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This paper studies the winding of a continuously differentiable Gaussian stationary process $f:\mathbb{R}\to\mathbb{C}$ in the interval $[0,T]$. We give formulae for the mean and the variance of this random variable. The variance is shown…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-30 Jeremiah Buckley , Naomi Feldheim

A recurrent theme in functional analysis is the interplay between the theory of positive definite functions, and their reproducing kernels, on the one hand, and Gaussian stochastic processes, on the other. This central theme is motivated by…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2012-08-15 Daniel Alpay , Palle Jorgensen

We study space-time fluctuations around a characteristic line for a one-dimensional interacting system known as the random average process. The state of this system is a real-valued function on the integers. New values of the function are…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-09-12 Marton Balazs , Firas Rassoul-Agha , Timo Seppalainen

We study the stationary fluctuations of independent run-and-tumble particles. We prove that the joint densities of particles with given internal state converges to an infinite dimensional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. We also consider an…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-13 Frank Redig , Hidde van Wiechen

Complex-valued Gaussian processes are used in Bayesian frequency-domain system identification as prior models for regression. If each realization of such a process were an $H_\infty$ function with probability one, then the same model could…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-30 Alex Devonport , Peter Seiler , Murat Arcak

Let $\{X_n\}$ be a stationary and ergodic time series taking values from a finite or countably infinite set ${\cal X}$. Assume that the distribution of the process is otherwise unknown. We propose a sequence of stopping times $\lambda_n$…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-06-19 G. Morvai , B. Weiss

We study the problem of detection of a p-dimensional sparse vector of parameters in the linear regression model with Gaussian noise. We establish the detection boundary, i.e., the necessary and sufficient conditions for the possibility of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-09-13 Yuri I. Ingster , Alexandre B. Tsybakov , Nicolas Verzelen

Given $n$ independent random marked $d$-vectors $X_i$ with a common density, define the measure $\nu_n = \sum_i \xi_i $, where $\xi_i$ is a measure (not necessarily a point measure) determined by the (suitably rescaled) set of points near…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Mathew D. Penrose

The goal of this paper is to understand the conditional law of a stochastic process once it has been observed over an interval. To make this precise, we introduce the notion of a continuous disintegration: a regular conditional probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-08-24 Tom LaGatta

The hard edge Pearcey process is universal in random matrix theory and many other stochastic models. This paper deals with the gap probability for the thinned/unthinned hard edge Pearcey process over the interval $(0,s)$ by working on the…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2023-05-24 Dan Dai , Shuai-Xia Xu , Lun Zhang

Let $M_n$ be the maximum of $n$ zero-mean gaussian variables $X_1,..,X_n$ with covariance matrix of minimum eigenvalue $\lambda$ and maximum eigenvalue $\Lambda$. Then, for $n \ge 70$, $$\Pr\{M_n \ge \lambda \left (2 \log n - 2.5 - \log(2…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-05 J. A. Hartigan

We study pointwise estimation and uncertainty quantification for a sparse variational Gaussian process method with eigenvector inducing variables. For a rescaled Brownian motion prior, we derive theoretical guarantees and limitations for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-01 Luke Travis , Kolyan Ray

Gaussian processes occupy one of the leading places in modern statistics and probability theory due to their importance and a wealth of strong results. The common use of Gaussian processes is in connection with problems related to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-01 Zexun Chen , Jun Fan , Kuo Wang

It is well-known that density estimation on the unit interval is asymptotically equivalent to a Gaussian white noise experiment, provided the densities have H\"older smoothness larger than $1/2$ and are uniformly bounded away from zero. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-29 Kolyan Ray , Johannes Schmidt-Hieber

We study the use of Gaussian process emulators to approximate the parameter-to-observation map or the negative log-likelihood in Bayesian inverse problems. We prove error bounds on the Hellinger distance between the true posterior…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-10-01 Andrew M. Stuart , Aretha L. Teckentrup

We consider the piecewise-deterministic Markov process obtained by randomly switching between the flows generated by a finite set of smooth vector fields on a compact set. We obtain H\"ormander-type conditions on the vector fields…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-14 Michel Benaïm , Oliver Tough

We investigate the stationary distribution of asymmetric and weakly asymmetric simple exclusion processes with open boundaries. We project the stationary distribution onto a subinterval, whose size is allowed to grow with the length of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-01 Evita Nestoridi , Dominik Schmid

We explore the properties of discrete-time stochastic processes with a bounded state space, whose deterministic limit is given by a map of the unit interval. We find that, in the mesoscopic description of the system, the large jumps between…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-11-22 César Parra-Rojas , Joseph D. Challenger , Duccio Fanelli , Alan J. McKane

We study rare events in systems of diffusive fields driven out of equilibrium by the boundaries. We present a numerical technique and use it to calculate the probabilities of rare events in one and two dimensions. Using this technique, we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-09-10 Guy Bunin , Yariv Kafri , Daniel Podolsky

In this paper, we consider the distribution of the supremum of non-stationary Gaussian processes, and present a new theoretical result on the asymptotic behaviour of this distribution. Unlike previously known facts in this field, our main…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-25 Valentin Konakov , Vladimir Panov , Vladimir Piterbarg