English
Related papers

Related papers: Computation of ruin probabilities for general disc…

200 papers

We study the asymptotics of the ruin probability in the Cram\'er-Lundberg model with a modified notion of ruin. The modification is as follows. If the portfolio becomes negative, the asset is not immediately declared ruined but may survive…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-26 Frank Aurzada , Micha Buck

We consider a spectrally-negative Markov additive process as a model of a risk process in random environment. Following recent interest in alternative ruin concepts, we assume that ruin occurs when an independent Poissonian observer sees…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-14 Hansjoerg Albrecher , Jevgenijs Ivanovs

The classical Cramer-Lundberg model was the first attempt to describe the financial condition of the insurance company. The incomes were approximated by a steady stream of money, insurance payments were not limited and could take any value…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-09 B. H. Jasiulis-Gołdyn , A. Lechańska , J. K. Misiewicz

This paper considers a Cram\'er-Lundberg risk setting, where the components of the underlying model change over time. These components could be thought of as the claim arrival rate, the claim-size distribution, and the premium rate, but we…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-10 Corina Constantinescu , Guusje Delsing , Michel Mandjes , Leonardo Rojas Nandayapa

In this note we consider the two-dimensional risk model introduced in Avram et al. \cite{APP08} with constant interest rate. We derive the integral-differential equations of the Laplace transforms, and asymptotic expressions for the finite…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-17 Ze-Chun Hu , Bin Jiang

In this paper, we study a risk process modeled by a Brownian motion with drift (the diffusion approximation model). The insurance entity can purchase reinsurance to lower its risk and receive cash injections at discrete times to avoid ruin.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-12-20 Shangzhen Luo , Michael Taksar

We present here a new extended model of the gambler's ruin problem by incorporating delays in receiving of rewards and paying of penalties. When there is a difference between two delays, an exact analysis of the ruin probability is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-10-23 Tomohisa Imai , Toru Ohira

We study modified ruin probabilities in a Cram\'er-Lundberg model driven by a compound mixed Poisson process. In the heavy-tailed regime, if the integrated claim-size distribution is subexponential and the upper endpoint of the mixing…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-11 Noriyoshi Sakuma , Momoka Tashiro

Following an article by Muller and Pflug, we study the adjustment coefficient of ruin theory in a context of temporal dependency. We provide a consistent estimator of this coefficient, and perform some simulations.

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-01-05 H. Cossette , E. Marceau , V. Maume-Deschamps

In this paper we study the joint ruin problem for two insurance companies that divide between them both claims and premia in some specified proportions (modeling two branches of the same insurance company or an insurance and re-insurance…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-11-16 Florin Avram , Zbigniew Palmowski , Martijn Pistorius

The field of risk theory has traditionally focused on ruin-related quantities. In particular, the socalled Expected Discounted Penalty Function has been the object of a thorough study over the years. Although interesting in their own right,…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-06-27 Zied Ben-Salah , Hélène Guérin , Manuel Morales , Hassan Omidi Firouzi

In this paper, we study Runge--Kutta methods for the computation of ruin probabilities in the classical risk model through the associated Volterra integro-differential equation. The proposed framework combines fourth-order one-step and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-05-26 George Kanakoudis , Lazaros Kanellopoulos

In this paper we study a class of risk-sensitive Markovian control problems in discrete time subject to model uncertainty. We consider a risk-sensitive discounted cost criterion with finite time horizon. The used methodology is the one of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-04-15 Tomasz R. Bielecki , Tao Chen , Igor Cialenco

We analyze the probability of ruin for the {\it scaled} classical Cram\'er-Lundberg (CL) risk process and the corresponding diffusion approximation. The scaling, introduced by Iglehart \cite{I1969} to the actuarial literature, amounts to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-06-18 Asaf Cohen , Virginia R. Young

In this work, we derive a complete characterization of all ruin-inducing probability measures that preserve the structure of a given compound renewal process in terms of suitable pairs of functions $(\gamma,\delta)$. This result allows us…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-28 Spyridon M. Tzaninis , Apostolos Bozikas

The aim of this paper is to construct the confidence interval of the ultimate ruin probability under the insurance surplus driven by a L\'evy process. Assuming a parametric family for the L\'evy measures, we estimate the parameter from the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-15 Yasutaka Shimizu

We consider an insurance company in the case when the premium rate is a bounded non-negative random function $c_\zs{t}$ and the capital of the insurance company is invested in a risky asset whose price follows a geometric Brownian motion…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-11-08 Serguei Pergamenchtchikov , Zeitouny Omar

We start by showing that the finite-time absolute ruin probability in the classical risk model with constant interest force can be expressed in terms of the transition probability of a positive Ornstein-Uhlenbeck type process, say X. Our…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-06-15 Ronnie L. Loeffen , Pierre Patie

Our paper explores a discrete-time risk model with time-varying premiums, investigating two types of correlated claims: main claims and by-claims. Settlement of the by-claims can be delayed for one time period, representing real-world…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-02 Dhiti Osatakul , Shuanming Li , Xueyuan Wu

In this note, we study the ultimate ruin probabilities of a real-valued L{\'e}vy process X with light-tailed negative jumps. It is well-known that, for such L{\'e}vy processes, the probability of ruin decreases as an exponential function…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-26 Jérôme Spielmann
‹ Prev 1 3 4 5 6 7 10 Next ›