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The origin of the unusual incubation period distribution in the development of AIDS is largely unresolved. A key factor in understanding the observed distribution of latency periods, as well as the occurrence of infected individuals not…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-08-31 Christel Kamp , Stefan Bornholdt

We study a discrete Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model for the spread of infectious disease on a homogeneous tree and the limit behavior of the model in the case when the tree vertex degree tends to infinity. We obtain the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-08 Alexander Gairat , Vadim Shcherbakov

We formulate a multi-group and multi-vector epidemic model in which hosts' dynamics is captured by staged-progression $SEIR$ framework and the dynamics of vectors is captured by an $SI$ framework. The proposed model describes the evolution…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-07-10 Derdei Bichara

In early HIV infection, the virus population escapes from multiple CD8+ cell responses. The later an escape mutation emerges, the slower it outgrows its competition, i. e. the escape rate is lower. This pattern could indicate that the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-09-30 Victor Garcia , Roland Regoes

We consider a space-time SI epidemic model with infection age-dependent infectivity and non-local infections constructed on a grid of the torus $\mathbb{T}^1 =(0, 1]^d$, where the individuals may migrate from node to another. The migration…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-06 Anicet Mougabe-Peurkor , Étienne Pardoux , Ténan Yeo

Despite being similar in structure, functioning, and size viral pathogens enjoy very different mostly well-defined ways of life. They occupy their hosts for a few days (influenza), for a few weeks (measles), or even lifelong (HCV), which…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-01 Alexander Lange

In this article, we consider an HIV/AIDS epidemic model with four classes of individuals. We have discussed about basic properties of the system and found the basic reproduction number $R_0$ of the system. The stability analysis of the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-04-18 Nouar Chorfi , Salem Abdelmalek , Samir Bendoukha

Reliable estimation of spatio-temporal trends in population-level HIV incidence is becoming an increasingly critical component of HIV prevention policy-making. However, direct measurement is nearly impossible. Current, widely used models…

Applications · Statistics 2019-12-04 Timothy M Wolock , Seth R Flaxman , Jeffrey W Eaton

Most infectious diseases including more than half of known human pathogens are not restricted to just one host, yet much of the mathematical modeling of infections has been limited to a single species. We investigate consequences of a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-08-30 Sergei Maslov , Kim Sneppen

This paper is concerned with SIR (susceptible $\to$ infected $\to$ removed) household epidemic models in which the infection response may be either mild or severe, with the type of response also affecting the infectiousness of an…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-05-26 Frank Ball , Tom Britton , David Sirl

Viral kinetics have been extensively studied in the past through the use of spatially well-mixed ordinary differential equations describing the time evolution of the diseased state. However, emerging spatial structures such as localized…

Cell Behavior · Quantitative Biology 2024-04-02 Catherine Beauchemin

Hepatitis B virus (HBV) is considered as etiological agent of the lethal liver disease hepatitis B. Globally, hepatitis B is recognized as one of the prevailing infectious diseases with a significant impact on human health. In spite of…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-11-19 Rupchand Sutradhar , Gopinath Sadhu , D C Dalal

This paper proposes a novel discrete-time multi-virus susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model that captures the spread of competing epidemics over a population network. First, we provide sufficient conditions for the infection level of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-17 Ciyuan Zhang , Sebin Gracy , Tamer Basar , Philip E. Pare

In this work we introduce a differential equation model with time-delay that describes the three-stage dynamics and the two time scales observed in HIV infection. Assuming that the virus has high mutation and rapid reproduction rates that…

Biological Physics · Physics 2015-03-13 Flora S. Bacelar , Roberto F. S. Andrade , Rita M. Zorzenon dos Santos

When highly active antiretroviral therapy is administered for long periods of time to HIV-1 infected patients, most patients achieve viral loads that are ``undetectable'' by standard assay (i.e., HIV-1 RNA $ < 50$ copies/ml). Yet despite…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-11-20 Laura E. Jones , Alan S. Perelson

Infectious disease dynamics operate across multiple biological scales, with within-host viral dynamics being a key driver of between-host transmission. However, while models that explicitly link these scales exist, none have been developed…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-23 Dylan J. Morris , Lauren Kennedy , Andrew J. Black

With the launch of second line anti-retroviral therapy for HIV infected individuals, there has been an increased expectation on surviving period of people with HIV. We consider previously well-known models in HIV epidemiology where the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2021-06-15 Arni S. R. Srinivasa Rao

We develop a multi-patch and multi-group model that captures the dynamics of an infectious disease when the host is structured into an arbitrary number of groups and interacts into an arbitrary number of patches where the infection takes…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-11-23 Derdei Bichara , Abderrahman Iggidr

Waning immunity and reinfection are critical features of many infectious diseases, but epidemiological models often fail to capture the intricate interaction between an individual's history of immunity and their current infection status;…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-03-25 Raimund M. Kovacevic , Nikolaos I. Stilianakis , Vladimir M. Veliov

Many infectious diseases can lead to re-infection. We examined the relationship between the prevalence of repeat infection and the basic reproductive number (R0). First we solved a generic, deterministic compartmental model of re-infection…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-03-15 Joshua Feldman , Sharmistha Mishra
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