Related papers: Exchangeable sequences driven by an absolutely con…
A sequence of random variables is called \textit{exchangeable} if its joint distribution is invariant under permutations of indices. The original formulation of de Finetti's theorem roughly says that any exchangeable sequence of…
Some practical results are derived for population inference based on a sample, under the two qualitative conditions of 'ignorability' and exchangeability. These are the 'Histogram Theorem', for predicting the outcome of a non-sampled member…
We construct several new spaces of quantum sequences and their quantum families of maps in sense of So{\l}tan. Then, we introduce noncommutative distributional symmetries associated with these quantum maps and study simple relations between…
The aim of this paper is to investigate extremum problems with pay-off being the total variational distance metric defined on the space of probability measures, subject to linear functional constraints on the space of probability measures,…
Let $K\subset R^n$ be a compact basic semi-algebraic set. We provide a necessary and sufficient condition (with no a priori bounding parameter) for a real sequence $y=(y_\alpha)$, $\alpha\in N^n$, to have a finite representing Borel measure…
We investigate which infinite binary sequences (reals) are effectively random with respect to some continuous (i.e., non-atomic) probability measure. We prove that for every n, all but countably many reals are n-random for such a measure,…
We present a novel proof of de Finetti's Theorem characterizing permutation-invariant probability measures of infinite sequences of variables, so-called exchangeable measures. The proof is phrased in the language of Markov categories, which…
We study here the topology of information on the space of probability measures over Polish spaces that was defined in [1]. We show that under this topology, a convergent sequence of probability measures satisfying a conditional independence…
The problem of combining p-values is an old and fundamental one, and the classic assumption of independence is often violated or unverifiable in many applications. There are many well-known rules that can combine a set of arbitrarily…
Partially exchangeable sequences representable as mixtures of Markov chains are completely specified by de Finetti's mixing measure. The paper characterizes, in terms of a subclass of hidden Markov models, the partially exchangeable…
We extend de Finetti's (1937) notion of exchangeability to finite and countable sequences of variables, when a subject's beliefs about them are modelled using coherent lower previsions rather than (linear) previsions. We prove…
Given well-shuffled data, can we determine whether the data items are statistically (in)dependent? Formally, we consider the problem of testing whether a set of exchangeable random variables are independent. We will show that this is…
Let $(X_n)$ be a sequence of random variables with values in a standard Borel space $S$. We investigate the condition \begin{gather}\label{x56w1q} E\bigl\{f(X_{n+1})\mid X_1,\ldots,X_n\bigr\}\,\quad\text{converges in probability,}\tag{*}…
We study algorithmically random closed subsets of $2^\omega$, algorithmically random continuous functions from $2^\omega$ to $2^\omega$, and algorithmically random Borel probability measures on $2^\omega$, especially the interplay between…
Let $\lambda$ be a probability measure on $\mathbb T^{n-1}$ where $n=2$ or 3. Suppose $\lambda$ is invariant, ergodic and has positive entropy with respect to the linear transformation defined by a hyperbolic matrix. We get a measure $\mu $…
A collaborative distributed binary decision problem is considered. Two statisticians are required to declare the correct probability measure of two jointly distributed memoryless process, denoted by $X^n=(X_1,\dots,X_n)$ and…
In this paper we present a variant of the well known Skorokhod Representation Theorem. In our main result, given $S$ a Polish space, to a given continous path $\alpha$ in the space of probability measures on $S$, we associate a continuous…
In this paper, we characterize compatibility of distributions and probability measures on a measurable space. For a set of indices $\mathcal J$, we say that the tuples of probability measures $(Q_i)_{i\in \mathcal J} $ and distributions…
Randomness (in the sense of being generated in an IID fashion) and exchangeability are standard assumptions in nonparametric statistics and machine learning, and relations between them have been a popular topic of research. This short paper…
We say that $f:[0,1]\to [0,1]$ is a {\it piecewise continuous interval map} if there exists a partition $0=x_0<x_1<\cdots<x_{d}<x_{d+1}=1$ of $[0,1]$ such that $f\vert_{(x_{i-1},x_i)}$ is continuous and the lateral limits $w_0^+=\lim_{x\to…