Related papers: Exchangeable sequences driven by an absolutely con…

A length-$n$ random sequence $X_1,\ldots,X_n$ in a space $S$ is finitely exchangeable if its distribution is invariant under all $n!$ permutations of coordinates. Given $N > n$, we study the extendibility problem: when is it the case that…

Consider a (possibly infinite) exchangeable sequence X={X_n:1\leqn<N}, where N\in N\cup {\infty}, with values in a Borel space (A,A), and note X_n=(X_1,...,X_n). We say that X is Hoeffding decomposable if, for each n, every square…

Let A be a standard Borel space, and consider the space A^{\bbN^{(k)}} of A-valued arrays indexed by all size-k subsets of \bbN. This paper concerns random measures on such a space whose laws are invariant under the natural action of…

In this work we analyze the concept of swap-invariance, which is a weaker variant of exchangeability. A random vector $\xi$ in $\mathbb{R}^n$ is called swap-invariant if $\,{\mathbf E}\,\big| \!\sum_j u_j \xi_j \big|\,$ is invariant under…

Let $\Om$ be a Borel subset of $S^\Bbb N$ where $S$ is countable. A measure is called exchangeable on $\Om$, if it is supported on $\Om$ and is invariant under every Borel automorphism of $\Om$ which permutes at most finitely many…

Let $\alpha_n(\cdot)=P\bigl(X_{n+1}\in\cdot\mid X_1,\ldots,X_n\bigr)$ be the predictive distributions of a sequence $(X_1,X_2,\ldots)$ of $p$-dimensional random vectors. Suppose $$\alpha_n= \mathcal{N} _p (M_n,Q_n)$$ where…

Exchangeability -- in which the distribution of an infinite sequence is invariant to reorderings of its elements -- implies the existence of a simple conditional independence structure that may be leveraged in the design of statistical…

A random vector $X=(X_1,\ldots,X_n)$ with the $X_i$ taking values in an arbitrary measurable space $(S, \mathscr{S})$ is exchangeable if its law is the same as that of $(X_{\sigma(1)}, \ldots, X_{\sigma(n)})$ for any permutation $\sigma$.…

For two collections of nonnegative and suitably normalised weights $\W=(\W_j)$ and $\V=(\V_{n,k})$, a probability distribution on the set of partitions of the set $\{1,...,n\}$ is defined by assigning to a generic partition $\{A_j, j\leq…

For any standard Borel space $B$, let $\mathcal{P}(B)$ denote the space of Borel probability measures on $B$. In relation to a difficult problem of Aldous in exchangeability theory, and in connection with arithmetic combinatorics, Austin…

Suppose we are given two probability measures on the set of one-way infinite finite-alphabet sequences and consider the question when one of the measures predicts the other, that is, when conditional probabilities converge (in a certain…

Every symbolic system supports a Borel measure that is invariant under the shift, but it is not known if every such systems supports a measure that is invariant under all of its automorphisms; known as a characteristic measure. We give…

Let $X=(X_1,X_2,\ldots)$ be a sequence of random variables with values in a standard space $(S,\mathcal{B})$. Suppose \begin{gather*} X_1\sim\nu\quad\text{and}\quad P\bigl(X_{n+1}\in\cdot\mid…

We establish a one-to-one correspondence between (i) exchangeable sequences of random variables whose finite-dimensional distributions are minimum (or maximum) infinitely divisible and (ii) non-negative, non-decreasing, infinitely divisible…

Let $K_n$ denote the number of distinct values among the first $n$ terms of an infinite exchangeable sequence of random variables $(X_1,X_2,\ldots)$. We prove for $n=3$ that the extreme points of the convex set of all possible laws of $K_3$…

Exchangeability is a central notion in statistics and probability theory. The assumption that an infinite sequence of data points is exchangeable is at the core of Bayesian statistics. However, finite exchangeability as a statistical…

We study some special classes of piecewise continuous maps on a finite smooth partition of a compact manifold and look for invariant measures for such maps. We show that in the simplest one-dimensional case (so-called interval translation…

A consequence of de Finetti's representation theorem is that for every infinite sequence of exchangeable 0-1 random variables $(X_k)_{k\geq1}$, there exists a probability measure $\mu$ on the Borel sets of $[0,1]$ such that $\bar X_n =…

Based on previous work of Paul Ressel and myself, I show that the space of all "continuous" exchangeable probability measures on a certain set of order processes is a Bauer simplex.

Let $(\Omega,\mathcal{F})$ be a standard Borel space and $\mathcal{P}(\mathcal{F})$ the collection of all probability measures on $\mathcal{F}$. Let $E\subset\Omega\times\Omega$ be a measurable equivalence relation, that is,…