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The following zero-sum game between nature and a statistician blends Bayesian methods with frequentist methods such as p-values and confidence intervals. Nature chooses a posterior distribution consistent with a set of possible priors. At…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-07-19 David R. Bickel

The Full Bayesian Significance Test (FBST) for precise hypotheses was presented by Pereira and Stern (1999) as a Bayesian alternative instead of the traditional significance test based on p-value. The FBST uses the evidence in favor of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-31 Alejandra Estefanía Patiño Hoyos , Victor Fossaluza

While gravitational waves have not yet been measured directly, data analysis from detection experiments commonly includes an upper limit statement. Such upper limits may be derived via a frequentist or Bayesian approach; the theoretical…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-03-19 Christian Röver , Chris Messenger , Reinhard Prix

Bayesian linear mixed-effects models and Bayesian ANOVA are increasingly being used in the cognitive sciences to perform null hypothesis tests, where a null hypothesis that an effect is zero is compared with an alternative hypothesis that…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-15 Daniel J. Schad , Bruno Nicenboim , Shravan Vasishth

To answer the call of introducing more Bayesian techniques to organizational research (e.g., Kruschke, Aguinis, & Joo, 2012; Zyphur & Oswald, 2013), we propose a Bayesian approach for meta-analysis with power prior in this article. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-30 Zhiyong Zhang , Kaifeng Jiang , Haiyan Liu , In-Sue Oh

Between Bayesian and frequentist inference, it's commonly believed that the former is for cases where one has a prior and the latter is for cases where one has no prior. But the prior/no-prior classification isn't exhaustive, and most…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-29 Ryan Martin

Clinical trials often seek to determine the superiority, equivalence, or non-inferiority of an experimental condition (e.g., a new drug) compared to a control condition (e.g., a placebo or an already existing drug). The use of frequentist…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2022-05-09 Maximilian Linde , Don van Ravenzwaaij

Score-based statistical models play an important role in modern machine learning, statistics, and signal processing. For hypothesis testing, a score-based hypothesis test is proposed in \cite{wu2022score}. We analyze the performance of this…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-02-06 Enmao Diao , Taposh Banerjee , Vahid Tarokh

The machine learning community adopted the use of null hypothesis significance testing (NHST) in order to ensure the statistical validity of results. Many scientific fields however realized the shortcomings of frequentist reasoning and in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-18 Alessio Benavoli , Giorgio Corani , Janez Demsar , Marco Zaffalon

In practical situations, most experimental designs often yield unbalanced data which have different numbers of observations per unit because of cost constraints, or missing data, etc. In this paper, we consider the Bayesian approach to…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-05-22 Min Wang , Xiaoqian Sun

Bayes factors have become a popular tool in exoplanet spectroscopy for testing atmosphere models against one another. We show that the commonly used method for converting these values into significance "sigmas" is invalid. The formula is…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2025-10-02 Daniel P. Thorngren , David K. Sing , Sagnick Mukherjee

Empirical Bayes (EB) improves the accuracy of simultaneous inference "by learning from the experience of others" (Efron, 2012). Classical EB theory focuses on latent variables that are iid draws from a fitted prior (Efron, 2019). Modern…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-24 Bohan Wu , Eli N. Weinstein , David M. Blei

Classical Bayes' rule lays the foundation for the classical causal relation between cause (input) and effect (output). This causal relation is believed to be universally true for all physical processes. Here we show, on the contrary, that…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-07-19 Mohit Lal Bera , Manabendra Nath Bera

The application of Bayesian inference for the purpose of model selection is very popular nowadays. In this framework, models are compared through their marginal likelihoods, or their quotients, called Bayes factors. However, marginal…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-27 F. Llorente , L. Martino , E. Curbelo , J. Lopez-Santiago , D. Delgado

This paper discusses the dual interpretation of the Jeffreys--Lindley's paradox associated with Bayesian posterior probabilities and Bayes factors, both as a differentiation between frequentist and Bayesian statistics and as a pointer to…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-02 Christian Robert

The Bayes factor is a widely used criterion in model comparison and its logarithm is a difference of out-of-sample predictive scores under the logarithmic scoring rule. However, when some of the candidate models involve vague priors on…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-07 Stephane Shao , Pierre E. Jacob , Jie Ding , Vahid Tarokh

Randomized controlled clinical trials provide the gold standard for evidence generation in relation to the efficacy of a new treatment in medical research. Relevant information from previous studies may be desirable to incorporate in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-29 Lou E. Whitehead , James M. S. Wason , Oliver Sailer , Haiyan Zheng

Identifying small subsets of features that are relevant for prediction and/or classification tasks is a central problem in machine learning and statistics. The feature selection task is especially important, and computationally difficult,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-11-04 Charles K. Fisher , Pankaj Mehta

This paper studies the problem of testing whether a function is monotone from a nonparametric Bayesian perspective. Two new families of tests are constructed. The first uses constrained smoothing splines, together with a hierarchical…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-06-03 James G. Scott , Thomas S. Shively , Stephen G. Walker

Random effects are a flexible addition to statistical models to capture structural heterogeneity in the data, such as spatial dependencies, individual differences, temporal dependencies, or non-linear effects. Testing for the presence (or…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-21 Fabio Vieira , Hongwei Zhao , Joris Mulder
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