walks that are allowed to take long jumps along multiple subgroups according to power law distributions. For such a random walk, we study…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-26 Zhen-Qing Chen , Takashi Kumagai , Laurent Saloff-Coste , Jian Wang , Tianyi Zheng

Some probabilistic aspects of the number variance statistic are investigated. Infinite systems of independent Brownian motions and symmetric alpha-stable processes are used to construct new examples of processes which exhibit both divergent…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Ben Hambly , Liza Jones

We introduce a new class of continuous-time models of the stochastic volatility of asset prices. The models can simultaneously incorporate roughness and slowly decaying autocorrelations, including proper long memory, which are two stylized…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-06 Mikkel Bennedsen , Asger Lunde , Mikko S. Pakkanen

In this paper we give excursion theoretical proofs of Lehoczky's formula (in an extended form allowing a lower bound for the underlying diffusion) for the joint distribution of the first drawdown time and the maximum before this time, and…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-28 Paavo Salminen , Pierre Vallois

We have studied numerically the statistical mechanics of the dynamic phenomena, including money circulation and economic mobility, in some transfer models. The models on which our investigations were performed are the basic model proposed…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Yougui Wang , Ning Ding

A Bernoulli random walk is a random trajectory starting from 0 and having i.i.d. increments, each of them being $+1$ or -1, equally likely. The other families cited in the title are Bernoulli random walks under various conditionings. A peak…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jean-Maxime Labarbe , Jean-François Marckert