Related papers: Exchangeable sequences driven by an absolutely con…
We study random relational structures that are \emph{relatively exchangeable}---that is, whose distributions are invariant under the automorphisms of a reference structure $\mathfrak{M}$. When $\mathfrak{M}$ has {\em trivial definable…
In this paper, we address the problem of testing exchangeability of a sequence of random variables, $X_1, X_2,\cdots$. This problem has been studied under the recently popular framework of testing by betting. But the mapping of testing…
The extended de Finetti theorem characterizes exchangeable infinite random sequences as conditionally i.i.d. and shows that the apparently weaker distributional symmetry of spreadability is equivalent to exchangeability. Our main result is…
Random dynamical systems with countably many maps which admit countable Markov partitions on complete metric spaces such that the resulting Markov systems are uniformly continuous and contractive are considered. A non-degeneracy and a…
The paper deals with various centering problems for probability measures on finite dimensional vector spaces. We show that for every such measure there exists a vector $h$ satisfying $\mu*\delta(h)=S(\mu*\delta (h))$ for each symmetry $S$…
A nonparametric anomalous hypothesis testing problem is investigated, in which there are totally n sequences with s anomalous sequences to be detected. Each typical sequence contains m independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.)…
De Finetti's theorem, also called the de Finetti-Hewitt-Savage theorem, is a foundational result in probability and statistics. Roughly, it says that an infinite sequence of exchangeable random variables can always be written as a mixture…
Measure-valued P\'{o}lya sequences (MVPS) are processes whose dynamics are governed by generalized P\'{o}lya urn schemes with infinitely many colors. Assuming a general reinforcement rule, exchangeable MVPSs can be viewed as extensions of…
There is currently a renewed interest in the Bayesian predictive approach to statistics. This paper offers a review on foundational concepts and focuses on predictive modeling, which by directly reasoning on prediction, bypasses inferential…
Given a sequence $(X_n)$ of symmetrical random variables taking values in a Hilbert space, an interesting open problem is to determine the conditions under which the series $\sum_{n=1}^\infty X_n$ is almost surely convergent. For…
Conformal prediction has been a very popular method of distribution-free predictive inference in recent years in machine learning and statistics. Its popularity stems from the fact that it works as a wrapper around any prediction algorithm…
We study periodic points and finitely supported invariant measures for continuous semigroup actions. Introducing suitable notions of periodicity in both topological and measure-theoretical contexts, we analyze the space of invariant Borel…
For a bivariate random vector (X,Y), symmetry conditions are presented that yield stochastic orderings among |X|, |Y|, |max(X,Y)|, and | min(X, Y)|. Partial extensions of these results for multivariate random vectors (X1,...,Xn) are also…
Markov chains arising from random iteration of functions $S_{\theta}:X\to X$, $\theta \in \Theta$, where $X$ is a Polish space and $\Theta$ is arbitrary set of indices are considerd. At $x\in X$, $\theta$ is sampled from distribution…
The problem is sequence prediction in the following setting. A sequence x1,..., xn,... of discrete-valued observations is generated according to some unknown probabilistic law (measure) mu. After observing each outcome, it is required to…
Conformal prediction is a popular, modern technique for providing valid predictive inference for arbitrary machine learning models. Its validity relies on the assumptions of exchangeability of the data, and symmetry of the given model…
In inference problems involving a multi-dimensional parameter $\theta$, it is often natural to consider decision rules that have a risk which is invariant under some group $G$ of permutations of $\theta$. We show that this implies that the…
We study equivalent descriptions of the vague, weak, setwise and total-variation (TV) convergence of sequences of Borel measures on metrizable and non-metrizable topological spaces in this work. On metrizable spaces, we give some equivalent…
Split conformal prediction has recently sparked great interest due to its ability to provide formally guaranteed uncertainty sets or intervals for predictions made by black-box neural models, ensuring a predefined probability of containing…
We examine measure preserving mappings $f$ acting from a probability space $(\Omega, F,\mu) $ into a probability space $% (\Omega ^{*},F^{*},\mu ^{*}) ,$ where $\mu ^{*}=\mu (f^{-1})$. Conditions on $f$, under which $f$ preserves the…