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A particular direction of recent advance about stochastic deep-learning algorithms has been about uncovering a rather mysterious heavy-tailed nature of the stationary distribution of these algorithms, even when the data distribution is not…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-28 Sayar Karmakar , Anirbit Mukherjee

We introduce the cluster index of a multivariate regularly varying stationary sequence and characterize the index in terms of the spectral tail process. This index plays a major role in limit theory for partial sums of regularly varying…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-02 Thomas Mikosch , Olivier Wintenberger

The classical modeling of spatial extremes relies on asymptotic models (i.e., max-stable processes or $r$-Pareto processes) for block maxima or peaks over high thresholds, respectively. However, at finite levels, empirical evidence often…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-15 Raphaël Huser , Jennifer L. Wadsworth

This paper is organized in three parts closely related to closure properties of heavy-tailed distributions and heavy-tailed random vectors. In the first part we consider two random variables X and Y with distributions F and G respectively.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-04 Dimitrios G. Konstantinides , Charalampos D. Passalidis

The tail of the distribution of a sum of a random number of independent and identically distributed nonnegative random variables depends on the tails of the number of terms and of the terms themselves. This situation is of interest in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-10 Christian Y. Robert , Johan Segers

Let $\{X_i\}_{i\geq1}$ be an i.i.d. sequence of random variables and define, for $n\geq2$, \[T_n=\cases{n^{-1/2}\hat{\sigma}_n^{-1}S_n,\quad \hat{\sigma}_n>0,\cr 0,\quad \hat{\sigma}_n=0,}with S_n=\sum_{i=1}^nX_i,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-02-11 Fredrik Jonsson

We study the tails of closing auction return distributions for a sample of liquid European stocks. We use the stochastic call auction model of Derksen et al. (2020a), to derive a relation between tail exponents of limit order placement…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-21 M. Derksen , B. Kleijn , R. de Vilder

Long-range dependence and non-Gaussianity are ubiquitous in many natural systems like ecosystems, biological systems and climate. However, it is not always appreciated that both phenomena may occur together in natural systems and that…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-03-18 Christian L. E. Franzke , Timothy Graves , Nicholas W. Watkins , Robert B. Gramacy , Cecilia Hughes

Simultaneous occurrences of extreme events need not imply symmetric or reciprocal tail dependence. However, most existing measures of extremal dependence are inherently symmetric and hence often fail to capture directional influence in tail…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-17 Bikramjit Das , Xiangyu Liu

We study the temporal fluctuations in time-dependent stock prices (both individual and composite) as a stochastic phenomenon using general techniques and methods of nonequilibrium statistical mechanics. In particular, we analyze stock price…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 M. Constantin , S. Das Sarma

Building on a prominent agent-based model, we present a new structural stochastic volatility asset pricing model of fundamentalists vs. chartists where the prices are determined based on excess demand. Specifically, this allows for…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-02 Radu T. Pruna , Maria Polukarov , Nicholas R. Jennings

The sums and maxima of non-stationary random length sequences of regularly varying random variables may have the same tail and extremal indices, Markovich and Rodionov (2020). The main constraint is that there exists a unique series in a…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-11 Natalia Markovich

In this work, I address the issue of forming riskless hedge in the continuous time option pricing model with stochastic stock volatility. I show that it is essential to verify whether the replicating portfolio is self-financing, in order…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 D. F. Wang

The accurate estimation of scaling exponents is central in the observational study of scale-invariant phenomena. Natural systems unavoidably provide observations over restricted intervals; consequently a stationary stochastic process (time…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-03-17 K. H. Kiyani , S. C. Chapman , N. W. Watkins

Recent works have proposed incorporating heavy-tailed (HT) noise into diffusion- and flow-based generative models, with the goals of better recovering the tails of target distributions and improving generative diversity. This motivation is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Hamza Cherkaoui , Hélène Halconruy , Antonio Ocello

Heavy-tailed noise is pervasive in modern machine learning applications, arising from data heterogeneity, outliers, and non-stationary stochastic environments. While second-order methods can significantly accelerate convergence in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-14 Abdurakhmon Sadiev , Peter Richtárik , Ilyas Fatkhullin

Existing theory for multivariate extreme values focuses upon characterizations of the distributional tails when all components of a random vector, standardized to identical margins, grow at the same rate. In this paper, we consider the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-20 J. L. Wadsworth , J. A. Tawn

Gas-solid multiphase flows are prone to develop an instability known as clustering. Two-fluid models, which treat the particulate phase as a continuum, are known to reproduce the qualitative features of this instability, producing…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2017-03-23 William D. Fullmer , Christine M. Hrenya

We introduce and analyse an individual-based evolutionary model, in which a population of genetically diverse organisms compete with each other for limited resources. Through theoretical analysis and stochastic simulations, we show that the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-11-02 Tim Rogers , Alan J. McKane , Axel G. Rossberg

One of the standardized features of financial data is that log-returns are uncorrelated, but absolute log-returns or their squares namely the fluctuating volatility are correlated and is characterized by heavy tailed in the sense that some…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-11 Geoffrey Ducournau
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