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Related papers: Potential multiple steady-states in the long-term …

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The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), a crucial ocean current system, could transition to a weak state. Despite severe associated climate impacts, assessing the AMOC's response under global warming and its proximity to…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-03-09 Reyk Börner , Oliver Mehling , Jost von Hardenberg , Valerio Lucarini

The climate is a complex non-equilibrium dynamical system that relaxes toward a steady state under the continuous input of solar radiation and dissipative mechanisms. The steady state is not necessarily unique. A useful tool to describe the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-05-31 Maura Brunetti , Charline Ragon

In this brief report we discuss how continuous changes on the physical parameters that determine the weather conditions may lead to long term climate variability. This variability of the weather patterns are a response to continuous random…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2022-09-21 Orfeu Bertolami

The goal of this paper is to explore the potential multistability of the climate of a planet around the habitable zone. A thorough investigation of the thermodynamics of the climate system is performed for very diverse conditions of energy…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-06-05 Robert Boschi , Valerio Lucarini , Salvatore Pascale

Implicit in the definition of the classical circumstellar habitable zone (HZ) is the hypothesis that the carbonate-silicate cycle can maintain clement climates on exoplanets with land and surface water across a range of instellations by…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2024-05-10 R. J. Graham , R. T. Pierrehumbert

The climate record preserved in polar glaciers, mountain glaciers, and widespread cave deposits shows repeated occurrence of abrupt global transitions between cold/dry stadial and warm/wet interstadial states during glacial periods. These…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2009-07-03 Brian F. Farrell , Dorian S. Abbot

Due to climate change, the interest of studying our climatic system using mathematical modeling has become tremendous in recent years. One well-known model is Budyko's system, which represents the coupled evolution of two variables, the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-12-25 Lucas Benney , Anca Radulescu

The hydrologic cycle has wide impacts on the ocean salinity and circulation, carbon and nitrogen cycles, and the ecosystem. Under anthropogenic global warming, previous studies showed that the intensification of the hydrologic cycle is a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-05-06 Jiachen Liu , Jun Yang , Feng Ding , Gang Chen , Yongyun Hu

Molecular oxygen in our atmosphere has increased from less than a part per million in the Archean Eon, to a fraction of a percent in the Proterozoic, and finally to modern levels during the Phanerozoic. The ozone layer formed with the early…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2023-07-25 Russell Deitrick , Colin Goldblatt

Cenozoic temperature, sea level and CO2 co-variations provide insights into climate sensitivity to external forcings and sea level sensitivity to climate change. Climate sensitivity depends on the initial climate state, but potentially can…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2014-03-05 James Hansen , Makiko Sato , Gary Russell , Pushker Kharecha

The early Earth's environment is controversial. Climatic estimates range from hot to glacial, and inferred marine pH spans strongly alkaline to acidic. Better understanding of early climate and ocean chemistry would improve our knowledge of…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2018-04-04 Joshua Krissansen-Totton , Giada N. Arney , David C. Catling

The primary ingredient of Anthropogenic Global Warming hypothesis is the assumption that atmospheric carbon dioxide variations are the cause for temperature variations. In this paper we discuss this assumption and analyze it on basis of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2013-11-12 Peter Stallinga , Igor Khmelinskii

We investigate 3D atmosphere dynamics for tidally locked terrestrial planets with an Earth-like atmosphere and irradiation for different rotation periods ($P_{rot}=1-100$ days) and planet sizes ($R_P=1-2 R_{Earth}$) with unprecedented fine…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-09-18 Ludmila Carone , Rony Keppens , Leen Decin

We analyze the stability of a low-order coupled sea ice and climate model and extract the essential physics governing the time scales of response as a function of greenhouse gas forcing. Under present climate conditions the stability is…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2011-10-13 W. Moon , J. S. Wettlaufer

The long-term temperature response to a given change in CO2 forcing, or Earth-system sensitivity (ESS), is a key parameter quantifying our understanding about the relationship between changes in Earth's radiative forcing and the resulting…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-03-02 Tony E. Wong , Ying Cui , Dana L. Royer , Klaus Keller

Multistability is a ubiquitous feature in systems of geophysical relevance and provides key challenges for our ability to predict a system's response to perturbations. Near critical transitions small causes can lead to large effects and -…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-06-28 Valerio Lucarini , Tamas Bodai

Multistability is a phenomenon prevalent in many natural systems. In climate, for example, it allows the possibility of irreversible consequences on planetary scale as a result of climate change. Indeed, a climate ``tipping element'' is a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-14 George Datseris , Johannes Lohmann , Oisín Hamilton , Jacob Haqq-Misra

Mounting evidence indicates that our planet might experience runaway effects associated to rising temperatures and ecosystem overexploitation, leading to catastrophic shifts on short time scales. Remediation scenarios capable of…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-03-18 Ricard Solé , Salva Duran-Nebreda , Raul Montañez

The climate is a non-equilibrium system undergoing the continuous action of forcing and dissipation. Under the effect of a spatially inhomogeneous absorption of solar energy, all the climate components dynamically respond until an…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-06-01 Charline Ragon , Valerio Lembo , Valerio Lucarini , Christian Vérard , Jérôme Kasparian , Maura Brunetti

Multiple stable states - the coexistence of two or more distinct ecological configurations under identical environmental conditions - have attracted sustained interest in ecology, yet the field still lacks a unified framework connecting…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-08 Jennifer Paige , Denis D. Patterson , Alan Hastings