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Related papers: Gumbel distribution in exit problems

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We use the Stein-Chen method to study the extremal behaviour of the problem of extremes for univariate and bivariate geometric laws. We obtain a rate for the convergence to the Gumbel distribution of the law of the maximum of i. i. d.…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-27 Alessandra Cipriani , Anne Feidt

We investigate the convergence of hitting times for jump-diffusion processes. Specifically, we study a sequence of stochastic differential equations with jumps. Under reasonable assumptions, we establish the convergence of solutions to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-09 Georgiy Shevchenko

We study the statistical distribution of the closest encounter between generic smooth observations computed along different trajectories of a rapidly mixing dynamical system. At the limit of large trajectories, we obtain a distribution of…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2022-08-31 Theophile Caby

We study the distribution of spatial extrema of vorticity and the determinant of the strain rate tensor for a two-dimensional turbulent flow forced by a Kolmogorov forcing. The distribution of these quantities follow non-Gaussian behaviour…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-01-25 Kannabiran Seshasayanan

We prove a conjecture of Lalley and Sellke [Ann. Probab. 15 (1987)] asserting that the empirical (time-averaged) distribution function of the maximum of branching Brownian motion converges almost surely to a double exponential, or Gumbel,…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-10 Louis-Pierre Arguin , Anton Bovier , Nicola Kistler

It is given an effective upper estimate of expectation of |T_1-T_2|, where T_1 and T_2 are the first exit times from a region for two vector diffusion processes.

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 N. Dokuchaev

A statistical model for describing the scaling of the distribution of inter-event times is described. By considering the diverse region seismicity (natural and induced) at different scale levels the self-similarity of the distribution has…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-11 V. German

Being the limits of copulas of componentwise maxima in independent random samples, extreme-value copulas can be considered to provide appropriate models for the dependence structure between rare events. Extreme-value copulas not only arise…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-12-07 Gordon Gudendorf , Johan Segers

In this paper, we explore the connection between convergence in distribution and Mallows distance in the context of positively associated random variables. Our results extend some known invariance principles for sequences with FKG property.…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-11 L. Cioletti , C. C. Y. Dorea , R. Vila

We study the extremes for a class of a symmetric stable random fields with long range dependence. We prove functional extremal theorems both in the space of sup measures and in the space of cadlag functions of several variables. The limits…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-17 Zaoli Chen , Gennady Samorodnitsky

It will be discussed the statistics of the extreme values in time series characterized by finite-term correlations with non-exponential decay. Precisely, it will be considered the results of numerical analyses concerning the return…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 Cecilia Pennetta

We study point process convergence for sequences of iid random walks. The objective is to derive asymptotic theory for the extremes of these random walks. We show convergence of the maximum random walk to the Gumbel distribution under the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-10 Johannes Heiny , Thomas Mikosch , Jorge Yslas

Extreme Value Theory plays an important role to provide approximation results for the extremes of a sequence of independent random variables when their distribution is unknown. An important one is given by the {generalised Pareto…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-08 Simone A. Padoan , Stefano Rizzelli

We derive a closed form solution for the Kullback-Leibler divergence between two Weibull distributions. These notes are meant as reference material and intended to provide a guided tour towards a result that is often mentioned but seldom…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-10-15 Christian Bauckhage

We study distributional robustness in the context of Extreme Value Theory (EVT). We provide a data-driven method for estimating extreme quantiles in a manner that is robust against incorrect model assumptions underlying the application of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-09 Jose Blanchet , Fei He , Karthyek R. A. Murthy

We consider a random walk with death in $[-N,N]$ moving in a time dependent environment. The environment is a system of particles which describes a current flux from $N$ to $-N$. Its evolution is influenced by the presence of the random…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-29 Anna De Masi , Errico Presutti , Dimitrios Tsagkarogiannis , Maria Eulalia Vares

We study the exit-time from a domain of a self-interacting diffusion, where the Brownian motion is replaced by $\sigma B_t$ for a constant $\sigma$. The first part of this work consists in showing that the rate of convergence (of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-26 Ashot Aleksian , Pierre Del Moral , Aline Kurtzmann , Julian Tugaut

We discuss how an eigenvalue perturbation formula for transfer operators of dynamical systems is related to exponential hitting time distributions and extreme value theory for processes generated by chaotic dynamical systems. We also list a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-01-16 Gerhard Keller

We introduce the concept of geometric extremal graphical models, which are defined through the gauge function of the limit set obtained from suitably scaled random vectors in light-tailed margins. For block graphs, we prove results relating…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-05 Ioannis Papastathopoulos , Jennifer Wadsworth

We continue the study of the maximum of the scale-inhomogeneous discrete Gaussian free field in dimension two. In this paper, we consider the regime of weak correlations and prove the convergence in law of the centred maximum to a randomly…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-05 Maximilian Fels , Lisa Hartung