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A two-dimensional lattice gas model is proposed. The ground state of this model with a fixed density is neither periodic nor quasi-periodic. It also depends on system size in an irregular manner. On the other hand, it is ordered in the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-19 Shin-ichi Sasa

Models of thermal evolution, crustal production, and CO$_2$ cycling are used to constrain the prospects for habitability of rocky planets, with Earth-like size and composition, in the stagnant lid regime. Specifically, we determine the…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2018-07-25 Bradford J. Foley , Andrew J. Smye

The long-term carbon cycle is vital for maintaining liquid water oceans on rocky planets due to the negative climate feedbacks involved in silicate weathering. Plate tectonics plays a crucial role in driving the long-term carbon cycle…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-10-14 Bradford J. Foley

The mean surface temperature on Earth and other planets with atmospheres is determined by the radiative balance between the non-reflected incoming solar radiation and the outgoing long-wave black-body radiation from the atmosphere. The…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-11 Peter D. Ditlevsen

Global warming due to human-made gases, mainly CO2, is already 0.8{\deg}C and deleterious climate impacts are growing worldwide. More warming is 'in the pipeline' because Earth is out of energy balance, with absorbed solar energy exceeding…

Using an intermediate complexity climate model (Planet Simulator), we investigate the so-called Snowball Earth transition. For certain values of the solar constant, the climate system allows two different stable states: one of them is the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-06-05 Bálint Kaszás , Tímea Haszpra , Mátyás Herein

This article discusses the limits of the Anthropogenic Global Warming Theory advocated by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. A phenomenological theory of climate change based on the physical properties of the data themselves is…

Geophysics · Physics 2010-05-31 Nicola Scafetta

A "toy" model, simple and elementary enough for an undergraduate class, of the temperature dependence of the greenhouse (mid-IR) absorption by atmospheric water vapor implies a bistable climate system. The stable states are glaciation and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-06-15 J. I. Katz

Climate variability over the past million years shows a strong glacial-interglacial cycle of ~100,000 years as a combined result of Milankovitch orbital forcing and climatic resonance. It has been suggested that anthropogenic contributions…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2014-07-24 Jacob Haqq-Misra

The history of the Earth has been marked by major ecological transitions, driven by metabolic innovation, that radically reshaped the composition of the oceans and atmosphere. The nature and magnitude of the earliest transitions, hundreds…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-12 Boris Sauterey , Benjamin Charnay , Antonin Affholder , Stéphane Mazevet , Régis Ferrière

A review of the recent refereed literature fails to confirm quantitatively that carbon dioxide (CO2) radiative forcing was the prime mover in the changes in temperature, ice-sheet volume, and related climatic variables in the glacial and…

Geophysics · Physics 2007-07-10 Willie Soon

Many aspects of anthropogenic global change, such as land cover change, biodiversity loss and the intensification of agricultural production, threaten the natural biosphere. These aspects seem somewhat disjunct and specific so that it is…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-02-02 Axel Kleidon

Microbial communities routinely have several alternative stable states observed for the same environmental parameters. Sudden and irreversible transitions between these states make external manipulation of these systems more complicated. To…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-10-12 Veronika Dubinkina , Yulia Fridman , Parth Pandey , Sergei Maslov

The Earth's climate has experienced numerous critical transitions during its history, which have often been accompanied by massive and rapid changes in the biosphere. Such transitions are evidenced in various proxy records covering…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-09-26 Denis-Didier Rousseau , Witold Bagniewski , Valerio Lucarini

The Earth is well-known to be, in the current astronomical configuration, in a regime where two asymptotic states can be realised. The warm state we live in is in competition with the ice-covered snowball state. The bistability exists as a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-04-24 Valerio Lucarini , Tamas Bodai

As the number of detected rocky extrasolar planets increases, the question of whether their surfaces could be habitable is becoming more pertinent. On Earth, the long-term carbonate silicate cycle is able to regulate surface temperatures…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2021-10-08 Amanda Kruijver , Dennis Höning , Wim van Westrenen

The increasing frequency of global climate extremes has significantly impacted the terrestrial carbon cycle. Extreme weather events such as heatwaves, droughts, and extreme precipitation pose serious threats to ecosystem carbon…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-05-28 Haiyang Shi

With climate change, we are expecting more frequent extreme weather events in many regions worldwide. These events can trigger disruptive, deadly natural hazards, which catch the attention of the media and raise awareness in citizens and…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-01-17 Marco Loche , Gianvito Scaringi

Increases in atmospheric CO2 and CH4 result from a combination of forcing from anthropogenic emissions and Earth System feedbacks that reduce or amplify the effects of those emissions on atmospheric concentrations. Despite decades of…

Understanding the interactions between ice sheets and global climate forcings over geological timescales is essential for projecting their future. Previous studies have highlighted the role of ice dynamics and climate interactions in…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-31 Pijush Patra , Ludovico T. Giorgini , J. S. Wettlaufer