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For a general class of priors based on random series basis expansion, we develop the Bayes Lepski's method to estimate unknown regression function. In this approach, the series truncation point is determined based on a stopping rule that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-21 William Weimin Yoo , Aad W. van der Vaart

In this work, we consider the problem of bounding the values of a covariance function corresponding to a continuous-time stationary stochastic process or signal. Specifically, for two signals whose covariance functions agree on a finite…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-07 Filip Elvander , Johan Karlsson , Toon van Waterschoot

The paper deals with minimax optimal statistical tests for two composite hypotheses, where each hypothesis is defined by a non-parametric uncertainty set of feasible distributions. It is shown that for every pair of uncertainty sets of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-17 Michael Fauss , Abdelhak M. Zoubir , H. Vincent Poor

In this paper we consider the construction of simultaneous confidence bands for the spectral density of a stationary time series using a Gaussian approximation for classical lag-window spectral density estimators evaluated at the set of all…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-25 Jens-Peter Kreiss , Anne Leucht , Efstathios Paparoditis

In stochastic simulation, input uncertainty refers to the propagation of the statistical noise in calibrating input models to impact output accuracy, in addition to the Monte Carlo simulation noise. The vast majority of the input…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-18 Motong Chen , Henry Lam , Zhenyuan Liu

Nonparametric statistics for distribution functions F or densities f=F' under qualitative shape constraints provides an interesting alternative to classical parametric or entirely nonparametric approaches. We contribute to this area by…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-31 Lutz Duembgen , Petro Kolesnyk , Ralf A. Wilke

We study the problem of variable selection in convex nonparametric regression. Under the assumption that the true regression function is convex and sparse, we develop a screening procedure to select a subset of variables that contains the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-19 Min Xu , Minhua Chen , John Lafferty

We study the random sampling of band-limited functions of several variables. If a bandlimited function with bandwidth one has its essential support on a cube of volume $R^d$, then $\cO (R^d \log R^d)$ random samples suffice to approximate…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-21 Richard F. Bass , Karlheinz Gröchenig

The main result of this thesis is an efficient protocol to determine the frequencies of a signal $C(t)= \sum_k |a_k|^2 e^{i \omega_k t}$, which is given for a finite time, to a high degree of precision. Specifically, we develop a theorem…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2024-12-12 Timothy Stroschein

This article presents methods for constructing an asymptotic hyperbolic band under the multiple logistic regression model when the predictor variables are restricted to a specific region $\mathscr{X}$. Scheff\'{e}'s method yields…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-04-06 Lucy Kerns

Time evolving surfaces can be modeled as two-dimensional Functional time series, exploiting the tools of Functional data analysis. Leveraging this approach, a forecasting framework for such complex data is developed. The main focus revolves…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-19 Niccolò Ajroldi , Jacopo Diquigiovanni , Matteo Fontana , Simone Vantini

We consider inference for high-dimensional separately and jointly exchangeable arrays where the dimensions may be much larger than the sample sizes. For both exchangeable arrays, we first derive high-dimensional central limit theorems over…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-07-13 Harold D. Chiang , Kengo Kato , Yuya Sasaki

We propose a general method for constructing confidence intervals and statistical tests for single or low-dimensional components of a large parameter vector in a high-dimensional model. It can be easily adjusted for multiplicity taking…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-24 Sara van de Geer , Peter Bühlmann , Ya'acov Ritov , Ruben Dezeure

We present a new method for constructing a confidence interval for the mean of a bounded random variable from samples of the random variable. We conjecture that the confidence interval has guaranteed coverage, i.e., that it contains the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-05 Erik Learned-Miller , Philip S. Thomas

In this paper, we use the modern setting of functional empirical processes and recent techniques on uniform estimation for non parametric objects to derive consistency bands for the mean excess function in the i.i.d. case. We apply our…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-10-14 Gane Samb Lo , Diadie Ba , Elhadji Deme , Cheikh Seck

Kernel Estimation is one of the most widely used estimation methods in non-parametric Statistics, having a wide-range of applications, including spot volatility estimation of stochastic processes. The selection of bandwidth and kernel…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-15 José E. Figueroa-López , Cheng Li

This paper proposes and analyzes fully data driven methods for inference about the mean function of a stochastic process from a sample of independent trajectories of the process, observed at discrete time points and corrupted by additive…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-05-20 F. Bunea , M. H. Wegkamp , A. E. Ivanescu

In this paper, we propose to construct confidence bands by bootstrapping the debiased kernel density estimator (for density estimation) and the debiased local polynomial regression estimator (for regression analysis). The idea of using a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-06 Gang Cheng , Yen-Chi Chen

If you are predicting the label $y$ of a new object with $\hat y$, how confident are you that $y = \hat y$? Conformal prediction methods provide an elegant framework for answering such question by building a $100 (1 - \alpha)\%$ confidence…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-11 Eugene Ndiaye , Ichiro Takeuchi

We develop a new method for generating prediction sets that combines the flexibility of conformal methods with an estimate of the conditional distribution $P_{Y \mid X}$. Existing methods, such as conformalized quantile regression and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-10 Vincent Plassier , Alexander Fishkov , Mohsen Guizani , Maxim Panov , Eric Moulines
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