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Data-driven decision-making is performed by solving a parameterized optimization problem, and the optimal decision is given by an optimal solution for unknown true parameters. We often need a solution that satisfies true constraints even…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-03-03 Akihiro Yabe , Takanori Maehara

The linear fractional stable motion generalizes two prominent classes of stochastic processes, namely stable L\'evy processes, and fractional Brownian motion. For this reason it may be regarded as a basic building block for continuous time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-17 Fabian Mies , Mark Podolskij

In this article, we develop a Bayesian approach to estimate parameters from time traces that originate from an overdamped Brownian particle in a harmonic potential, or Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process (OU). We show that least-square fitting the…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2020-01-08 Helmut H. Strey

We build confidence balls for the common density $s$ of a real valued sample $X_1,...,X_n$. We use resampling methods to estimate the projection of $s$ onto finite dimensional linear spaces and a model selection procedure to choose an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-07-27 Matthieu Lerasle

A $(\beta,\delta,\Delta)$-padded decomposition of an edge-weighted graph $G = (V,E,w)$ is a stochastic decomposition into clusters of diameter at most $\Delta$ such that for every vertex $v\in V$, the probability that…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2025-10-15 Arnold Filtser , Tobias Friedrich , Davis Issac , Nikhil Kumar , Hung Le , Nadym Mallek , Ziena Zeif

We develop a statistical inference method for an optimal transport map between distributions on real numbers with uniform confidence bands. The concept of optimal transport (OT) is used to measure distances between distributions, and OT…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-16 Donlapark Ponnoprat , Ryo Okano , Masaaki Imaizumi

Certifying feasibility in decision-making, critical in many industries, can be framed as a constraint satisfaction problem. This paper focuses on characterising a subset of parameter values from an a priori set that satisfy constraints on a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-14 Max Mowbray , Nilay Shah , Benoît Chachuat

In epidemiology, some have argued that multiple comparison corrections are not necessary as there is rarely interest in the universal null hypothesis. From a parameter estimation perspective, epidemiologists may still be interested in…

Frequentist coverage of $(1-\alpha)$-highest posterior density (HPD) credible sets is studied in a signal plus noise model under a large class of noise distributions. We consider a specific class of spike-and-slab prior distributions.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-11 Kevin Duisters , Johannes Schmidt-Hieber

We consider small perturbations of expanding maps induced by skew-product mappings whose base dynamics are not invertible necessarily. Adopting a previously developed perturbative spectral approach, we show stability of the densities of the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-10-30 Yushi Nakano

The frequency response function (FRF) is an established way to describe the outcome of experiments in posture control literature. The FRF is an empirical transfer function between an input stimulus and the induced body segment sway profile,…

Applications · Statistics 2025-05-27 Vittorio Lippi

We obtain sharp sufficient conditions for exponentially integrable stochastic processes $X=\{X(t)\!\!: t\in [0,1]\}$, to have sample paths with bounded $\Phi$-variation. When $X$ is moreover Gaussian, we also provide a bound of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-20 Andreas Basse-O'Connor , Michel Weber

We derive a new closed-form variance-adaptive confidence sequence (CS) for estimating the average conditional mean of a sequence of bounded random variables. Empirically, it yields the tightest closed-form CS we have found for tracking…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-25 Ben Chugg , Aaditya Ramdas

There is a fast growing literature that set-identifies structural vector autoregressions (SVARs) by imposing sign restrictions on the responses of a subset of the endogenous variables to a particular structural shock (sign-restricted…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-02-08 Eleonora Granziera , Hyungsik Roger Moon , Frank Schorfheide

Regularly varying stochastic processes model extreme dependence between process values at different locations and/or time points. For such processes we propose a two-step parameter estimation of the extremogram, when some part of the domain…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-28 Sven Buhl , Claudia Klüppelberg

Sup-norm curve estimation is a fundamental statistical problem and, in principle, a premise for the construction of confidence bands for infinite-dimensional parameters. In a Bayesian framework, the issue of whether the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-03-22 Catia Scricciolo

The density weighted average derivative (DWAD) of a regression function is a canonical parameter of interest in economics. Classical first-order large sample distribution theory for kernel-based DWAD estimators relies on tuning parameter…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-02-16 Matias D. Cattaneo , Max H. Farrell , Michael Jansson , Ricardo Masini

The tilted-wave interferometer is a promising technique for the development of a reference measurement system for the highly accurate form measurement of aspheres and freeform surfaces. The technique combines interferometric measurements,…

We propose a spectral mean for closed curves described by sample points on its boundary subject to mis-alignment and noise. First, we ignore mis-alignment and derive maximum likelihood estimators of the model and noise parameters in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-10-30 M. N. M. van Lieshout

We consider sampling strategies for a class of multivariate bandlimited functions $f$ that have a spectrum consisting of disjoint frequency bands. Taking advantage of the special spectral structure, we provide formulas relating $f$ to the…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2018-04-18 Christina Frederick