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In this paper we put forward a viral propagation model with nonlinear infection rate and free boundaries and investigate the dynamical properties. This model is composed of two ordinary differential equations and one partial differential…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-04-27 Lei Li , Siyu Liu , Mingxin Wang

Multipartite viruses replicate through a puzzling evolutionary strategy. Their genome is segmented into two or more parts, and encapsidated in separate particles that appear to propagate independently. Completing the replication cycle,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-03-26 Eugenio Valdano , Susanna Manrubia , Sergio Gómez , Alex Arenas

The design of protocols to suppress the propagation of viral infections is an enduring enterprise, especially hindered by limited knowledge of the mechanisms through which extinction of infection propagation comes about. We here report on a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-02-18 Jose A. Cuesta , Jacobo Aguirre , Jose A. Capitan , Susanna C. Manrubia

HIV is known for causing the destruction of the immune system by affecting different types of cells, while SARS-CoV-2 is an extremely contagious virus that leads to the development of COVID-19. In this study, we propose a mathematical model…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-11-05 João P. S. Maurício de Carvalho

Chlamydiae are bacteria with an interesting unusual developmental cycle. A single bacterium in its infectious form (elementary body, EB) enters the host cell, where it converts into its dividing form (reticulate body, RB), and divides by…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-06-06 Péter Kevei , Máté Szalai

HIV-1 virions assemble as immature particles containing Gag polyproteins that are processed by the viral protease into individual components, resulting in the formation of mature infectious particles. There are two competing models for the…

Viruses can amplify their genomes following different replication modes (RMs) ranging from the stamping machine replication (SMR) model to the geometric replication (GR) model. Different RMs are expected to produce different evolutionary…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-11-27 Josep Sardanyés

Due to the persistence of latently infected CD4$^+$ T cells, achieving a functional cure for HIV-1 remains a significant challenge since the viruses are able to evade immune clearance, which in turn enables post-treatment viral rebound.…

Biological Physics · Physics 2025-09-10 Mesfin Taye

The focus of this article is on the dynamics of a new susceptible-infected model which consists of a susceptible group ($S$) and two different infectious groups ($I_1$ and $I_2$). Once infected, an individual becomes a member of one of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-01 Ayse Peker-Dobie , Semra Ahmetolan , Ayse Humeyra Bilge , Ali Demirci

We have learned to live with many potentially deadly viruses for which there is no vaccine, no immunity, and no cure. We do not live in constant fear of these viruses, instead, we have learned how to outsmart them and reduce the harm they…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-01-06 Julie Rowlett

In general, the rates of infection and removal (whether through recovery or death) are nonlinear functions of the number of infected and susceptible individuals. One of the simplest models for the spread of infectious diseases is the SIR…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-11 Seong Jun Park , M. Y. Choi

We study a model for the spread of an infectious disease which incorporates spatial and temporal effects. The model is a delayed multi-type branching process in which types represent geographic regions while infected individuals reproduce…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-27 Andrew Hart , Servet Martínez

The rates of escape and reversion in response to selection pressure arising from the host immune system, notably the cytotoxic T-lymphocyte (CTL) response, are key factors determining the evolution of HIV. Existing methods for estimating…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-02-12 Duncan Palmer , John Frater , Rodney Philips , Angela McLean , Gil McVean

This is a pedagogical paper on estimating the number of people that can be infected by one infectious person during an epidemic outbreak, known as the reproduction number. Knowing the number is crucial for developing policy responses. There…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-30 H. Susanto , V. R. Tjahjono , A. Hasan , M. F. Kasim , N. Nuraini , E. R. M. Putri , R. Kusdiantara , H. Kurniawan

In contrast to the many theoretical studies on the transmission of human-mosquitoes malaria infection, few studies have considered a multiple structure model formulations including (i) the chronological age of humans and mosquitoes…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-01-01 Quentin Richard , Marc Choisy , Thierry Lefèvre , Ramsès Djidjou-Demasse

In this paper, we propose a modified susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model, in which each node is assigned with an identical capability of active contacts, $A$, at each time step. In contrast to the previous studies, we find that on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 Rui Yang , Bing-Hong Wang , Jie Ren , Wen-Jie Bai , Zhi-Wen Shi , Wen-Xu Wang , Tao Zhou

When an infectious disease strikes a population, the number of newly reported cases is often the only available information that one can obtain during early stages of the outbreak. An important goal of early outbreak analysis is to obtain a…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2013-05-30 Bahman Davoudi , Babak Pourbohloul , Joel Miller , Rafael Meza , Lauren Ancel Meyers , David J. D. Earn

Compartmental models like the Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR)\cite{Kermack1927} and its extensions such as the Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Recovered (SEIRS)\cite{Ottar2020,Ignazio2021,Grimm2021,Paoluzzi2021} are commonly used to model…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-07-14 Kasturi Banerjee , Subhankar Ray , Jayalakshmi Shamanna

The basic and effective reproduction numbers are widely used metrics for characterizing the dynamics of infectious disease epidemics. However, the interpretation of these numbers is based on the assumption of homogeneous mixing and may not…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-03-24 Zahra Ghadiri , Jari Saramäki , Takayuki Hiraoka

We introduce a minimal multiscale framework that links within-host virus dynamics to population-level SIRS epidemiology through explicit, bidirectional coupling. At the microscopic layer, a two variant quasispecies (master and mutant…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-01-28 Juan C. Muñoz-Sánchez , J. Tomás Lázaro , Josep Sardanyés , Santiago F. Elena