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Related papers: Maximal percentages in Polya's urn

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Consider a generalized time-dependent P\'olya urn process defined as follows. Let $d\in \mathbb{N}$ be the number of urns/colors. At each time $n$, we distribute $\sigma_n$ balls randomly to the $d$ urns, proportionally to $f$, where $f$ is…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-01 Wioletta M. Ruszel , Debleena Thacker

Consider a finite undirected graph and place an urn with balls of two colours at each vertex. At every discrete time step, for each urn, a fixed number of balls are drawn from that same urn with probability $p$, and from a randomly chosen…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-29 Yogesh Dahiya , Neeraja Sahasrabudhe

We consider P\'olya urns with infinitely many colours that are of a random walk type, in two related version. We show that the colour distribution a.s., after rescaling, converges to a normal distribution, assuming only second moments on…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-13 Svante Janson

A classical P\'olya urn scheme is a Markov process whose evolution is encoded by a replacement matrix $(R_{i,j})_{1\leq i,j\leq d}$. At every discrete time-step, we draw a ball uniformly at random, denote its colour $c$, and replace it in…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-18 Nabil Lasmar , Cécile Mailler , Olfa Selmi

We consider a special case of the generalized P\'{o}lya's urn model introduced by Benaim et al (2013). Given a finite connected graph $G$, place a bin at each vertex. Two bins are called a pair if they share an edge of $G$. At discrete…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-06 Jun Chen , Cyrille Lucas

For the plain Polya urn with two colors, black and white, we prove a functional central limit theorem for the number of white balls assuming that the initial number of black balls is large. Depending on the initial number of white balls,…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-03 Dimitris Cheliotis , Dimitra Kouloumpou

We study the number of white balls in a classical P\'olya urn model with the additional feature that, at random times, a black ball is added to the urn. The number of draws between these random times are i.i.d. and, under certain moment…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-05 Erol Peköz , Adrian Röllin , Nathan Ross

This paper considers a two-color, single-draw urn model with two types of balls, denoted type $1$ and type $2$, with initial counts $Y^1_0\in N^+$ and $Y^2_0\in N^+$, respectively. At each discrete time step, a ball is drawn uniformly at…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-27 Jianan Shi , Qing Yin , Yu Miao

An urn model of Diaconis and some generalizations are discussed. A convergence theorem is proved that implies for Diaconis' model that the empirical distribution of balls in the urn converges with probability one to the uniform…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 David Siegmund , Benjamin Yakir

We study several exactly solvable Polya-Eggenberger urn models with a \emph{diminishing} character, namely, balls of a specified color, say $x$ are completely drawn after a finite number of draws. The main quantity of interest here is the…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2022-12-13 Hsien-Kuei Hwang , Markus Kuba , Alois Panholzer

We consider a variant of the randomly reinforced urn where more balls can be simultaneously drawn out and balls of different colors can be simultaneously added. More precisely, at each time-step, the conditional distribution of the number…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-09 Irene Crimaldi

We consider an urn model with multiple drawing and random time-dependent addition matrix. The model is very general with respect to previous literature: the number of sampled balls at each time-step is random, the addition matrix has…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-06 Irene Crimaldi , Pierre-Yves Louis , Ida Germana Minelli

Sanov's Theorem and the Conditional Limit Theorem (CoLT) are established for a multicolor Polya Eggenberger urn sampling scheme, giving the Polya divergence and the Polya extension to the Maximum Relative Entropy (MaxEnt) method. Polya…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Marian Grendar , Robert K. Niven

In the classical Polya urn problem, one begins with $d$ bins, each containing one ball. Additional balls arrive one at a time, and the probability that an arriving ball is placed in a given bin is proportional to $m^\gamma$, where $m$ is…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-01 Jeremy Chen

We study first passage statistics of the Polya urn model. In this random process, the urn contains two types of balls. In each step, one ball is drawn randomly from the urn, and subsequently placed back into the urn together with an…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-07-12 Tibor Antal , E. Ben-Naim , P. L. Krapivsky

We consider a two-color P\'{o}lya urn in the case when a fixed number $S$ of balls is added at each step. Assume it is a large urn that is, the second eigenvalue $m$ of the replacement matrix satisfies $1/2<m/S\leq1$. After $n$ drawings,…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-12-30 Brigitte Chauvin , Nicolas Pouyanne , Reda Sahnoun

We give bounds for (central) moments for balanced P\'olya urns under very general conditions. In some cases, these bounds imply that moment convergence holds in earlier known results on asymptotic distribution. The results overlap with…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-21 Svante Janson

It is well known that in a small P\'olya urn, i.e., an urn where second largest real part of an eigenvalue is at most half the largest eigenvalue, the distribution of the numbers of balls of different colours in the urn is asymptotically…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Svante Janson

Consider an urn filled with balls, each labeled with one of several possible collective decisions. Now, let a random voter draw two balls from the urn and pick her more preferred as the collective decision. Relabel the losing ball with the…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-03-28 Florian Brandl , Felix Brandt

This study analyzes pass networks in football (soccer) using a stochastic model known as the P\'olya urn. By focusing on preferential selection, it theoretically demonstrates that the time evolution of networks can be characterized by a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-12-19 Ken Yamamoto