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To overcome some limits of classical neuronal models, we propose a Markovian generalization of the classical model based on Jacobi processes by introducing downwards jumps to describe the activity of a single neuron. The statistical…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-10 Giuseppe D'Onofrio , Pierre Patie , Laura Sacerdote

The logarithmic correction for the order of the maximum of a two-type reducible branching Brownian motion on the real line exhibits a double jump when the parameters (the ratio of the diffusion coefficients of the two types of particles,…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-05 Heng Ma , Yan-Xia Ren

In the classical quickest detection problem, one must detect as quickly as possible when a Brownian motion without drift "changes" into a Brownian motion with positive drift. The change occurs at an unknown "disorder" time with exponential…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-29 Robert C. Dalang , Albert N. Shiryaev

For a sample of Exponentially distributed durations we aim at point estimation and a confidence interval for its parameter. A duration is only observed if it has ended within a certain time interval, determined by a Uniform distribution.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-19 Rafael Weißbach , Dominik Wied

This paper extends the existing drawdown modulation control policy to include a novel restart mechanism for trading. It is known that the drawdown modulation policy guarantees the maximum percentage drawdown no larger than a prespecified…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-01-30 Chung-Han Hsieh

For refracted skew Brownian motion (skew Brownian motion with two-valued drift), adopting a perturbation approach we find expressions of its potential densities. As applications, we recover its transition density and study its long-time…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-08 Zaniar Ahmadi , Xiaowen Zhou

The cutoff phenomenon is an abrupt transition from out of equilibrium to equilibrium undergone by certain Markov processes in the limit where the size of the state space tends to infinity: instead of decaying gradually over time, their…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-29 Justin Salez

The aim of this paper is to analyze a class of random motions which models the motion of a particle on the real line with random velocity and subject to the action of the friction. The speed randomly changes when a Poissonian event occurs.…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-12-31 Alessandro De Gregorio

We live in a world increasingly dominated by networks -- communications, social, information, biological etc. A central attribute of many of these networks is that they are dynamic, that is, they exhibit structural changes over time. While…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2010-12-02 Prithwish Basu , Amotz Bar-Noy , Ram Ramanathan , Matthew P. Johnson

This article studies typical dynamics and fluctuations for a slow-fast dynamical system perturbed by a small fractional Brownian noise. Based on an ergodic theorem with explicit rates of convergence, which may be of independent interest, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-20 Solesne Bourguin , Siragan Gailus , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

Brownian motion with darning (BMD in abbreviation) is introduced and studied in [4] and [5, Chapter 7]. Roughly speaking, BMD travels across the "darning area" at infinite speed, while it behaves like a regular BM outside of this area. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-25 Shuwen Lou

The joint distribution of the maximum loss and the maximum gain is obtained for a spectrally negative Levy process until the passage time of a given level. Their marginal distributions up to an independent exponential time are also…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-30 Ceren Vardar Acar , Mine Caglar

The first-passage-time problem for a Brownian motion with alternating infinitesimal moments through a constant boundary is considered under the assumption that the time intervals between consecutive changes of these moments are described by…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-28 A. Di Crescenzo , E. Di Nardo , L. M. Ricciardi

The Arcsine laws of Brownian motion are a collection of results describing three different statistical quantities of one-dimensional Brownian motion: the time at which the process reaches its maximum position, the total time the process…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-08-03 Toby Kay , Luca Giuggioli

Changepoints are abrupt variations in the generative parameters of a data sequence. Online detection of changepoints is useful in modelling and prediction of time series in application areas such as finance, biometrics, and robotics. While…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2007-10-22 Ryan Prescott Adams , David J. C. MacKay

We provide a general model for Brownian motions on metric graphs with interactions. In a general setting, for (sticky) Brownian propagations on edges, our model provides a characterization of lifetimes and holding times on vertices in terms…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-29 Fausto Colantoni , Mirko D'Ovidio , Flavia Tavani

We extend the scope of the dynamical theory of extreme values to cover phenomena that do not happen instantaneously, but evolve over a finite, albeit unknown at the onset, time interval. We consider complex dynamical systems, composed of…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-20 Theophile Caby , Giorgio Mantica

A novel generative machine learning approach for the simulation of sequences of financial price data with drawdowns quantifiably close to empirical data is introduced. Applications such as pricing drawdown insurance options or developing…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-12 Emiel Lemahieu , Kris Boudt , Maarten Wyns

In active Brownian motion, an internal propulsion mechanism interacts with translational and rotational thermal noise and other internal fluctuations to produce directed motion. We derive the distribution of its extreme fluctuations and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-05-04 Patrick Pietzonka , Kevin Kleinbeck , Udo Seifert

In this paper, we focus on multiple sampling problems for the estimation of the fractional Brownian motion when the maximum number of samples is limited, extending existing results in the literature in a non-Markovian framework. Two classes…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-18 Xiang Cui , Alexandra Chronopoulou