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This manuscript studies a general approach to construct confidence sets for the solution of stochastic optimization, rendering empirical risk minimization as special cases. Statistical inference for stochastic optimization poses significant…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-22 Kenta Takatsu , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

Computable phenotypes are used to characterize patients and identify outcomes in studies conducted using healthcare claims and electronic health record data. Chart review studies establish reference labels against which computable…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-11 Georg Hahn , Sebastian Schneeweiss , Shirley Wang

A new lower bound on the average reconstruction error variance of multidimensional sampling and reconstruction is presented. It applies to sampling on arbitrary lattices in arbitrary dimensions, assuming a stochastic process with constant,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-06-19 Erik Agrell , Balázs Csébfalvi

In this paper we study periodical stochastic processes, and we define the conditions that are needed by a model to be a good noise model on the circumference. The classes of processes that fit the required conditions are studied together…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-09 Giacomo Aletti , Matteo Ruffini

Let a graph be observed through a finite random sampling mechanism. Spectral methods are routinely applied to such graphs, yet their outputs are treated as deterministic objects. This paper develops finite-sample inference for spectral…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-12 Chandrasekhar Gokavarapu , Sekhar Babu Gosala , Vamis Pasalapudi , Tarakarama Kapakayala

Suppose one has a collection of parameters indexed by a (possibly infinite dimensional) set. Given data generated from some distribution, the objective is to estimate the maximal parameter in this collection evaluated at this distribution.…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-26 Alexander R. Luedtke , Mark J. van der Laan

Shape restricted regressions, including isotonic regression and concave regression as special cases, are studied using priors on Bernstein polynomials and Markov chain Monte Carlo methods. These priors have large supports, select only…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 I-Shou Chang , Li-Chu Chien , Chao A. Hsiung , Chi-Chung Wen , Yuh-Jenn Wu

Motivated by a wide variety of applications, ranging from stochastic optimization to dimension reduction through variable selection, the problem of estimating gradients accurately is of crucial importance in statistics and learning theory.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-29 Guillaume Ausset , Stephan Clémençon , François Portier

We consider the nonparametric regression problem with multiple predictors and an additive error, where the regression function is assumed to be coordinatewise nondecreasing. We propose a Bayesian approach to make an inference on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-24 Kang Wang , Subhashis Ghosal

A statistical method is presented to evaluate the uncertainty bands in the optical nucleus-nucleus potential and in differential cross sections. The starting point is the least square fit of a set of experimental values of elastic…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2025-07-17 O. C. B. Santos , J. Gómez-Camacho

Gaussian Process Regression and Kernel Ridge Regression are popular nonparametric regression approaches. Unfortunately, they suffer from high computational complexity rendering them inapplicable to the modern massive datasets. To that end a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-11 Valeriy Avanesov

We consider nonparametric regression in the context of functional data, that is, when a random sample of functions is observed on a fine grid. We obtain a functional asymptotic normality result allowing to build simultaneous confidence…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-13 David A. Degras

In this paper we establish asymptotic simultaneous confidence bands for copulas based on the local linear kernel estimator proposed by Chen and Huang [1]. For this, we prove under smoothness conditions on the copula function, a uniform in…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-10-02 Diam Ba , Cheikh Tidiane Seck , Gane Samb Lo

In the recent paper [5], a Bayesian approach for constructing confidence intervals in monotone regression problems is proposed, based on credible intervals. We view this method from a frequentist point of view, and show that it corresponds…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-01 Piet Groeneboom , Geurt Jongbloed

This paper demonstrates that the space of piecewise smooth functions can be well approximated by the space of functions defined by a set of simple (non-linear) operations on smooth uniform splines. The examples include bivariate functions…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-05-13 David Levin

Simultaneous confidence bands (SCBs) for percentiles in linear regression are valuable tools with many applications. In this paper, we propose a novel criterion for comparing SCBs for percentiles, termed the Minimum Area Confidence Set…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-15 Lingjiao Wang , Yang Han , Wei Liu , Frank Bretz

Quantum state tomography is the standard technique for reconstructing a quantum state from experimental data. In the regime of finite statistics, experimental data cannot give perfect information about the quantum state. A common way to…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-07-03 Carlos de Gois , Matthias Kleinmann

It is of particular interest to reconstruct or estimate bandlimited graph signals, which are smoothly varying signals defined over graphs, from partial noisy measurements. However, choosing an optimal subset of nodes to sample is NP-hard.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2017-11-21 Xuan Xie , Hui Feng , Junlian Jia , Bo Hu

In this paper, we investigate the supremum-norm generalization error and the uniform inference for a specific class of kernel regression methods, namely the kernel gradient flows. Under the widely adopted capacity-source condition framework…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-08 Yuqian Cheng , Zhuo Chen , Qian Lin

This paper presents a new conformal method for generating simultaneous forecasting bands guaranteed to cover the entire path of a new random trajectory with sufficiently high probability. Prompted by the need for dependable uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-16 Yanfei Zhou , Lars Lindemann , Matteo Sesia