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Due to spatial scarcity and uncertainties in sediment data, initial and boundary conditions in deep-time climate simulations are not well constrained. On the other hand, the climate is a nonlinear system with a multitude of feedback…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-11-01 Charline Ragon , Christian Vérard , Jérôme Kasparian , Maura Brunetti

We propose a non-steady state model of the global temperature change. The model describes Earth's surface temperature dynamics under main climate forcing. The equations were derived from basic physical relationships and detailed assessment…

The stability of Earth's climate on geological timescales is enabled by the carbon-silicate cycle that acts as a negative feedback mechanism stabilizing surface temperatures via the intake and outgas of atmospheric carbon. On Earth, this…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2018-05-02 Diana Valencia , Vivian Yun Yan Tan , Zachary Zajac

Carbonate-silicate weathering feedback is thought to stabilize Earth's climate on geologic timescales. If climate warms, faster mineral dissolution and increased rainfall speed up weathering, increasing CO2 drawdown and opposing the initial…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2025-08-01 Brandon Park Coy , Edwin S. Kite , R. J. Graham

During most of the Phanerozoic eon, which began about a half-billion years ago, there were few glacial intervals until the late Pliocene 2.75 million years ago. Beginning at that time, the Earth's climate entered a period of instability…

General Physics · Physics 2012-02-22 Gerald E. Marsh

We apply two independent data analysis methodologies to locate stable climate states in an intermediate complexity climate model and analyze their interplay. First, drawing from the theory of quasipotentials, and viewing the state space as…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-07-07 Georgios Margazoglou , Tobias Grafke , Alessandro Laio , Valerio Lucarini

We use a three-dimensional model to calculate steady-state climates at various intervals in Earth's future, across a parameter space of increasing insolation and decreasing CO$_2$ mixing ratio. Comparison with prior results shows an…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2026-05-22 Jacob Haqq-Misra , Eric Wolf

The climate system's nonlinear dynamics is influenced by various external forcings and internal feedbacks that can give rise to regional and even global tipping points that may lead to significant and potentially irreversible changes.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-01-21 Erik Chavez , Jan Rombouts , Michael Ghil

Over its multibillion-year history, Earth has exhibited a wide range of climates. Its history ranges from snowball episodes where the surface was mostly or entirely covered by ice to periods much warmer than today, where the cryosphere was…

Geophysics · Physics 2022-12-07 Mark Baum , Minmin Fu

Cycling of carbon dioxide between the atmosphere and interior of rocky planets can stabilize global climate and enable planetary surface temperatures above freezing over geologic time. However, variations in global carbon budget and…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2022-10-25 R. J. Graham , Tim Lichtenberg , Ray Pierrehumbert

Oxygen isotopes in marine cherts have been used to infer hot oceans during the Archean with temperatures between 60{\deg}C (333 K) and 80{\deg}C (353 K). Such climates are challenging for the early Earth warmed by the faint young Sun. The…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2017-07-26 Benjamin Charnay , Guillaume Le Hir , Frédéric Fluteau , François Forget , David C. Catling

We propose a unified framework linking silicate weathering feedbacks, ecohydrological optimality and vegetation-climate interactions to explain Earth's Global Average Temperature evolution over the Phanerozoic. The framework integrates two…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-10-28 Allen Hunt , Didier Sornette

Aims: The long-term carbon cycle for planets with a surface entirely covered by oceans works differently from that of the present-day Earth because inefficient erosion leads to a strong dependence of the weathering rate on the rate of…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2019-07-03 Dennis Höning , Nicola Tosi , Tilman Spohn

Essential insights on the characterization and quality of a detectable biosphere are gained by analyzing the effects of its environmental parameters. We compiled environmental and biological properties of the Phanerozoic Eon from various…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2023-08-17 Iva Vilović , Dirk Schulze-Makuch , René Heller

We explore the potential multistability of the climate for a planet around the habitable zone. We focus on conditions reminiscent to those of the Earth system, but our investigation aims at presenting a general methodology for dealing with…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-15 Valerio Lucarini , Salvatore Pascale , Robert Boschi , Edilbert Kirk , Nicolas Iro

The carbon-silicate cycle regulates the atmospheric $CO_2$ content of terrestrial planets on geological timescales through a balance between the rates of $CO_2$ volcanic outgassing and planetary intake from rock weathering. It is thought to…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-08-26 Kristen Menou

The case for a much warmer climate on the early Earth than now is presented. The oxygen isotope record in sedimentary chert and the compelling case for a near constant isotopic oxygen composition of seawater over geologic time support…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-04-03 David W. Schwartzman

The potential habitability of an exoplanet is traditionally assessed by determining if its orbit falls within the circumstellar `habitable zone' of its star, defined as the distance at which water could be liquid on the surface of a planet…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2018-05-28 Andrew J. Rushby , Martin Johnson , Benjamin J. W. Mills , Andrew J. Watson , Mark W. Claire

The Antarctic winter atmosphere minimal temperature and pressure series reveal that $CO_2$ phase shift (deposition) is possible in some extreme cases, even leading to possible $CO_2$ snow phenomenon at Vostok Antarctic station and in other…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2014-12-19 V. M. Vashchenko , Ye. A. Loza

The Early Anthropogenic Hypothesis considers that greenhouse gas concentrations should have declined during the Holocene in absence of humankind activity, leading to glacial inception around the present. It partly relies on the fact that…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2011-12-15 Michel Crucifix
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