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Time series forecasting is one of the most active research topics. Machine learning methods have been increasingly adopted to solve these predictive tasks. However, in a recent work, these were shown to systematically present a lower…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-01 Vitor Cerqueira , Luis Torgo , Carlos Soares

Machine learning methods tend to outperform traditional statistical models at prediction. In the prediction of academic achievement, ML models have not shown substantial improvement over logistic regression. So far, these results have…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-04-21 Sarah Cornell-Farrow , Robert Garrard

Machine learning models are often used to make predictions about admissions process outcomes, such as for colleges or jobs. However, such decision processes differ substantially from the conventional machine learning paradigm. Because…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2026-01-19 Evan Dong , Nikhil Garg , Sarah Dean

This manuscript is focused on features' definition for the outcome prediction of matches of NBA basketball championship. It is shown how models based on one a single feature (Elo rating or the relative victory frequency) have a quality of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-19 Manlio Migliorati

Multiple studies have now demonstrated that machine learning (ML) can give improved skill for predicting or simulating fairly typical weather events, for tasks such as short-term and seasonal weather forecasting, downscaling simulations to…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-08-30 Peter AG Watson

Machine learning (ML) is becoming a commodity. Numerous ML frameworks and services are available to data holders who are not ML experts but want to train predictive models on their data. It is important that ML models trained on sensitive…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2017-09-28 Congzheng Song , Thomas Ristenpart , Vitaly Shmatikov

Two new Bayesian methods for estimating and predicting in-game home team win probabilities are proposed. The first method has a prior that adjusts as a function of lead differential and time elapsed. The second is an adjusted version of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-26 Jason Maddox , Ryan Sides , Jane Harvill

The research area of algorithms with predictions has seen recent success showing how to incorporate machine learning into algorithm design to improve performance when the predictions are correct, while retaining worst-case guarantees when…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-06 Michael Dinitz , Sungjin Im , Thomas Lavastida , Benjamin Moseley , Sergei Vassilvitskii

Research in machine learning (ML) has primarily argued that models trained on incomplete or biased datasets can lead to discriminatory outputs. In this commentary, we propose moving the research focus beyond bias-oriented framings by…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2021-09-17 Milagros Miceli , Julian Posada , Tianling Yang

In this paper, we predict the likelihood of a player making a shot in basketball from multiagent trajectories. Previous approaches to similar problems center on hand-crafting features to capture domain specific knowledge. Although…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-19 Mark Harmon , Abdolghani Ebrahimi , Patrick Lucey , Diego Klabjan

Prior studies on the effectiveness of professional jury consultants in predicting juror proclivities have yielded mixed results, and few have rigorously evaluated consultant performance against chance under controlled conditions. This study…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2026-01-27 Ashwin Murthy , Ramesh Krishnamaneni , Sean Chacon , Kelsey Carlson , Ranjita Naik

In the National Basketball Association (NBA), teams must make choices about which players to acquire, how much to pay them, and other decisions that are fundamentally dependent on player effectiveness. Thus, there is great interest in…

Applications · Statistics 2013-01-17 Dapo Omidiran

Increased data availability has stimulated the interest in studying sports prediction problems via analytical approaches; in particular, with machine learning and simulation. We characterize several models that have been proposed in the…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2023-07-11 Ignacio Erazo

Machine learning (ML) is about computational methods that enable machines to learn concepts from experience. In handling a wide variety of experience ranging from data instances, knowledge, constraints, to rewards, adversaries, and lifelong…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-11 Zhiting Hu , Eric P. Xing

Machine Learning tools are nowadays widely applied extensively to the prediction of the properties of molecular materials, using datasets extracted from high-throughput computational models. In several cases of scientific and technological…

Materials Science · Physics 2021-02-10 Fabio Le Piane , Matteo Baldoni , Francesco Mercuri

RNAs play crucial and versatile roles in biological processes. Computational prediction approaches can help to understand RNA structures and their stabilizing factors, thus providing information on their functions, and facilitating the…

Biological Physics · Physics 2020-09-04 Bin Huang , Yuanyang Du , Shuai Zhang , Wenfei Li , Jun Wang , Jian Zhang

Recently supervised machine learning has been ascending in providing new predictive approaches for chemical, biological and materials sciences applications. In this Perspective we focus on the interplay of machine learning algorithm with…

Machine learning models have demonstrated remarkable success in sports prediction in the past years, often treating sports prediction as a classification task within the field. This paper introduces new perspectives for analyzing sports…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-12 Yuanhong Wu , Isaiah Smith , Tushar Marwah , Michael Schroeter , Mohamed Rahouti , D. Frank Hsu

Our objective is to find the five best college sports coaches of past century for three different sports. We decided to look at men's basketball, football, and baseball. We wanted to use an approach that could definitively determine team…

Applications · Statistics 2014-04-11 Tian-Shun Jiang , Zachary Polizzi , Christopher Yuan

This paper provides a review of model selection and model averaging methods for multinomial probit models estimated using the MACML approach. The proposed approaches are partitioned into test based methods (mostly derived from the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-04 Manuel Batram , Dietmar Bauer