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Related papers: Gumbel distribution in exit problems

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We consider stationary stochastic processes arising from dynamical systems by evaluating a given observable along the orbits of the system. We focus on the extremal behaviour of the process, which is related to the entrance in certain…

The diffusion equation and its time-fractional counterpart can be obtained via the diffusion limit of continuous-time random walks with exponential and heavy-tailed waiting time distributions. The space dependent variable-order…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-10-24 Christopher N. Angstmann , Daniel S. Han , Bruce I. Henry , Boris Z. Huang , Zhuang Xu

We consider Gibbs distributions on finite random plane trees with bounded branching. We show that as the order of the tree grows to infinity, the distribution of any finite neighborhood of the root of the tree converges to a limit. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-03-04 Yuri Bakhtin

The distribution of recurrence times or return intervals between extreme events is important to characterize and understand the behavior of physical systems and phenomena in many disciplines. It is well known that many physical processes in…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-29 M. S. Santhanam , Holger Kantz

The main objective of this paper is to develop extreme value theory for $\vartheta$-expansions. We establish the limit distribution of the maximum value in a $\vartheta$-continued fraction mixing stationary stochastic process, along with…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-04 Gabriela Ileana Sebe , Dan Lascu , Bilel Selmi

We investigate conditions for the existence of the limiting conditional distribution of a bivariate random vector when one component becomes large. We revisit the existing literature on the topic, and present some new sufficient conditions.…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-02-21 Anne-Laure Fougères , Philippe Soulier

In this paper we consider the finite time minimum survival probability and ultimate minimum survival probability in a two ? dimensional risk modal perturbed by diffusion Using some properties of the minimum survival probability we obtain…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-08-30 Chol-Ho Kim , Gwang-Ryong Han

We consider a model of surface-mediated diffusion with alternating phases of pure bulk and surface diffusion. For this process, we compute the mean exit time from a disk through a hole on the circle. We develop a spectral approach to this…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2014-04-24 O. Bénichou , D. S. Grebenkov , L. Hillairet , L. Phun , R. Voituriez , M. Zinsmeister

Suppose Xt is either a regular exponential type Levy process or a Levy process with a bounded variation jumps measure. The distribution of the extrema of Xt play a crucial role in many financial and actuarial problems. This article employs…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-23 Amir T. Payandeh Najafabadi , Dan Kucerovsky

This paper is concerned with the blow-up property of solutions to an initial boundary value problem for a reaction diffusion equation with special diffusion processes. It is shown, under certain conditions on the initial data, that the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-06-11 Yuzhu Han

A pedagogical account of some aspects of Extreme Value Statistics (EVS) is presented from the somewhat non-standard viewpoint of Large Deviation Theory. We address the following problem: given a set of $N$ i.i.d. random variables…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-09-02 Pierpaolo Vivo

We establish general moment estimates for the discrete and continuous exit times of a general It\^o process in terms of the distance to the boundary. These estimates serve as intermediate steps to obtain strong convergence results for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-10 Bruno Bouchard , Stefan Geiss , Emmanuel Gobet

We study the finite-size scaling of the roughness of signals in systems displaying Gaussian 1/f power spectra. It is found that one of the extreme value distributions (Gumbel distribution) emerges as the scaling function when the boundary…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 T. Antal , M. Droz , G. Gyorgyi , Z. Racz

In this paper, we are interested in a general equation that has finite speed of propagation compatible with Einstein's theory of special relativity. This equation without external force fields has been derived recently by means of optimal…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2015-08-18 Manh Hong Duong

A solution is developed for a convection-diffusion equation describing chemical transport with sorption, decay, and production. The problem is formulated in a finite domain where the appropriate conservation law yields Robin conditions at…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2007-05-23 W. J. Golz , J. R. Dorroh

Let $(X_i)_{1 \le i \le n}$ be independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) standard Gaussian random variables, and denote by $X_{(n)} = \max_{1 \le i \le n} X_i$ the maximum order statistic. It is well-known in extreme value theory…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-15 Yutao Ma , Bingjie Tian

Extreme value statistics, or extreme statistics for short, refers to the statistics that characterizes rare events of either unusually high or low intensity: climate disasters like floods following extremely intense rains are among the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2013-11-11 R. Labbé , G. Bustamante

In this paper, we study the diffusion approximation for singularly perturbed stochastic reaction-diffusion equation with a fast oscillating term. The asymptotic limit for the original system is obtained, where an extra Gaussian term…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-08 Longjie Xie , Li Yang

This paper discusses finite time extinction for a perturbed fast diffusion equation with dynamic boundary conditions. The fast diffusion equation has the characteristic property of decay, such as the solution decays to zero in a finite…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-09-03 Takeshi Fukao

Motivated by examples from extreme value theory we introduce the general notion of a cluster process as a limiting point process of returns of a certain event in a time series. We explore general invariance properties of cluster processes…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-03 Anja Janßen , Johan Segers